Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 10–12 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.9% 36.3–39.6% 35.8–40.1% 35.4–40.5% 34.6–41.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.5% 24.1–27.1% 23.7–27.5% 23.3–27.9% 22.6–28.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.0% 12.9–15.3% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–15.9% 11.8–16.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.3% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 3.9–7.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 3.7–6.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.4% 2.9–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.6–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 149–158 148–160 147–161 145–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 38 35–42 34–43 34–43 32–45
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 12–17 11–17 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.3% 99.8%  
145 0.6% 99.5%  
146 1.2% 99.0%  
147 2% 98%  
148 3% 96%  
149 5% 92%  
150 7% 87%  
151 9% 80% Majority
152 10% 71%  
153 12% 61% Median
154 11% 50%  
155 10% 39%  
156 9% 29%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 3% 8%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 1.3% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 5% 95%  
66 6% 91%  
67 10% 85%  
68 10% 76%  
69 13% 66%  
70 12% 52% Median
71 11% 40%  
72 10% 29%  
73 7% 19%  
74 5% 12%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.2% 100%  
32 0.6% 99.8%  
33 2% 99.2%  
34 4% 98%  
35 7% 94%  
36 12% 87%  
37 13% 76%  
38 17% 63% Median
39 15% 46%  
40 12% 31%  
41 8% 19%  
42 5% 10%  
43 3% 5%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.6% 1.0%  
46 0.3% 0.4%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 2% 99.7%  
12 7% 98%  
13 16% 91%  
14 22% 75%  
15 22% 52% Last Result, Median
16 17% 30%  
17 9% 13%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.0% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
11 4% 99.2%  
12 12% 95%  
13 21% 83%  
14 25% 62% Median
15 19% 38%  
16 12% 19%  
17 5% 7%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 4% 93%  
9 22% 89% Last Result
10 29% 67% Median
11 22% 39%  
12 11% 16%  
13 4% 5%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 192 100% 187–197 186–198 185–200 183–203
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 80% 149–158 148–160 147–161 145–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–84 73–85 71–86 68–88
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.2% 99.8%  
183 0.6% 99.6%  
184 1.0% 99.0%  
185 2% 98%  
186 3% 96%  
187 4% 93%  
188 7% 89%  
189 8% 82%  
190 10% 74%  
191 11% 64% Median
192 11% 52%  
193 10% 42%  
194 9% 32%  
195 7% 23%  
196 5% 16%  
197 4% 11%  
198 3% 7%  
199 2% 4%  
200 1.2% 3%  
201 0.7% 2%  
202 0.4% 1.0%  
203 0.2% 0.6%  
204 0.2% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0% 100%  
143 0.1% 99.9%  
144 0.3% 99.8%  
145 0.6% 99.5%  
146 1.2% 99.0%  
147 2% 98%  
148 3% 96%  
149 5% 92%  
150 7% 87%  
151 9% 80% Majority
152 10% 71%  
153 12% 61% Median
154 11% 50%  
155 10% 39%  
156 9% 29%  
157 7% 20%  
158 5% 13% Last Result
159 3% 8%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.7% 2%  
163 0.5% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.4%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 99.3%  
70 0.6% 98.7%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 1.4% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 4% 91%  
76 6% 87%  
77 8% 81%  
78 9% 73%  
79 12% 63%  
80 11% 51% Median
81 11% 40%  
82 9% 29%  
83 7% 19%  
84 5% 12%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.5% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 1.3% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 5% 95%  
66 6% 91%  
67 10% 85%  
68 10% 76%  
69 13% 66%  
70 12% 52% Median
71 11% 40%  
72 10% 29%  
73 7% 19%  
74 5% 12%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations