Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 9–11 March 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 37.6% | 35.7–39.6% | 35.1–40.2% | 34.6–40.6% | 33.7–41.6% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.3% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.1–28.7% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 151 | 146–157 | 144–158 | 143–160 | 140–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 71 | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–78 | 61–81 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–53 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 18 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–24 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 2% | 96% | |
| 145 | 4% | 94% | |
| 146 | 5% | 90% | |
| 147 | 6% | 86% | |
| 148 | 6% | 80% | |
| 149 | 8% | 74% | |
| 150 | 9% | 65% | |
| 151 | 9% | 56% | Median, Majority |
| 152 | 9% | 47% | |
| 153 | 8% | 38% | |
| 154 | 7% | 30% | |
| 155 | 6% | 23% | |
| 156 | 5% | 16% | |
| 157 | 4% | 11% | |
| 158 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 92% | |
| 67 | 6% | 87% | |
| 68 | 7% | 81% | |
| 69 | 10% | 73% | |
| 70 | 9% | 63% | |
| 71 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 42% | |
| 73 | 10% | 34% | |
| 74 | 6% | 24% | |
| 75 | 6% | 18% | |
| 76 | 4% | 12% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 6% | 93% | |
| 41 | 9% | 87% | |
| 42 | 11% | 78% | |
| 43 | 11% | 67% | |
| 44 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 43% | |
| 46 | 9% | 32% | |
| 47 | 8% | 22% | |
| 48 | 6% | 14% | |
| 49 | 3% | 8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 4% | 98% | |
| 15 | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 16 | 16% | 86% | |
| 17 | 19% | 70% | |
| 18 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 19 | 16% | 35% | |
| 20 | 10% | 20% | |
| 21 | 5% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 11 | 10% | 95% | |
| 12 | 17% | 85% | |
| 13 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 46% | |
| 15 | 14% | 27% | |
| 16 | 8% | 13% | |
| 17 | 3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0% | 31% | |
| 3 | 0% | 31% | |
| 4 | 0% | 31% | |
| 5 | 0% | 31% | |
| 6 | 0% | 31% | |
| 7 | 0% | 31% | |
| 8 | 12% | 31% | |
| 9 | 13% | 20% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 195 | 100% | 189–201 | 187–203 | 186–204 | 183–207 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 151 | 56% | 146–157 | 144–158 | 143–160 | 140–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 73 | 0% | 68–80 | 66–82 | 65–83 | 63–86 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–78 | 61–81 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 182 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 183 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 184 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 185 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 186 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 187 | 2% | 96% | |
| 188 | 3% | 94% | |
| 189 | 4% | 92% | |
| 190 | 5% | 88% | |
| 191 | 5% | 83% | |
| 192 | 6% | 78% | |
| 193 | 7% | 72% | |
| 194 | 8% | 65% | |
| 195 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 196 | 8% | 48% | |
| 197 | 7% | 40% | |
| 198 | 7% | 32% | |
| 199 | 7% | 25% | |
| 200 | 5% | 18% | |
| 201 | 4% | 13% | |
| 202 | 3% | 9% | |
| 203 | 2% | 6% | |
| 204 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 205 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 206 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 207 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 208 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 209 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 210 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 211 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 141 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 142 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 143 | 2% | 98% | |
| 144 | 2% | 96% | |
| 145 | 4% | 94% | |
| 146 | 5% | 90% | |
| 147 | 6% | 86% | |
| 148 | 6% | 80% | |
| 149 | 8% | 74% | |
| 150 | 9% | 65% | |
| 151 | 9% | 56% | Median, Majority |
| 152 | 9% | 47% | |
| 153 | 8% | 38% | |
| 154 | 7% | 30% | |
| 155 | 6% | 23% | |
| 156 | 5% | 16% | |
| 157 | 4% | 11% | |
| 158 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 159 | 2% | 5% | |
| 160 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 161 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 162 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 94% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 6% | 87% | |
| 70 | 7% | 80% | |
| 71 | 9% | 74% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 65% | |
| 73 | 9% | 58% | |
| 74 | 7% | 49% | |
| 75 | 7% | 42% | |
| 76 | 7% | 34% | |
| 77 | 6% | 28% | |
| 78 | 5% | 22% | |
| 79 | 4% | 16% | |
| 80 | 3% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 5% | 92% | |
| 67 | 6% | 87% | |
| 68 | 7% | 81% | |
| 69 | 10% | 73% | |
| 70 | 9% | 63% | |
| 71 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 42% | |
| 73 | 10% | 34% | |
| 74 | 6% | 24% | |
| 75 | 6% | 18% | |
| 76 | 4% | 12% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Powergame.gr
- Fieldwork period: 9–11 March 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.35%