Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 20–25 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.2% 37.2–39.2% 36.9–39.5% 36.7–39.7% 36.2–40.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.6% 25.7–27.5% 25.5–27.8% 25.2–28.0% 24.8–28.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.0% 10.4–11.7% 10.2–11.8% 10.1–12.0% 9.8–12.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.9–6.9% 5.8–7.1% 5.7–7.2% 5.5–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 4.2–5.1% 4.1–5.2% 4.0–5.3% 3.8–5.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 3.1–3.9% 3.0–4.0% 3.0–4.1% 2.8–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 156 153–159 152–160 152–160 150–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 71–76 70–77 70–78 69–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 30 29–32 28–33 28–33 27–34
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–19 16–20 16–20 15–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 11–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–11 8–11 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0.4% 99.9%  
151 2% 99.4% Majority
152 4% 98%  
153 9% 94%  
154 13% 85%  
155 18% 73%  
156 18% 54% Median
157 16% 36%  
158 10% 21% Last Result
159 6% 11%  
160 3% 5%  
161 1.2% 2%  
162 0.6% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 1.2% 99.7%  
70 4% 98%  
71 9% 94%  
72 15% 85%  
73 20% 71%  
74 19% 51% Median
75 15% 33%  
76 9% 17%  
77 5% 8%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 1.2% 99.9%  
28 6% 98.7%  
29 17% 93%  
30 27% 76% Median
31 26% 49%  
32 15% 23%  
33 6% 8%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 1.3% 99.9% Last Result
16 9% 98.6%  
17 30% 89%  
18 33% 59% Median
19 21% 27%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.8% 0.9%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100% Last Result
11 7% 99.5%  
12 29% 93%  
13 40% 64% Median
14 19% 23%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 3% 96%  
9 33% 93% Last Result
10 43% 60% Median
11 16% 18%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 184–189 183–190 182–191 181–194
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 156 99.4% 153–159 152–160 152–160 150–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 80–86 79–87 77–87 74–88
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 71–76 70–77 70–78 69–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0.1% 100%  
180 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
181 1.1% 99.7%  
182 3% 98.6%  
183 6% 96%  
184 11% 90%  
185 16% 79%  
186 19% 63% Median
187 16% 43%  
188 12% 28%  
189 7% 15%  
190 4% 8%  
191 2% 4%  
192 1.1% 2%  
193 0.6% 1.3%  
194 0.4% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.3%  
196 0.1% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
149 0.1% 100%  
150 0.4% 99.9%  
151 2% 99.4% Majority
152 4% 98%  
153 9% 94%  
154 13% 85%  
155 18% 73%  
156 18% 54% Median
157 16% 36%  
158 10% 21% Last Result
159 6% 11%  
160 3% 5%  
161 1.2% 2%  
162 0.6% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.5% 99.5%  
76 0.8% 99.0%  
77 0.8% 98%  
78 1.1% 97%  
79 2% 96%  
80 5% 94%  
81 9% 89%  
82 17% 79%  
83 19% 63%  
84 18% 44% Median
85 14% 26%  
86 8% 13%  
87 4% 5%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 1.2% 99.7%  
70 4% 98%  
71 9% 94%  
72 15% 85%  
73 20% 71%  
74 19% 51% Median
75 15% 33%  
76 9% 17%  
77 5% 8%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 1.1%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations