Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 14–15 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.9% 36.5–39.3% 36.1–39.7% 35.7–40.1% 35.0–40.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.7% 27.4–30.1% 27.0–30.5% 26.7–30.8% 26.1–31.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.6% 11.7–13.7% 11.4–14.0% 11.2–14.2% 10.8–14.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.4–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.3% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–2.9% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 157 153–161 152–162 151–163 149–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 77–85 76–86 75–87 74–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 36 33–38 32–39 32–40 30–41
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 0–15
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0 0 0–8 0–9

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.6% 99.6%  
150 1.1% 99.0%  
151 2% 98% Majority
152 4% 96%  
153 6% 92%  
154 9% 86%  
155 11% 78%  
156 12% 67%  
157 13% 55% Median
158 12% 42% Last Result
159 10% 30%  
160 8% 20%  
161 6% 12%  
162 3% 7%  
163 2% 3%  
164 0.9% 2%  
165 0.4% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 3% 97%  
77 5% 94%  
78 8% 89%  
79 11% 81%  
80 13% 70%  
81 14% 57% Median
82 13% 44%  
83 11% 31%  
84 8% 19%  
85 5% 11%  
86 3% 6% Last Result
87 2% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 2% 99.4%  
32 4% 98%  
33 9% 94%  
34 14% 85%  
35 17% 71%  
36 18% 53% Median
37 15% 35%  
38 11% 21%  
39 6% 10%  
40 3% 4%  
41 1.1% 2%  
42 0.4% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 13% 95%  
14 24% 82%  
15 26% 57% Last Result, Median
16 19% 31%  
17 9% 12%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.7% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0% 99.3%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 0% 99.3%  
8 0.2% 99.3%  
9 6% 99.1%  
10 19% 93% Last Result
11 30% 75% Median
12 26% 44%  
13 13% 18%  
14 4% 5%  
15 0.9% 1.0%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 0% 3%  
8 1.2% 3%  
9 2% 2% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 193 100% 189–197 187–198 186–199 184–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 157 98% 153–161 152–162 151–163 149–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 78–85 76–86 76–88 74–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 77–85 76–86 75–87 74–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0.1% 99.9%  
183 0.2% 99.9%  
184 0.4% 99.6%  
185 0.8% 99.2%  
186 2% 98%  
187 2% 97%  
188 4% 94%  
189 7% 90%  
190 9% 84%  
191 11% 75%  
192 12% 64%  
193 13% 51% Median
194 11% 39%  
195 10% 27%  
196 7% 17%  
197 5% 11%  
198 3% 6%  
199 2% 3%  
200 0.8% 2%  
201 0.4% 0.7%  
202 0.2% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0.1% 99.9%  
148 0.2% 99.8%  
149 0.6% 99.6%  
150 1.1% 99.0%  
151 2% 98% Majority
152 4% 96%  
153 6% 92%  
154 9% 86%  
155 11% 78%  
156 12% 67%  
157 13% 55% Median
158 12% 42% Last Result
159 10% 30%  
160 8% 20%  
161 6% 12%  
162 3% 7%  
163 2% 3%  
164 0.9% 2%  
165 0.4% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.3%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.7%  
75 1.4% 99.0%  
76 3% 98%  
77 5% 95%  
78 7% 90%  
79 11% 83%  
80 12% 72%  
81 14% 60% Median
82 13% 46%  
83 11% 33%  
84 8% 22%  
85 6% 14%  
86 4% 8%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.6% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.9%  
91 0.3% 0.5%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 3% 97%  
77 5% 94%  
78 8% 89%  
79 11% 81%  
80 13% 70%  
81 14% 57% Median
82 13% 44%  
83 11% 31%  
84 8% 19%  
85 5% 11%  
86 3% 6% Last Result
87 2% 3%  
88 0.8% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.6%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations