Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 21–26 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.2% 34.3–38.2% 33.7–38.7% 33.3–39.2% 32.4–40.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.9% 24.2–27.7% 23.7–28.3% 23.3–28.7% 22.5–29.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–154 141–156 140–157 138–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 65–75 64–77 63–78 61–82
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 41 37–45 36–46 35–47 34–50
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 15–22 15–23 13–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 11–18 11–18 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.3% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.5%  
139 0.9% 99.0%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 96%  
142 3% 94%  
143 4% 91%  
144 6% 86%  
145 8% 80%  
146 7% 72%  
147 8% 65%  
148 9% 56% Median
149 8% 48%  
150 7% 39%  
151 8% 32% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 6% 17%  
154 3% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.4% 4%  
158 1.0% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.2%  
160 0.3% 0.6%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.5%  
62 0.5% 98.9%  
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 3% 92%  
66 3% 89%  
67 11% 86%  
68 11% 75%  
69 5% 64%  
70 9% 59%  
71 15% 51% Median
72 7% 36%  
73 3% 28%  
74 10% 25%  
75 7% 15%  
76 2% 8%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 5%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.1% 1.3%  
81 0.5% 1.1%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.8%  
34 0.8% 99.5%  
35 2% 98.7%  
36 3% 97%  
37 5% 94%  
38 9% 88%  
39 10% 80%  
40 12% 70%  
41 12% 57% Median
42 13% 45%  
43 10% 33%  
44 8% 22%  
45 6% 15%  
46 4% 8%  
47 2% 5%  
48 1.4% 2%  
49 0.6% 1.1%  
50 0.3% 0.5%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 2% 99.5%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 9% 93%  
17 14% 83%  
18 17% 69%  
19 18% 52% Median
20 14% 34%  
21 10% 20%  
22 5% 10%  
23 3% 5%  
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.3% 99.8% Last Result
11 5% 98%  
12 11% 94%  
13 18% 83%  
14 19% 64% Median
15 18% 46%  
16 14% 28%  
17 8% 14%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0% 73%  
4 0% 73%  
5 0% 73%  
6 0% 73%  
7 0% 73%  
8 7% 73%  
9 27% 65% Last Result, Median
10 20% 38%  
11 12% 18%  
12 4% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 190 100% 183–196 182–197 181–199 178–202
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 32% 143–154 141–156 140–157 138–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 77 0% 71–84 70–85 67–86 64–89
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 65–75 64–77 63–78 61–82

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0.1% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.1% 99.8%  
178 0.3% 99.7%  
179 0.7% 99.4%  
180 0.9% 98.6% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 3% 96%  
183 3% 93%  
184 5% 90%  
185 5% 85%  
186 8% 80%  
187 7% 72%  
188 7% 65%  
189 8% 58% Median
190 10% 50%  
191 7% 40%  
192 6% 33%  
193 6% 26%  
194 6% 20%  
195 4% 14%  
196 3% 10%  
197 3% 8%  
198 2% 5%  
199 1.0% 3%  
200 1.0% 2%  
201 0.4% 1.0%  
202 0.3% 0.6%  
203 0.2% 0.4%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0.1% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.3% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.5%  
139 0.9% 99.0%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 96%  
142 3% 94%  
143 4% 91%  
144 6% 86%  
145 8% 80%  
146 7% 72%  
147 8% 65%  
148 9% 56% Median
149 8% 48%  
150 7% 39%  
151 8% 32% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 6% 17%  
154 3% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.4% 4%  
158 1.0% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.2%  
160 0.3% 0.6%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.4%  
66 0.5% 99.3%  
67 2% 98.8%  
68 1.3% 97%  
69 0.5% 96%  
70 3% 95%  
71 5% 92%  
72 2% 87%  
73 3% 85%  
74 10% 82%  
75 5% 72%  
76 5% 67%  
77 12% 61%  
78 8% 50%  
79 5% 41%  
80 6% 37% Median
81 10% 31%  
82 6% 21%  
83 3% 15%  
84 6% 12%  
85 3% 6%  
86 1.2% 3%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.3%  
89 0.5% 0.7%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 0.6% 99.5%  
62 0.5% 98.9%  
63 2% 98%  
64 4% 96%  
65 3% 92%  
66 3% 89%  
67 11% 86%  
68 11% 75%  
69 5% 64%  
70 9% 59%  
71 15% 51% Median
72 7% 36%  
73 3% 28%  
74 10% 25%  
75 7% 15%  
76 2% 8%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 5%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.1% 1.3%  
81 0.5% 1.1%  
82 0.5% 0.6%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations