Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 26–29 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.2% 33.5–36.9% 33.0–37.4% 32.6–37.8% 31.8–38.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.0% 23.5–26.6% 23.1–27.0% 22.7–27.4% 22.0–28.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.9% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.6% 14.0–18.0% 13.4–18.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.7% 4.7–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.7–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 144–154 142–155 141–156 139–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 45 41–49 40–50 39–51 38–53
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.5%  
140 0.8% 99.0%  
141 1.3% 98%  
142 2% 97%  
143 3% 95%  
144 5% 92%  
145 7% 87%  
146 8% 81%  
147 10% 73%  
148 10% 62%  
149 9% 53% Median
150 8% 44%  
151 8% 35% Majority
152 8% 28%  
153 7% 20%  
154 5% 13%  
155 4% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.2% 2%  
158 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.6%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.5%  
63 1.3% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 95%  
66 5% 92%  
67 8% 86%  
68 10% 78%  
69 11% 68%  
70 11% 57% Median
71 10% 46%  
72 9% 36%  
73 8% 27%  
74 7% 19%  
75 4% 11%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.9% 99.6%  
39 2% 98.7%  
40 4% 97%  
41 6% 93%  
42 10% 87%  
43 11% 77%  
44 13% 66%  
45 13% 53% Median
46 13% 40%  
47 9% 27%  
48 7% 18%  
49 5% 11%  
50 3% 6%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.8% 1.3%  
53 0.3% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 3% 99.2%  
15 8% 96% Last Result
16 16% 89%  
17 19% 73%  
18 20% 54% Median
19 15% 34%  
20 9% 18%  
21 6% 9%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.1%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
11 2% 99.5%  
12 8% 97%  
13 17% 89%  
14 22% 72%  
15 21% 50% Median
16 16% 29%  
17 8% 13%  
18 4% 5%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0% 40%  
4 0% 40%  
5 0% 40%  
6 0% 40%  
7 0% 40%  
8 6% 40%  
9 21% 34% Last Result
10 9% 13%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.7% 0.8%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 194 100% 188–200 186–201 185–202 182–204
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 35% 144–154 142–155 141–156 139–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 74 0% 68–80 67–82 66–83 63–85
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–75 65–76 64–77 62–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0.1% 100% Last Result
181 0.2% 99.9%  
182 0.3% 99.7%  
183 0.6% 99.4%  
184 0.7% 98.8%  
185 1.5% 98%  
186 2% 97%  
187 2% 95%  
188 5% 93%  
189 6% 88%  
190 5% 82%  
191 9% 77%  
192 8% 67%  
193 8% 59%  
194 9% 51% Median
195 8% 42%  
196 7% 35%  
197 6% 27%  
198 5% 22%  
199 6% 17%  
200 4% 11%  
201 2% 6%  
202 2% 4%  
203 0.8% 2%  
204 0.5% 1.0%  
205 0.3% 0.5%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0.1% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.5%  
140 0.8% 99.0%  
141 1.3% 98%  
142 2% 97%  
143 3% 95%  
144 5% 92%  
145 7% 87%  
146 8% 81%  
147 10% 73%  
148 10% 62%  
149 9% 53% Median
150 8% 44%  
151 8% 35% Majority
152 8% 28%  
153 7% 20%  
154 5% 13%  
155 4% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.2% 2%  
158 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.6%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 1.3% 98.8%  
66 2% 98%  
67 4% 96%  
68 5% 92%  
69 6% 87%  
70 7% 82% Median
71 7% 75%  
72 7% 68%  
73 8% 60%  
74 8% 52%  
75 7% 45%  
76 7% 38%  
77 7% 31%  
78 6% 24%  
79 5% 18%  
80 4% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 2% 5%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.5%  
63 1.3% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 95%  
66 5% 92%  
67 8% 86%  
68 10% 78%  
69 11% 68%  
70 11% 57% Median
71 10% 46%  
72 9% 36%  
73 8% 27%  
74 7% 19%  
75 4% 11%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.1%  
80 0.3% 0.5%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations