Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 25–28 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.2% 34.4–38.0% 33.9–38.5% 33.5–38.9% 32.7–39.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.0% 24.4–27.6% 24.0–28.1% 23.6–28.5% 22.8–29.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.8% 14.5–17.2% 14.1–17.6% 13.8–17.9% 13.2–18.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.0% 4.1–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 144–155 143–156 142–157 139–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 67–76 66–77 65–79 63–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 43 40–47 39–48 38–49 36–51
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–15 10–15 9–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.6% 99.5%  
141 1.0% 98.9%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 96%  
144 5% 93%  
145 6% 88%  
146 7% 82%  
147 9% 75%  
148 10% 66%  
149 10% 56% Median
150 9% 46%  
151 9% 38% Majority
152 8% 29%  
153 6% 20%  
154 5% 15%  
155 4% 10%  
156 2% 7%  
157 2% 4%  
158 1.0% 2% Last Result
159 0.7% 1.4%  
160 0.4% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 1.4% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 95%  
67 6% 91%  
68 8% 86%  
69 9% 78%  
70 11% 69%  
71 11% 58% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 36%  
74 8% 27%  
75 6% 19%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.8%  
37 1.2% 99.3%  
38 2% 98%  
39 5% 96%  
40 8% 91%  
41 10% 83%  
42 11% 74%  
43 14% 62% Median
44 15% 49%  
45 11% 34%  
46 9% 23%  
47 6% 14%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.0%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.9% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.0%  
13 9% 95%  
14 16% 86%  
15 22% 70% Last Result, Median
16 20% 47%  
17 14% 27%  
18 8% 14%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.2% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 8% 97% Last Result
11 18% 89%  
12 23% 72% Median
13 22% 48%  
14 15% 26%  
15 7% 11%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.9% 1.2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 6% 81%  
9 27% 75% Last Result, Median
10 25% 48%  
11 15% 23%  
12 6% 8%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.4% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 192 100% 187–199 186–200 185–202 182–205
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 38% 144–155 143–156 142–157 139–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 73–85 71–86 70–87 67–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 67–76 66–77 65–79 63–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
179 0% 100%  
180 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
181 0.1% 99.9%  
182 0.3% 99.7%  
183 0.6% 99.4%  
184 1.0% 98.8%  
185 2% 98%  
186 3% 96%  
187 4% 93%  
188 5% 89%  
189 8% 84%  
190 8% 76%  
191 9% 68%  
192 10% 59% Median
193 10% 49%  
194 8% 40%  
195 7% 32%  
196 6% 24%  
197 5% 18%  
198 4% 14%  
199 3% 10%  
200 2% 7%  
201 2% 5%  
202 1.2% 3%  
203 0.7% 2%  
204 0.5% 1.1%  
205 0.3% 0.6%  
206 0.2% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.6% 99.5%  
141 1.0% 98.9%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 96%  
144 5% 93%  
145 6% 88%  
146 7% 82%  
147 9% 75%  
148 10% 66%  
149 10% 56% Median
150 9% 46%  
151 9% 38% Majority
152 8% 29%  
153 6% 20%  
154 5% 15%  
155 4% 10%  
156 2% 7%  
157 2% 4%  
158 1.0% 2% Last Result
159 0.7% 1.4%  
160 0.4% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 0.8% 98.7%  
70 1.5% 98%  
71 2% 96%  
72 2% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 4% 90%  
75 4% 86%  
76 6% 82%  
77 7% 76%  
78 8% 69%  
79 9% 61%  
80 10% 52% Median
81 9% 42%  
82 9% 33%  
83 7% 24%  
84 6% 17%  
85 4% 11%  
86 3% 7%  
87 2% 4%  
88 1.1% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.1%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 1.4% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 4% 95%  
67 6% 91%  
68 8% 86%  
69 9% 78%  
70 11% 69%  
71 11% 58% Median
72 10% 47%  
73 9% 36%  
74 8% 27%  
75 6% 19%  
76 5% 13%  
77 3% 8%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 0.8% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations