Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 13–17 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 38.0% 36.1–40.0% 35.5–40.6% 35.0–41.1% 34.1–42.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.2% 22.0–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.5% 14.1–17.1% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.7–18.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 147–158 145–159 144–161 141–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 64–73 62–75 61–76 59–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 42 38–46 37–47 36–48 34–50
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 14–21 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–15 9–15 9–16 8–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0.1% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.5% 99.5%  
143 1.0% 98.9%  
144 2% 98%  
145 2% 96%  
146 4% 94%  
147 4% 90%  
148 6% 86%  
149 7% 80%  
150 8% 72%  
151 9% 64% Majority
152 10% 55% Median
153 9% 45%  
154 8% 36%  
155 7% 29%  
156 6% 22%  
157 5% 16%  
158 3% 11% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.8% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.1%  
164 0.3% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.9% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 97%  
63 4% 94%  
64 6% 90%  
65 8% 84%  
66 9% 76%  
67 10% 68%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 10% 47%  
70 9% 37%  
71 9% 29%  
72 6% 20%  
73 5% 14%  
74 4% 9%  
75 2% 6%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.8%  
35 1.0% 99.3%  
36 2% 98%  
37 4% 96%  
38 6% 92%  
39 10% 86%  
40 10% 76%  
41 13% 66%  
42 13% 53% Median
43 11% 41%  
44 10% 29%  
45 7% 19%  
46 5% 12%  
47 3% 7%  
48 2% 4%  
49 1.1% 2%  
50 0.5% 0.9%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 4% 98%  
15 8% 94% Last Result
16 14% 85%  
17 19% 71%  
18 19% 52% Median
19 14% 33%  
20 9% 19%  
21 5% 9%  
22 3% 4%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0.4% 0.6%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0% 99.6%  
7 0% 99.6%  
8 0.4% 99.6%  
9 4% 99.2%  
10 10% 95% Last Result
11 18% 85%  
12 23% 67% Median
13 20% 44%  
14 12% 24%  
15 7% 12%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.1% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 21% 100%  
1 0% 79%  
2 0% 79%  
3 0% 79%  
4 0% 79%  
5 0% 79%  
6 0% 79%  
7 0% 79%  
8 12% 79%  
9 24% 67% Last Result, Median
10 22% 44%  
11 13% 21%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 194 100% 188–200 187–202 185–204 183–207
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 64% 147–158 145–159 144–161 141–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 76 0% 70–82 68–83 66–85 63–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 64–73 62–75 61–76 59–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.4% 99.5%  
184 0.8% 99.1%  
185 1.3% 98%  
186 2% 97%  
187 3% 95%  
188 4% 92%  
189 5% 88%  
190 7% 83%  
191 7% 76%  
192 8% 69%  
193 9% 61%  
194 9% 52% Median
195 8% 43%  
196 7% 35%  
197 7% 28%  
198 5% 21%  
199 5% 16%  
200 3% 12%  
201 3% 9%  
202 2% 6%  
203 2% 4%  
204 0.9% 3%  
205 0.8% 2%  
206 0.4% 1.1%  
207 0.3% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.2%  
210 0.1% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0.1% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.5% 99.5%  
143 1.0% 98.9%  
144 2% 98%  
145 2% 96%  
146 4% 94%  
147 4% 90%  
148 6% 86%  
149 7% 80%  
150 8% 72%  
151 9% 64% Majority
152 10% 55% Median
153 9% 45%  
154 8% 36%  
155 7% 29%  
156 6% 22%  
157 5% 16%  
158 3% 11% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.8% 2%  
163 0.5% 1.1%  
164 0.3% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.3%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.7%  
64 0.5% 99.3%  
65 0.8% 98.9%  
66 1.1% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 2% 95%  
69 2% 93%  
70 3% 91%  
71 4% 88%  
72 5% 84%  
73 5% 78%  
74 7% 73%  
75 8% 66%  
76 9% 58%  
77 9% 49% Median
78 8% 40%  
79 8% 32%  
80 7% 24%  
81 5% 17%  
82 4% 12%  
83 3% 8%  
84 2% 4%  
85 1.1% 3%  
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.4% 0.8%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.9% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 97%  
63 4% 94%  
64 6% 90%  
65 8% 84%  
66 9% 76%  
67 10% 68%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 10% 47%  
70 9% 37%  
71 9% 29%  
72 6% 20%  
73 5% 14%  
74 4% 9%  
75 2% 6%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.9% 2%  
78 0.6% 1.2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations