Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 12–18 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.1% 34.4–37.8% 33.9–38.3% 33.5–38.7% 32.7–39.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.3% 22.8–25.8% 22.4–26.3% 22.0–26.7% 21.3–27.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 18.6% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.5% 16.6–20.8% 16.0–21.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.1–7.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.7–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.2% 3.2–5.4% 2.9–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 142–151 140–152 139–153 137–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 61–69 60–70 59–71 57–73
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 50 46–53 45–54 44–55 43–57
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–17 12–18 12–18 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.4% 99.7%  
138 0.8% 99.3%  
139 2% 98.5%  
140 3% 97%  
141 4% 94%  
142 6% 90%  
143 8% 84%  
144 9% 76%  
145 11% 66%  
146 11% 55% Median
147 11% 44%  
148 10% 33%  
149 8% 24%  
150 6% 16%  
151 4% 10% Majority
152 3% 6%  
153 2% 3%  
154 0.9% 2%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.6% 99.6%  
58 1.3% 99.1%  
59 3% 98%  
60 5% 95%  
61 6% 91%  
62 9% 84%  
63 12% 75%  
64 12% 63%  
65 12% 51% Median
66 12% 39%  
67 10% 27%  
68 6% 17%  
69 5% 11%  
70 3% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 0.8% 99.5%  
44 2% 98.7%  
45 4% 96%  
46 6% 92%  
47 9% 87%  
48 13% 78%  
49 14% 64%  
50 12% 50% Median
51 12% 38%  
52 11% 26%  
53 7% 15%  
54 4% 9%  
55 2% 5%  
56 1.4% 2%  
57 0.6% 0.9%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.8%  
12 6% 98%  
13 15% 92%  
14 20% 77%  
15 23% 57% Last Result, Median
16 18% 34%  
17 10% 16%  
18 4% 6%  
19 1.5% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.8% Last Result
11 6% 98%  
12 14% 93%  
13 22% 79%  
14 24% 57% Median
15 18% 33%  
16 10% 15%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.3% 100%  
1 0% 98.7%  
2 0% 98.7%  
3 0% 98.7%  
4 0% 98.7%  
5 0% 98.7%  
6 0% 98.7%  
7 0% 98.7%  
8 1.3% 98.7%  
9 11% 97% Last Result
10 18% 86%  
11 30% 68% Median
12 19% 38%  
13 13% 19%  
14 5% 7%  
15 1.1% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 196 100% 191–200 190–201 188–203 186–205
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 10% 142–151 140–152 139–153 137–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 76 0% 71–80 70–81 69–82 66–84
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 65 0% 61–69 60–70 59–71 57–73

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0.2% 99.9%  
186 0.3% 99.7%  
187 0.4% 99.5%  
188 2% 99.1%  
189 2% 97%  
190 2% 95%  
191 5% 93%  
192 8% 88%  
193 7% 80%  
194 12% 73%  
195 11% 61%  
196 8% 50% Median
197 12% 42%  
198 10% 30%  
199 5% 20%  
200 6% 15%  
201 4% 9%  
202 2% 5%  
203 1.4% 3%  
204 0.9% 2%  
205 0.3% 0.8%  
206 0.2% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.4% 99.7%  
138 0.8% 99.3%  
139 2% 98.5%  
140 3% 97%  
141 4% 94%  
142 6% 90%  
143 8% 84%  
144 9% 76%  
145 11% 66%  
146 11% 55% Median
147 11% 44%  
148 10% 33%  
149 8% 24%  
150 6% 16%  
151 4% 10% Majority
152 3% 6%  
153 2% 3%  
154 0.9% 2%  
155 0.4% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.5% 99.3%  
68 0.8% 98.9%  
69 1.4% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 4% 94%  
72 6% 90%  
73 9% 83%  
74 11% 75%  
75 12% 64%  
76 11% 52% Median
77 11% 41%  
78 10% 30%  
79 7% 20%  
80 5% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.6% 99.6%  
58 1.3% 99.1%  
59 3% 98%  
60 5% 95%  
61 6% 91%  
62 9% 84%  
63 12% 75%  
64 12% 63%  
65 12% 51% Median
66 12% 39%  
67 10% 27%  
68 6% 17%  
69 5% 11%  
70 3% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.4% 0.8%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations