Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 16–21 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.2% 32.5–35.9% 32.1–36.4% 31.7–36.8% 30.9–37.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.6% 23.1–26.2% 22.7–26.6% 22.3–27.0% 21.7–27.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 16.7% 15.5–18.1% 15.1–18.5% 14.8–18.9% 14.2–19.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.7% 4.7–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.9% 5.1–6.8% 4.9–7.1% 4.7–7.3% 4.4–7.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.4% 3.7–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.4–5.6% 3.1–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 138–147 137–148 136–149 134–152
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 63–71 62–72 61–73 59–75
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 45 42–49 41–50 40–51 38–53
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–14 10–15 9–15 8–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8%  
134 0.6% 99.6%  
135 1.0% 99.0%  
136 2% 98%  
137 3% 96%  
138 6% 93%  
139 6% 87%  
140 8% 81%  
141 12% 74%  
142 12% 62%  
143 10% 50% Median
144 11% 40%  
145 10% 29%  
146 6% 19%  
147 5% 13%  
148 4% 9%  
149 2% 5%  
150 1.1% 2%  
151 0.7% 1.3% Majority
152 0.4% 0.6%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.6%  
60 1.3% 98.9%  
61 2% 98%  
62 4% 95%  
63 6% 91%  
64 9% 85%  
65 12% 76%  
66 13% 64%  
67 12% 51% Median
68 11% 39%  
69 9% 28%  
70 7% 19%  
71 5% 12%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 0.9% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 1.0% 99.5%  
40 2% 98%  
41 4% 96%  
42 7% 92%  
43 10% 85%  
44 13% 75%  
45 14% 61% Median
46 14% 47%  
47 12% 33%  
48 8% 22%  
49 6% 13%  
50 4% 7%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.9% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.7%  
14 5% 98%  
15 11% 94% Last Result
16 17% 82%  
17 22% 65% Median
18 19% 42%  
19 12% 23%  
20 7% 11%  
21 3% 4%  
22 0.9% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.2% 99.8%  
13 5% 98.6%  
14 11% 94%  
15 19% 83%  
16 23% 64% Median
17 19% 41%  
18 12% 22%  
19 7% 10%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.7% 1.0%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.4% 99.7%  
9 4% 99.3% Last Result
10 12% 96%  
11 22% 84%  
12 25% 61% Median
13 20% 36%  
14 11% 17%  
15 4% 6%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 183–193 182–194 181–195 179–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 1.3% 138–147 137–148 136–149 134–152
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 79 0% 74–83 73–84 72–85 70–87
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 67 0% 63–71 62–72 61–73 59–75

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0.1% 99.9%  
178 0.2% 99.8%  
179 0.6% 99.6%  
180 0.9% 99.0% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 3% 96%  
183 4% 93%  
184 6% 89%  
185 7% 83%  
186 9% 75%  
187 11% 66%  
188 11% 55% Median
189 10% 44%  
190 10% 33%  
191 7% 23%  
192 6% 16%  
193 5% 10%  
194 2% 6%  
195 2% 4%  
196 1.0% 2%  
197 0.4% 0.9%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8%  
134 0.6% 99.6%  
135 1.0% 99.0%  
136 2% 98%  
137 3% 96%  
138 6% 93%  
139 6% 87%  
140 8% 81%  
141 12% 74%  
142 12% 62%  
143 10% 50% Median
144 11% 40%  
145 10% 29%  
146 6% 19%  
147 5% 13%  
148 4% 9%  
149 2% 5%  
150 1.1% 2%  
151 0.7% 1.3% Majority
152 0.4% 0.6%  
153 0.1% 0.2%  
154 0.1% 0.1%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.9% 99.2%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 97%  
74 4% 94%  
75 6% 90%  
76 9% 83%  
77 11% 74%  
78 11% 63%  
79 13% 53% Median
80 11% 40%  
81 9% 28%  
82 7% 20%  
83 5% 13%  
84 4% 8%  
85 2% 4%  
86 1.1% 2%  
87 0.6% 1.1%  
88 0.3% 0.5%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.7% 99.6%  
60 1.3% 98.9%  
61 2% 98%  
62 4% 95%  
63 6% 91%  
64 9% 85%  
65 12% 76%  
66 13% 64%  
67 12% 51% Median
68 11% 39%  
69 9% 28%  
70 7% 19%  
71 5% 12%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 0.9% 2%  
75 0.5% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.3%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations