Opinion Poll by MRB, 13–14 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.9% 36.0–39.9% 35.4–40.5% 34.9–41.0% 34.0–41.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.4% 22.7–26.2% 22.2–26.7% 21.8–27.2% 21.0–28.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.9–19.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 148–159 146–161 145–162 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 62–71 60–73 59–74 57–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 46 41–50 40–51 39–52 38–55
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–17 11–17 11–18 10–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–16 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.3% 99.7%  
143 0.6% 99.4%  
144 0.9% 98.8%  
145 2% 98%  
146 2% 96%  
147 3% 94%  
148 5% 91%  
149 6% 86%  
150 7% 80%  
151 9% 73% Majority
152 9% 64%  
153 9% 55% Median
154 9% 47%  
155 7% 38%  
156 8% 30%  
157 7% 23%  
158 5% 16% Last Result
159 4% 12%  
160 3% 8%  
161 2% 5%  
162 1.3% 3%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.5% 1.2%  
165 0.3% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 0.7% 99.3%  
59 2% 98.6%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 95%  
62 5% 91%  
63 8% 86%  
64 10% 79%  
65 9% 69%  
66 10% 60% Median
67 11% 50%  
68 9% 39%  
69 8% 30%  
70 6% 22%  
71 5% 15%  
72 4% 10%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.6% 1.2%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.6%  
39 2% 98.9%  
40 3% 97%  
41 5% 94%  
42 7% 90%  
43 9% 83%  
44 11% 74%  
45 13% 63%  
46 12% 50% Median
47 11% 39%  
48 9% 28%  
49 7% 18%  
50 5% 12%  
51 3% 7%  
52 2% 4%  
53 1.1% 2%  
54 0.5% 1.0%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.7%  
11 6% 98%  
12 13% 92%  
13 19% 79%  
14 21% 60% Median
15 16% 39% Last Result
16 12% 23%  
17 7% 11%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.2% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.7%  
10 6% 98% Last Result
11 12% 93%  
12 21% 81%  
13 22% 60% Median
14 17% 38%  
15 11% 21%  
16 6% 10%  
17 3% 4%  
18 1.0% 1.3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 0% 77%  
8 8% 77%  
9 33% 69% Last Result, Median
10 15% 36%  
11 13% 20%  
12 5% 7%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 199 100% 193–205 191–207 190–209 188–212
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 73% 148–159 146–161 145–162 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 74 0% 68–80 65–81 64–83 61–85
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 0% 62–71 60–73 59–74 57–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0.1% 99.9%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.2% 99.7%  
188 0.5% 99.5%  
189 0.9% 99.0%  
190 1.4% 98%  
191 2% 97%  
192 3% 95%  
193 4% 92%  
194 5% 88%  
195 6% 82%  
196 8% 76%  
197 8% 68%  
198 9% 60%  
199 9% 52% Median
200 8% 43%  
201 8% 35%  
202 7% 27%  
203 5% 21%  
204 4% 16%  
205 3% 12%  
206 2% 9%  
207 2% 6%  
208 2% 4%  
209 0.9% 3%  
210 0.7% 2%  
211 0.4% 1.1%  
212 0.3% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
140 0.1% 100%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.3% 99.7%  
143 0.6% 99.4%  
144 0.9% 98.8%  
145 2% 98%  
146 2% 96%  
147 3% 94%  
148 5% 91%  
149 6% 86%  
150 7% 80%  
151 9% 73% Majority
152 9% 64%  
153 9% 55% Median
154 9% 47%  
155 7% 38%  
156 8% 30%  
157 7% 23%  
158 5% 16% Last Result
159 4% 12%  
160 3% 8%  
161 2% 5%  
162 1.3% 3%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.5% 1.2%  
165 0.3% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.6% 99.4%  
63 0.7% 98.8%  
64 1.2% 98%  
65 2% 97%  
66 2% 95%  
67 3% 93%  
68 3% 90%  
69 5% 87%  
70 4% 82%  
71 5% 78%  
72 8% 72%  
73 8% 65%  
74 8% 57%  
75 8% 49% Median
76 9% 41%  
77 8% 31%  
78 7% 24%  
79 5% 17%  
80 5% 12%  
81 3% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.7% 1.5%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 99.7%  
58 0.7% 99.3%  
59 2% 98.6%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 95%  
62 5% 91%  
63 8% 86%  
64 10% 79%  
65 9% 69%  
66 10% 60% Median
67 11% 50%  
68 9% 39%  
69 8% 30%  
70 6% 22%  
71 5% 15%  
72 4% 10%  
73 2% 6%  
74 2% 4%  
75 0.9% 2%  
76 0.6% 1.2%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations