Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 2–6 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.5% 34.9–38.2% 34.4–38.7% 34.0–39.1% 33.3–39.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 23.4% 22.0–24.9% 21.6–25.3% 21.3–25.7% 20.6–26.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 17.4% 16.1–18.7% 15.8–19.1% 15.5–19.4% 14.9–20.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 4.9–6.5% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–7.0% 4.2–7.4%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.6% 3.9–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.6–4.6% 2.4–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 145–155 144–156 143–158 141–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 64 60–68 59–70 58–71 56–73
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 48 44–51 43–52 42–53 41–55
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–17 11–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–12 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.8%  
141 0.5% 99.6%  
142 1.1% 99.0%  
143 2% 98%  
144 4% 96%  
145 5% 92%  
146 6% 88%  
147 8% 82%  
148 9% 74%  
149 11% 65%  
150 12% 54% Median
151 10% 42% Majority
152 8% 32%  
153 7% 24%  
154 6% 17%  
155 4% 12%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.3% 3% Last Result
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.4% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 1.0% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 96%  
60 6% 93%  
61 8% 87%  
62 10% 79%  
63 12% 69%  
64 13% 57% Median
65 11% 45%  
66 10% 34%  
67 8% 23%  
68 6% 15%  
69 4% 9%  
70 3% 5%  
71 1.4% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.4%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.9% 99.6%  
42 2% 98.7%  
43 4% 97%  
44 6% 93%  
45 9% 87%  
46 13% 77%  
47 13% 64%  
48 14% 51% Median
49 13% 37%  
50 9% 24%  
51 7% 15%  
52 4% 9%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.6% 0.9%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 10% 96%  
14 17% 87%  
15 20% 69% Last Result, Median
16 20% 49%  
17 15% 29%  
18 9% 14%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.1% 1.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 2% 99.7%  
12 7% 97%  
13 16% 90%  
14 23% 74%  
15 23% 51% Median
16 16% 29%  
17 8% 13%  
18 3% 5%  
19 1.1% 1.4%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0% 82%  
4 0% 82%  
5 0% 82%  
6 0% 82%  
7 0% 82%  
8 8% 82%  
9 24% 73% Last Result, Median
10 18% 49%  
11 19% 31%  
12 9% 12%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 197 100% 192–203 191–205 190–206 188–209
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 150 42% 145–155 144–156 143–158 141–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 73 0% 66–77 65–79 63–80 60–82
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 64 0% 60–68 59–70 58–71 56–73

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100% Last Result
181 0% 100%  
182 0% 100%  
183 0% 100%  
184 0% 100%  
185 0% 100%  
186 0.1% 99.9%  
187 0.2% 99.8%  
188 0.5% 99.6%  
189 1.0% 99.1%  
190 2% 98%  
191 3% 96%  
192 4% 93%  
193 5% 90%  
194 8% 84%  
195 9% 76%  
196 10% 68%  
197 10% 58%  
198 10% 48% Median
199 8% 38%  
200 7% 30%  
201 6% 23%  
202 5% 17%  
203 3% 12%  
204 2% 9%  
205 2% 6%  
206 2% 4%  
207 1.0% 2%  
208 0.5% 1.3%  
209 0.4% 0.9%  
210 0.3% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.3% 99.8%  
141 0.5% 99.6%  
142 1.1% 99.0%  
143 2% 98%  
144 4% 96%  
145 5% 92%  
146 6% 88%  
147 8% 82%  
148 9% 74%  
149 11% 65%  
150 12% 54% Median
151 10% 42% Majority
152 8% 32%  
153 7% 24%  
154 6% 17%  
155 4% 12%  
156 3% 8%  
157 2% 5%  
158 1.3% 3% Last Result
159 0.8% 2%  
160 0.4% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.3%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.5%  
62 0.9% 98.9%  
63 1.3% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 2% 95%  
66 3% 93%  
67 3% 90%  
68 4% 86%  
69 5% 82%  
70 7% 77%  
71 8% 71%  
72 10% 63%  
73 10% 53% Median
74 10% 43%  
75 9% 32%  
76 8% 23%  
77 6% 15%  
78 4% 10%  
79 3% 5%  
80 1.5% 3%  
81 0.7% 1.3%  
82 0.4% 0.6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 1.0% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 96%  
60 6% 93%  
61 8% 87%  
62 10% 79%  
63 12% 69%  
64 13% 57% Median
65 11% 45%  
66 10% 34%  
67 8% 23%  
68 6% 15%  
69 4% 9%  
70 3% 5%  
71 1.4% 3%  
72 0.7% 1.4%  
73 0.4% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations