Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 13–15 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.1% 36.4–39.8% 36.0–40.3% 35.5–40.7% 34.8–41.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.8% 25.3–28.4% 24.9–28.8% 24.5–29.2% 23.8–30.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.9% 12.8–15.2% 12.5–15.5% 12.2–15.9% 11.6–16.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.4–6.8% 4.1–7.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.0% 4.3–5.8% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.3% 3.6–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.3% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.5–5.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 148–157 147–159 146–160 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 68–76 67–78 66–79 64–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 37 34–41 34–42 33–43 31–45
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 0.6% 99.5%  
145 1.2% 98.9%  
146 2% 98%  
147 4% 96%  
148 5% 92%  
149 7% 87%  
150 9% 79%  
151 9% 70% Majority
152 11% 61%  
153 11% 50% Median
154 10% 40%  
155 9% 29%  
156 6% 20%  
157 5% 14%  
158 3% 9% Last Result
159 2% 6%  
160 1.5% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.5% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 1.0% 99.3%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 5% 93%  
69 9% 88%  
70 9% 79%  
71 11% 70%  
72 14% 59% Median
73 12% 46%  
74 9% 34%  
75 9% 24%  
76 6% 15%  
77 4% 10%  
78 3% 6%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.5% 99.8%  
32 1.3% 99.3%  
33 3% 98%  
34 6% 95%  
35 10% 89%  
36 14% 79%  
37 16% 65% Median
38 14% 49%  
39 12% 36%  
40 10% 23%  
41 7% 13%  
42 3% 6%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.7% 1.3%  
45 0.4% 0.5%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100% Last Result
11 1.2% 99.8%  
12 5% 98.6%  
13 13% 94%  
14 21% 80%  
15 23% 59% Median
16 18% 36%  
17 11% 18%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 7% 98%  
12 17% 91%  
13 24% 74%  
14 23% 51% Median
15 16% 28% Last Result
16 8% 12%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.8% 1.1%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100%  
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 0% 90%  
5 0% 90%  
6 0% 90%  
7 0% 90%  
8 8% 90%  
9 27% 83% Last Result
10 26% 56% Median
11 19% 30%  
12 8% 11%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 185–195 184–197 183–198 181–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 70% 148–157 147–159 146–160 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 76–86 74–87 73–88 70–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 0% 68–76 67–78 66–79 64–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.2% 99.8% Last Result
181 0.5% 99.6%  
182 0.9% 99.0%  
183 2% 98%  
184 3% 96%  
185 4% 93%  
186 6% 89%  
187 8% 83%  
188 11% 76%  
189 10% 65%  
190 10% 55% Median
191 10% 45%  
192 9% 35%  
193 8% 26%  
194 6% 18%  
195 4% 13%  
196 3% 9%  
197 2% 6%  
198 2% 4%  
199 1.0% 2%  
200 0.6% 1.3%  
201 0.3% 0.7%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
141 0% 100%  
142 0.1% 99.9%  
143 0.3% 99.8%  
144 0.6% 99.5%  
145 1.2% 98.9%  
146 2% 98%  
147 4% 96%  
148 5% 92%  
149 7% 87%  
150 9% 79%  
151 9% 70% Majority
152 11% 61%  
153 11% 50% Median
154 10% 40%  
155 9% 29%  
156 6% 20%  
157 5% 14%  
158 3% 9% Last Result
159 2% 6%  
160 1.5% 3%  
161 0.8% 2%  
162 0.5% 1.0%  
163 0.3% 0.5%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 0.8% 98%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 94%  
76 3% 92%  
77 5% 89%  
78 6% 85%  
79 8% 78%  
80 9% 70%  
81 10% 61%  
82 12% 52% Median
83 11% 40%  
84 9% 29%  
85 7% 20%  
86 5% 12%  
87 3% 8%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.1%  
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.7%  
65 1.0% 99.3%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 5% 93%  
69 9% 88%  
70 9% 79%  
71 11% 70%  
72 14% 59% Median
73 12% 46%  
74 9% 34%  
75 9% 24%  
76 6% 15%  
77 4% 10%  
78 3% 6%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.8%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations