Opinion Poll by Abacus Research for Alpha TV, 2–8 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 34.5% | 32.6–36.4% | 32.1–37.0% | 31.7–37.5% | 30.8–38.4% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 23.5% | 21.9–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 16.5% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.7–19.6% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.7–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 144–156 | 142–157 | 141–159 | 138–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 63–73 | 62–75 | 60–76 | 58–78 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 48 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 39–57 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 17 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 4% | 92% | |
| 145 | 5% | 88% | |
| 146 | 6% | 83% | |
| 147 | 8% | 77% | |
| 148 | 8% | 69% | |
| 149 | 9% | 61% | |
| 150 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 151 | 9% | 44% | Majority |
| 152 | 7% | 35% | |
| 153 | 7% | 28% | |
| 154 | 6% | 21% | |
| 155 | 4% | 15% | |
| 156 | 3% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 6% | 87% | |
| 65 | 7% | 81% | |
| 66 | 9% | 74% | |
| 67 | 11% | 65% | |
| 68 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 45% | |
| 70 | 8% | 35% | |
| 71 | 7% | 27% | |
| 72 | 7% | 20% | |
| 73 | 4% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 5% | 94% | |
| 44 | 7% | 89% | |
| 45 | 9% | 83% | |
| 46 | 10% | 74% | |
| 47 | 11% | 64% | |
| 48 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 41% | |
| 50 | 9% | 31% | |
| 51 | 7% | 22% | |
| 52 | 5% | 14% | |
| 53 | 4% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 7% | 96% | |
| 15 | 13% | 90% | Last Result |
| 16 | 16% | 77% | |
| 17 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 16% | 42% | |
| 19 | 11% | 26% | |
| 20 | 8% | 14% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 11 | 12% | 94% | |
| 12 | 19% | 82% | |
| 13 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 42% | |
| 15 | 13% | 24% | |
| 16 | 7% | 12% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 41% | |
| 2 | 0% | 41% | |
| 3 | 0% | 41% | |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0% | 41% | |
| 7 | 0% | 41% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 41% | |
| 9 | 20% | 41% | Last Result |
| 10 | 13% | 21% | |
| 11 | 5% | 7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 198 | 100% | 191–204 | 189–206 | 188–207 | 185–210 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 44% | 144–156 | 142–157 | 141–159 | 138–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 72 | 0% | 66–79 | 64–81 | 63–82 | 60–85 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 68 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–75 | 60–76 | 58–78 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0% | 100% | |
| 182 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 183 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 184 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 185 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 186 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 187 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 188 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 189 | 2% | 97% | |
| 190 | 3% | 95% | |
| 191 | 3% | 91% | |
| 192 | 4% | 88% | |
| 193 | 6% | 84% | |
| 194 | 7% | 79% | |
| 195 | 6% | 72% | |
| 196 | 7% | 66% | |
| 197 | 8% | 59% | |
| 198 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 199 | 7% | 42% | |
| 200 | 6% | 36% | |
| 201 | 7% | 30% | |
| 202 | 5% | 22% | |
| 203 | 5% | 17% | |
| 204 | 4% | 12% | |
| 205 | 3% | 9% | |
| 206 | 2% | 6% | |
| 207 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 208 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 209 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 210 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 211 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 212 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 213 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 214 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | 0% | 100% | |
| 136 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 137 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 138 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 139 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 140 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 141 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 142 | 2% | 97% | |
| 143 | 3% | 95% | |
| 144 | 4% | 92% | |
| 145 | 5% | 88% | |
| 146 | 6% | 83% | |
| 147 | 8% | 77% | |
| 148 | 8% | 69% | |
| 149 | 9% | 61% | |
| 150 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 151 | 9% | 44% | Majority |
| 152 | 7% | 35% | |
| 153 | 7% | 28% | |
| 154 | 6% | 21% | |
| 155 | 4% | 15% | |
| 156 | 3% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 7% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 163 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 93% | |
| 66 | 4% | 90% | |
| 67 | 6% | 86% | |
| 68 | 6% | 80% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 74% | |
| 70 | 7% | 67% | |
| 71 | 7% | 60% | |
| 72 | 8% | 53% | |
| 73 | 6% | 45% | |
| 74 | 6% | 39% | |
| 75 | 6% | 33% | |
| 76 | 6% | 26% | |
| 77 | 5% | 21% | |
| 78 | 5% | 16% | |
| 79 | 3% | 11% | |
| 80 | 3% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 5% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 92% | |
| 64 | 6% | 87% | |
| 65 | 7% | 81% | |
| 66 | 9% | 74% | |
| 67 | 11% | 65% | |
| 68 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 69 | 10% | 45% | |
| 70 | 8% | 35% | |
| 71 | 7% | 27% | |
| 72 | 7% | 20% | |
| 73 | 4% | 13% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Abacus Research
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1026
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.67%