Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 31 January–3 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 36.2% | 34.3–38.2% | 33.7–38.7% | 33.3–39.2% | 32.4–40.2% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 147 | 141–152 | 140–154 | 139–156 | 136–158 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 64–73 | 62–74 | 61–76 | 59–79 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 37–53 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 14–25 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–17 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 96% | |
| 141 | 4% | 94% | |
| 142 | 5% | 90% | |
| 143 | 6% | 84% | |
| 144 | 7% | 78% | |
| 145 | 10% | 71% | |
| 146 | 9% | 61% | |
| 147 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 148 | 9% | 43% | |
| 149 | 9% | 34% | |
| 150 | 7% | 26% | |
| 151 | 6% | 19% | Majority |
| 152 | 4% | 13% | |
| 153 | 3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 8% | 85% | |
| 66 | 9% | 76% | |
| 67 | 10% | 67% | |
| 68 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 47% | |
| 70 | 9% | 38% | |
| 71 | 9% | 29% | |
| 72 | 7% | 20% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 4% | 96% | |
| 41 | 6% | 91% | |
| 42 | 9% | 85% | |
| 43 | 11% | 77% | |
| 44 | 13% | 66% | |
| 45 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 41% | |
| 47 | 9% | 30% | |
| 48 | 8% | 21% | |
| 49 | 5% | 12% | |
| 50 | 3% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 16 | 7% | 98% | |
| 17 | 15% | 91% | |
| 18 | 11% | 77% | |
| 19 | 12% | 66% | |
| 20 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 32% | |
| 22 | 6% | 15% | |
| 23 | 4% | 9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 11% | 95% | Last Result |
| 11 | 18% | 84% | |
| 12 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 43% | |
| 14 | 14% | 25% | |
| 15 | 7% | 11% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 83% | |
| 2 | 0% | 83% | |
| 3 | 0% | 83% | |
| 4 | 0% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0% | 83% | |
| 6 | 0% | 83% | |
| 7 | 0% | 83% | |
| 8 | 10% | 83% | |
| 9 | 24% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 22% | 49% | |
| 11 | 16% | 26% | |
| 12 | 7% | 11% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 191 | 100% | 186–198 | 184–200 | 183–201 | 181–204 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 147 | 19% | 141–152 | 140–154 | 139–156 | 136–158 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 77 | 0% | 71–82 | 68–84 | 67–85 | 64–87 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 0% | 64–73 | 62–74 | 61–76 | 59–79 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 179 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 180 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 182 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 183 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 184 | 2% | 97% | |
| 185 | 3% | 94% | |
| 186 | 5% | 92% | |
| 187 | 5% | 87% | |
| 188 | 6% | 82% | |
| 189 | 8% | 75% | |
| 190 | 9% | 67% | |
| 191 | 9% | 58% | |
| 192 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 193 | 7% | 41% | |
| 194 | 7% | 33% | |
| 195 | 6% | 26% | |
| 196 | 5% | 20% | |
| 197 | 4% | 15% | |
| 198 | 3% | 11% | |
| 199 | 2% | 8% | |
| 200 | 2% | 5% | |
| 201 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 202 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 203 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 204 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 205 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 206 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 207 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 208 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 209 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 137 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 138 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 139 | 2% | 98% | |
| 140 | 3% | 96% | |
| 141 | 4% | 94% | |
| 142 | 5% | 90% | |
| 143 | 6% | 84% | |
| 144 | 7% | 78% | |
| 145 | 10% | 71% | |
| 146 | 9% | 61% | |
| 147 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 148 | 9% | 43% | |
| 149 | 9% | 34% | |
| 150 | 7% | 26% | |
| 151 | 6% | 19% | Majority |
| 152 | 4% | 13% | |
| 153 | 3% | 9% | |
| 154 | 2% | 6% | |
| 155 | 2% | 4% | |
| 156 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 157 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 158 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 160 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 161 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 162 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 2% | 94% | |
| 70 | 2% | 92% | |
| 71 | 4% | 90% | |
| 72 | 4% | 86% | |
| 73 | 5% | 81% | |
| 74 | 6% | 76% | |
| 75 | 8% | 70% | |
| 76 | 9% | 62% | |
| 77 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 78 | 9% | 45% | |
| 79 | 8% | 36% | |
| 80 | 8% | 27% | |
| 81 | 5% | 19% | |
| 82 | 5% | 14% | |
| 83 | 3% | 9% | |
| 84 | 3% | 6% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 90% | |
| 65 | 8% | 85% | |
| 66 | 9% | 76% | |
| 67 | 10% | 67% | |
| 68 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 47% | |
| 70 | 9% | 38% | |
| 71 | 9% | 29% | |
| 72 | 7% | 20% | |
| 73 | 5% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Powergame.gr
- Fieldwork period: 31 January–3 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.78%