Opinion Poll by Prorata for iEidiseis, 14–16 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.4% 35.5–39.4% 34.9–40.0% 34.4–40.5% 33.5–41.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.6–3.2% 1.5–3.4% 1.3–3.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 148–159 146–161 145–162 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–87 75–88 73–89 71–92
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 38 35–42 34–44 33–45 31–47
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 12–17 12–18 11–19 10–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–14 9–14 0–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–8 0–9 0–9 0–10

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.7%  
143 0.4% 99.5%  
144 0.7% 99.1%  
145 1.3% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 3% 95%  
148 4% 92%  
149 5% 88%  
150 7% 83%  
151 8% 76% Majority
152 8% 68%  
153 10% 60%  
154 9% 50% Median
155 9% 42%  
156 8% 33%  
157 6% 25%  
158 5% 19% Last Result
159 4% 13%  
160 3% 9%  
161 2% 6%  
162 1.4% 4%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.7% 1.3%  
165 0.3% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 99.3%  
73 1.3% 98.6%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 95%  
76 4% 92%  
77 5% 88%  
78 8% 83%  
79 9% 75%  
80 9% 66%  
81 10% 58% Median
82 9% 47%  
83 9% 38%  
84 8% 29%  
85 7% 22%  
86 5% 15% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 3% 6%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.7%  
32 1.3% 99.1%  
33 3% 98%  
34 5% 95%  
35 7% 90%  
36 10% 83%  
37 13% 74%  
38 13% 61% Median
39 12% 48%  
40 11% 36%  
41 10% 25%  
42 6% 15%  
43 4% 9%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.5% 3%  
46 0.7% 1.2%  
47 0.3% 0.6%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.0% 99.8%  
11 3% 98.9%  
12 9% 95%  
13 16% 87%  
14 20% 71%  
15 19% 52% Last Result, Median
16 15% 32%  
17 9% 17%  
18 5% 8%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.7% 1.1%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 0.9% 97%  
9 10% 96%  
10 19% 86% Last Result
11 23% 66% Median
12 19% 43%  
13 13% 24%  
14 7% 11%  
15 3% 4%  
16 1.0% 1.4%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 0% 11%  
8 3% 11%  
9 6% 8% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 192 99.9% 186–198 185–200 183–201 180–204
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 154 76% 148–159 146–161 145–162 142–165
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 77–88 75–90 74–91 72–95
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–87 75–88 73–89 71–92

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.9%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9% Majority
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.8%  
179 0.2% 99.8%  
180 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
181 0.4% 99.3%  
182 0.9% 98.9%  
183 1.2% 98%  
184 2% 97%  
185 2% 95%  
186 4% 93%  
187 5% 89%  
188 6% 84%  
189 6% 78%  
190 8% 72%  
191 9% 64%  
192 9% 55% Median
193 9% 46%  
194 8% 37%  
195 7% 29%  
196 6% 21%  
197 4% 16%  
198 4% 12%  
199 3% 8%  
200 2% 5%  
201 1.2% 3%  
202 0.8% 2%  
203 0.5% 1.3%  
204 0.3% 0.7%  
205 0.2% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.2% 99.7%  
143 0.4% 99.5%  
144 0.7% 99.1%  
145 1.3% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 3% 95%  
148 4% 92%  
149 5% 88%  
150 7% 83%  
151 8% 76% Majority
152 8% 68%  
153 10% 60%  
154 9% 50% Median
155 9% 42%  
156 8% 33%  
157 6% 25%  
158 5% 19% Last Result
159 4% 13%  
160 3% 9%  
161 2% 6%  
162 1.4% 4%  
163 0.8% 2%  
164 0.7% 1.3%  
165 0.3% 0.7%  
166 0.2% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.2%  
168 0.1% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.9% 99.1%  
74 1.4% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 4% 95%  
77 4% 91%  
78 6% 87%  
79 8% 80%  
80 8% 73%  
81 10% 65% Median
82 9% 55%  
83 9% 46%  
84 8% 38%  
85 7% 29%  
86 6% 22%  
87 5% 17%  
88 4% 12%  
89 3% 8%  
90 2% 6%  
91 1.4% 4%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.5% 1.5%  
94 0.4% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 99.3%  
73 1.3% 98.6%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 95%  
76 4% 92%  
77 5% 88%  
78 8% 83%  
79 9% 75%  
80 9% 66%  
81 10% 58% Median
82 9% 47%  
83 9% 38%  
84 8% 29%  
85 7% 22%  
86 5% 15% Last Result
87 4% 10%  
88 3% 6%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.0% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.1% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0.1%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0.1%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0.1%  
125 0% 0.1%  
126 0% 0.1%  
127 0% 0.1%  
128 0% 0.1%  
129 0% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0.1%  
132 0% 0.1%  
133 0% 0.1%  
134 0% 0.1%  
135 0% 0.1%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0.1%  
138 0% 0.1%  
139 0% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0.1%  
144 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations