Opinion Poll by MRB for Newsbomb, 18–26 March 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.9% 33.0–36.9% 32.5–37.4% 32.0–37.9% 31.1–38.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.9% 24.2–27.7% 23.7–28.3% 23.3–28.7% 22.5–29.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 16.4% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.6–19.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.1–4.7% 2.9–5.0% 2.8–5.2% 2.5–5.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 139–149 138–151 136–152 134–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 65–75 64–76 63–77 61–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 44 40–49 39–50 38–51 37–53
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 13–20 13–21 12–22
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 12–18 11–19 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–13 0–13 0–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8%  
134 0.4% 99.7%  
135 0.7% 99.2%  
136 1.3% 98%  
137 2% 97%  
138 3% 95%  
139 4% 92%  
140 6% 88%  
141 8% 82%  
142 8% 74%  
143 9% 66%  
144 10% 57% Median
145 9% 47%  
146 9% 38%  
147 9% 29%  
148 6% 21%  
149 5% 14%  
150 3% 9%  
151 2% 6% Majority
152 1.4% 4%  
153 0.9% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.5% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.0%  
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 96%  
65 4% 93%  
66 7% 89%  
67 8% 82%  
68 11% 74%  
69 10% 64%  
70 10% 53% Median
71 10% 44%  
72 9% 33%  
73 7% 25%  
74 5% 17%  
75 5% 12%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.3%  
80 0.4% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.3% 99.9%  
37 0.7% 99.6%  
38 1.5% 98.9%  
39 3% 97%  
40 5% 94%  
41 7% 89%  
42 9% 82%  
43 13% 73%  
44 13% 60% Median
45 11% 47%  
46 11% 36%  
47 9% 25%  
48 6% 16%  
49 4% 10%  
50 3% 6%  
51 1.5% 3%  
52 0.8% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.7%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.3% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 5% 98%  
14 11% 93%  
15 16% 82%  
16 20% 67% Median
17 18% 47%  
18 13% 29%  
19 9% 15%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.5%  
12 6% 97%  
13 13% 91%  
14 18% 78%  
15 20% 60% Last Result, Median
16 17% 40%  
17 12% 23%  
18 6% 11%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.1% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.6%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 4% 93%  
9 19% 89% Last Result
10 23% 70% Median
11 20% 47%  
12 15% 26%  
13 7% 11%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.8% 1.2%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 183–194 182–195 180–197 178–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 6% 139–149 138–151 136–152 134–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–85 73–87 71–88 67–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 65–75 64–76 63–77 61–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.2% 99.8%  
178 0.4% 99.6%  
179 0.7% 99.2%  
180 1.2% 98% Last Result
181 2% 97%  
182 3% 95%  
183 4% 93%  
184 6% 88%  
185 6% 83%  
186 8% 77%  
187 9% 69%  
188 9% 60% Median
189 9% 51%  
190 8% 42%  
191 9% 34%  
192 7% 25%  
193 6% 17%  
194 4% 12%  
195 3% 8%  
196 2% 5%  
197 1.1% 3%  
198 0.6% 2%  
199 0.4% 1.5%  
200 0.3% 1.1%  
201 0.4% 0.8%  
202 0.2% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0.1% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0.1% 99.9%  
133 0.2% 99.8%  
134 0.4% 99.7%  
135 0.7% 99.2%  
136 1.3% 98%  
137 2% 97%  
138 3% 95%  
139 4% 92%  
140 6% 88%  
141 8% 82%  
142 8% 74%  
143 9% 66%  
144 10% 57% Median
145 9% 47%  
146 9% 38%  
147 9% 29%  
148 6% 21%  
149 5% 14%  
150 3% 9%  
151 2% 6% Majority
152 1.4% 4%  
153 0.9% 2%  
154 0.5% 1.3%  
155 0.3% 0.8%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 0.3% 99.3%  
69 0.4% 99.1%  
70 0.5% 98.7%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 1.4% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 5% 90%  
76 6% 86%  
77 7% 80%  
78 9% 73%  
79 10% 64%  
80 9% 55% Median
81 9% 45%  
82 9% 36%  
83 7% 27%  
84 6% 19%  
85 5% 13%  
86 3% 8%  
87 2% 5%  
88 1.3% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.9%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.5% 99.6%  
62 1.1% 99.0%  
63 2% 98%  
64 3% 96%  
65 4% 93%  
66 7% 89%  
67 8% 82%  
68 11% 74%  
69 10% 64%  
70 10% 53% Median
71 10% 44%  
72 9% 33%  
73 7% 25%  
74 5% 17%  
75 5% 12%  
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.3%  
80 0.4% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations