Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 14–18 February 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 37.3% | 35.4–39.3% | 34.8–39.9% | 34.4–40.3% | 33.4–41.3% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.1% | 24.4–27.9% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.5–28.9% | 22.7–29.8% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.8–19.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 149 | 144–155 | 143–157 | 142–158 | 139–161 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 70 | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 44 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 37–53 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 0–16 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| Πλεύση Ελευθερίας | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 4% | 93% | |
| 145 | 5% | 89% | |
| 146 | 7% | 84% | |
| 147 | 9% | 77% | |
| 148 | 6% | 68% | |
| 149 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 150 | 9% | 50% | |
| 151 | 9% | 41% | Majority |
| 152 | 6% | 31% | |
| 153 | 6% | 25% | |
| 154 | 6% | 19% | |
| 155 | 4% | 13% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 7% | 87% | |
| 67 | 8% | 80% | |
| 68 | 10% | 72% | |
| 69 | 9% | 62% | |
| 70 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 41% | |
| 72 | 10% | 32% | |
| 73 | 6% | 22% | |
| 74 | 6% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 7% | 90% | |
| 42 | 9% | 83% | |
| 43 | 13% | 74% | |
| 44 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 48% | |
| 46 | 10% | 36% | |
| 47 | 8% | 26% | |
| 48 | 7% | 17% | |
| 49 | 4% | 10% | |
| 50 | 3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 10% | 94% | |
| 15 | 15% | 84% | Last Result |
| 16 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 17 | 19% | 48% | |
| 18 | 13% | 30% | |
| 19 | 9% | 17% | |
| 20 | 4% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 98.5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 9 | 8% | 96% | |
| 10 | 18% | 88% | Last Result |
| 11 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 12 | 20% | 46% | |
| 13 | 14% | 26% | |
| 14 | 8% | 12% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 11% | 84% | |
| 9 | 24% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 25% | 49% | |
| 11 | 13% | 24% | |
| 12 | 8% | 11% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 194 | 100% | 188–200 | 187–202 | 185–203 | 183–207 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 149 | 41% | 144–155 | 143–157 | 142–158 | 139–161 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 79 | 0% | 72–84 | 70–85 | 68–86 | 65–89 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 185 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 186 | 2% | 97% | |
| 187 | 3% | 96% | |
| 188 | 4% | 93% | |
| 189 | 5% | 89% | |
| 190 | 6% | 84% | |
| 191 | 9% | 79% | |
| 192 | 8% | 70% | |
| 193 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 194 | 10% | 54% | |
| 195 | 7% | 44% | |
| 196 | 9% | 37% | |
| 197 | 6% | 28% | |
| 198 | 5% | 22% | |
| 199 | 5% | 17% | |
| 200 | 3% | 12% | |
| 201 | 3% | 9% | |
| 202 | 2% | 6% | |
| 203 | 2% | 4% | |
| 204 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 205 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 212 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136 | 0% | 100% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 140 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 141 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 142 | 2% | 98% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 4% | 93% | |
| 145 | 5% | 89% | |
| 146 | 7% | 84% | |
| 147 | 9% | 77% | |
| 148 | 6% | 68% | |
| 149 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 150 | 9% | 50% | |
| 151 | 9% | 41% | Majority |
| 152 | 6% | 31% | |
| 153 | 6% | 25% | |
| 154 | 6% | 19% | |
| 155 | 4% | 13% | |
| 156 | 3% | 8% | |
| 157 | 2% | 5% | |
| 158 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 162 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 92% | |
| 73 | 4% | 88% | |
| 74 | 6% | 85% | |
| 75 | 6% | 79% | |
| 76 | 7% | 72% | |
| 77 | 7% | 65% | |
| 78 | 8% | 58% | |
| 79 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 41% | |
| 81 | 8% | 30% | |
| 82 | 6% | 22% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 3% | 11% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 7% | 87% | |
| 67 | 8% | 80% | |
| 68 | 10% | 72% | |
| 69 | 9% | 62% | |
| 70 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 41% | |
| 72 | 10% | 32% | |
| 73 | 6% | 22% | |
| 74 | 6% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Open TV
- Fieldwork period: 14–18 February 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%