Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 10–14 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.8% 35.1–38.5% 34.7–38.9% 34.3–39.3% 33.5–40.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.3% 22.9–25.8% 22.5–26.3% 22.1–26.6% 21.5–27.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 16.3% 15.1–17.6% 14.7–18.0% 14.4–18.3% 13.9–19.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.6% 4.9–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–7.0% 4.2–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.2–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 146–155 144–157 143–158 141–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 62–71 61–72 60–73 58–75
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 45 41–48 40–49 39–50 38–52
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0.1% 100%  
140 0.2% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.8% 99.4%  
143 1.4% 98.6%  
144 2% 97%  
145 4% 95%  
146 6% 91%  
147 7% 85%  
148 9% 78%  
149 10% 69%  
150 10% 58% Median
151 10% 48% Majority
152 10% 38%  
153 8% 29%  
154 6% 21%  
155 5% 15%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 2% 4% Last Result
159 1.0% 2%  
160 0.6% 1.2%  
161 0.3% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 0.8% 99.5%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 3% 97%  
62 5% 94%  
63 8% 89%  
64 9% 82%  
65 11% 73%  
66 12% 62% Median
67 11% 50%  
68 12% 38%  
69 8% 27%  
70 7% 18%  
71 4% 11%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.0%  
76 0.3% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.8% 99.6%  
39 2% 98.9%  
40 4% 97%  
41 6% 94%  
42 10% 87%  
43 13% 78%  
44 14% 65%  
45 14% 51% Median
46 12% 36%  
47 9% 25%  
48 6% 15%  
49 5% 9%  
50 2% 4%  
51 1.2% 2%  
52 0.5% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 7% 98%  
14 15% 91%  
15 22% 76% Last Result
16 23% 53% Median
17 16% 31%  
18 9% 14%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.5%  
13 9% 97%  
14 16% 88%  
15 23% 72% Median
16 21% 49%  
17 15% 28%  
18 8% 13%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.0% 1.3%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100%  
1 0% 75%  
2 0% 75%  
3 0% 75%  
4 0% 75%  
5 0% 75%  
6 0% 75%  
7 0% 75%  
8 10% 75%  
9 29% 65% Last Result, Median
10 22% 35%  
11 10% 13%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 195 100% 190–201 188–202 187–204 185–206
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 48% 146–155 144–157 143–158 141–161
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 74 0% 68–79 66–80 65–81 62–83
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 66 0% 62–71 61–72 60–73 58–75

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0.1% 100%  
184 0.2% 99.9%  
185 0.3% 99.7%  
186 0.7% 99.4%  
187 1.3% 98.6%  
188 3% 97%  
189 3% 95%  
190 5% 92%  
191 7% 86%  
192 9% 80%  
193 8% 71%  
194 10% 63%  
195 9% 53% Median
196 8% 44%  
197 8% 36%  
198 6% 27%  
199 6% 21%  
200 5% 16%  
201 4% 11%  
202 3% 8%  
203 2% 5%  
204 1.1% 3%  
205 0.9% 2%  
206 0.4% 0.9%  
207 0.3% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0.1% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0.1% 100%  
140 0.2% 99.9%  
141 0.3% 99.7%  
142 0.8% 99.4%  
143 1.4% 98.6%  
144 2% 97%  
145 4% 95%  
146 6% 91%  
147 7% 85%  
148 9% 78%  
149 10% 69%  
150 10% 58% Median
151 10% 48% Majority
152 10% 38%  
153 8% 29%  
154 6% 21%  
155 5% 15%  
156 3% 9%  
157 2% 6%  
158 2% 4% Last Result
159 1.0% 2%  
160 0.6% 1.2%  
161 0.3% 0.7%  
162 0.2% 0.3%  
163 0.1% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.7%  
63 0.7% 99.4%  
64 1.1% 98.7%  
65 2% 98%  
66 3% 96%  
67 3% 93%  
68 5% 90%  
69 3% 86%  
70 6% 82%  
71 6% 77%  
72 7% 71%  
73 9% 64%  
74 8% 55%  
75 10% 47% Median
76 10% 38%  
77 8% 28%  
78 7% 20%  
79 6% 12%  
80 2% 7%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.4% 99.8%  
59 0.8% 99.5%  
60 2% 98.7%  
61 3% 97%  
62 5% 94%  
63 8% 89%  
64 9% 82%  
65 11% 73%  
66 12% 62% Median
67 11% 50%  
68 12% 38%  
69 8% 27%  
70 7% 18%  
71 4% 11%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.5% 1.0%  
76 0.3% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations