Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 8–12 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 37.3% | 35.4–39.3% | 34.9–39.8% | 34.4–40.3% | 33.5–41.3% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.6–28.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 17.3% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.4–19.3% | 15.1–19.7% | 14.4–20.5% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 145–156 | 143–157 | 142–159 | 139–161 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 62–72 | 60–74 | 59–75 | 57–76 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 47 | 43–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 39–55 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 14 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 96% | |
| 144 | 3% | 94% | |
| 145 | 5% | 90% | |
| 146 | 5% | 85% | |
| 147 | 8% | 80% | |
| 148 | 7% | 72% | |
| 149 | 9% | 65% | |
| 150 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 9% | 47% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 38% | |
| 153 | 8% | 30% | |
| 154 | 5% | 22% | |
| 155 | 5% | 16% | |
| 156 | 4% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 4% | 89% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 6% | 80% | |
| 66 | 8% | 74% | |
| 67 | 9% | 66% | |
| 68 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 46% | |
| 70 | 12% | 37% | |
| 71 | 8% | 25% | |
| 72 | 7% | 17% | |
| 73 | 4% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 4% | 95% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 8% | 84% | |
| 45 | 10% | 76% | |
| 46 | 11% | 66% | |
| 47 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 42% | |
| 49 | 11% | 30% | |
| 50 | 7% | 20% | |
| 51 | 5% | 13% | |
| 52 | 3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 11% | 94% | |
| 15 | 19% | 82% | Last Result |
| 16 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 17 | 15% | 43% | |
| 18 | 11% | 27% | |
| 19 | 7% | 17% | |
| 20 | 5% | 10% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 11 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 9% | 95% | |
| 13 | 17% | 86% | |
| 14 | 21% | 69% | Median |
| 15 | 19% | 48% | |
| 16 | 14% | 29% | |
| 17 | 8% | 15% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 47% | |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0% | 47% | |
| 7 | 0% | 47% | |
| 8 | 14% | 47% | |
| 9 | 19% | 33% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 15% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 197 | 100% | 191–203 | 189–205 | 188–206 | 185–209 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 47% | 145–156 | 143–157 | 142–159 | 139–161 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 72 | 0% | 66–79 | 64–80 | 63–82 | 60–84 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 0% | 62–72 | 60–74 | 59–75 | 57–76 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 188 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 96% | |
| 190 | 3% | 94% | |
| 191 | 4% | 91% | |
| 192 | 5% | 87% | |
| 193 | 6% | 82% | |
| 194 | 7% | 76% | |
| 195 | 7% | 69% | |
| 196 | 8% | 62% | |
| 197 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 198 | 8% | 46% | |
| 199 | 7% | 38% | |
| 200 | 7% | 31% | |
| 201 | 6% | 24% | |
| 202 | 5% | 18% | |
| 203 | 4% | 13% | |
| 204 | 3% | 9% | |
| 205 | 2% | 6% | |
| 206 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 207 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 208 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 209 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 210 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 211 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 213 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 96% | |
| 144 | 3% | 94% | |
| 145 | 5% | 90% | |
| 146 | 5% | 85% | |
| 147 | 8% | 80% | |
| 148 | 7% | 72% | |
| 149 | 9% | 65% | |
| 150 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 9% | 47% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 38% | |
| 153 | 8% | 30% | |
| 154 | 5% | 22% | |
| 155 | 5% | 16% | |
| 156 | 4% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 5% | 89% | |
| 68 | 8% | 84% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 76% | |
| 70 | 10% | 70% | |
| 71 | 8% | 59% | |
| 72 | 8% | 52% | |
| 73 | 7% | 43% | |
| 74 | 6% | 37% | |
| 75 | 6% | 30% | |
| 76 | 5% | 25% | |
| 77 | 5% | 20% | |
| 78 | 4% | 15% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 4% | 89% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 6% | 80% | |
| 66 | 8% | 74% | |
| 67 | 9% | 66% | |
| 68 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 46% | |
| 70 | 12% | 37% | |
| 71 | 8% | 25% | |
| 72 | 7% | 17% | |
| 73 | 4% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): ANT1
- Fieldwork period: 8–12 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1037
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.93%