Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 26–30 April 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.5% 33.6–37.5% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.1% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.3%
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 1.5% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 140–151 139–153 138–154 135–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–75 64–77 63–78 61–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 41 37–45 36–46 35–47 33–49
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
Πλεύση Ελευθερίας 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0.1% 100%  
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.3% 99.7%  
136 0.5% 99.3%  
137 0.8% 98.8%  
138 2% 98%  
139 4% 96%  
140 4% 92%  
141 5% 89%  
142 6% 84%  
143 8% 78%  
144 12% 70%  
145 10% 58% Median
146 8% 48%  
147 7% 40%  
148 8% 33%  
149 7% 25%  
150 5% 18%  
151 4% 12% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.4% 3%  
155 0.8% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.3%  
157 0.3% 0.8%  
158 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 0.9% 99.2%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 94%  
66 6% 90%  
67 7% 84%  
68 9% 78%  
69 10% 68%  
70 11% 59% Median
71 11% 48%  
72 8% 36%  
73 8% 28%  
74 6% 20%  
75 5% 14%  
76 3% 9%  
77 3% 6%  
78 1.5% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 1.0% 99.4%  
35 2% 98%  
36 3% 96%  
37 7% 93%  
38 8% 86%  
39 10% 78%  
40 13% 67%  
41 14% 55% Median
42 12% 41%  
43 10% 29%  
44 7% 19%  
45 5% 12%  
46 3% 7%  
47 2% 4%  
48 1.1% 2%  
49 0.5% 0.9%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 1.1% 99.7%  
15 3% 98.6% Last Result
16 8% 96%  
17 13% 88%  
18 17% 75%  
19 18% 59% Median
20 15% 40%  
21 11% 25%  
22 8% 14%  
23 4% 6%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.6% 1.0%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100% Last Result
11 1.4% 99.8%  
12 3% 98%  
13 9% 95%  
14 18% 87%  
15 20% 69% Median
16 16% 49%  
17 16% 33%  
18 10% 17%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.9% 1.2%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 0% 84%  
5 0% 84%  
6 0% 84%  
7 0% 84%  
8 6% 84%  
9 24% 79% Last Result
10 26% 54% Median
11 17% 28%  
12 7% 11%  
13 2% 4%  
14 1.0% 1.3%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Πλεύση Ελευθερίας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Πλεύση Ελευθερίας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–192 179–194 178–196 175–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 145 12% 140–151 139–153 138–154 135–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 79 0% 73–84 71–86 69–87 66–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–75 64–77 63–78 61–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.7%  
176 0.6% 99.5%  
177 0.9% 98.9%  
178 1.3% 98%  
179 3% 97%  
180 3% 94% Last Result
181 4% 91%  
182 5% 87%  
183 7% 82%  
184 8% 74%  
185 8% 66%  
186 10% 58% Median
187 9% 48%  
188 8% 39%  
189 6% 31%  
190 6% 25%  
191 5% 18%  
192 4% 13%  
193 3% 9%  
194 2% 7%  
195 1.5% 4%  
196 1.0% 3%  
197 0.7% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.3%  
199 0.4% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0.1% 100%  
134 0.2% 99.9%  
135 0.3% 99.7%  
136 0.5% 99.3%  
137 0.8% 98.8%  
138 2% 98%  
139 4% 96%  
140 4% 92%  
141 5% 89%  
142 6% 84%  
143 8% 78%  
144 12% 70%  
145 10% 58% Median
146 8% 48%  
147 7% 40%  
148 8% 33%  
149 7% 25%  
150 5% 18%  
151 4% 12% Majority
152 3% 8%  
153 2% 6%  
154 1.4% 3%  
155 0.8% 2%  
156 0.4% 1.3%  
157 0.3% 0.8%  
158 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.2%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 99.3%  
68 0.7% 98.8%  
69 1.3% 98%  
70 1.4% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 2% 93%  
73 3% 91%  
74 4% 88%  
75 5% 84%  
76 6% 79%  
77 7% 73%  
78 9% 65%  
79 10% 57%  
80 10% 47% Median
81 8% 36%  
82 7% 28%  
83 7% 21%  
84 5% 14%  
85 4% 10%  
86 3% 6%  
87 1.5% 3%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.7% 1.2%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 0.9% 99.2%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 94%  
66 6% 90%  
67 7% 84%  
68 9% 78%  
69 10% 68%  
70 11% 59% Median
71 11% 48%  
72 8% 36%  
73 8% 28%  
74 6% 20%  
75 5% 14%  
76 3% 9%  
77 3% 6%  
78 1.5% 4%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations