Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 4–9 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.9% 33.3–36.5% 32.9–37.0% 32.5–37.4% 31.7–38.1%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.0% 23.6–26.5% 23.2–26.9% 22.8–27.3% 22.2–28.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.1% 13.0–15.3% 12.7–15.6% 12.4–15.9% 11.9–16.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 6.2% 5.5–7.1% 5.2–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.7–8.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.8% 3.2–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 143–151 141–153 140–154 138–156
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 65–73 64–75 63–76 62–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 39 36–42 35–43 34–44 33–46
Ελληνική Λύση 10 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 13–22
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–12 8–13 0–13 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.8% 99.4%  
140 2% 98.6%  
141 2% 97%  
142 4% 95%  
143 6% 90%  
144 8% 84%  
145 10% 76%  
146 12% 66%  
147 12% 54% Median
148 10% 42%  
149 9% 32%  
150 8% 23%  
151 5% 15% Majority
152 4% 9%  
153 3% 5%  
154 1.5% 3%  
155 0.7% 1.5%  
156 0.4% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 1.4% 98.8%  
64 3% 97%  
65 5% 94%  
66 7% 90%  
67 9% 83%  
68 11% 73%  
69 12% 62% Median
70 13% 50%  
71 11% 36%  
72 9% 25%  
73 7% 16%  
74 4% 10%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.8% 1.5%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.7% 99.7%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 4% 97%  
36 7% 93%  
37 11% 86%  
38 14% 74%  
39 17% 60% Median
40 15% 43%  
41 10% 28%  
42 8% 18%  
43 5% 10%  
44 3% 5%  
45 1.3% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.8%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.9% 99.9%  
14 4% 99.0%  
15 11% 95%  
16 18% 84%  
17 22% 66% Median
18 20% 45%  
19 13% 25%  
20 8% 12%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.0% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 2% 99.7%  
14 7% 98%  
15 14% 91% Last Result
16 22% 77%  
17 21% 55% Median
18 17% 35%  
19 11% 17%  
20 5% 6%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 1.0% 96%  
9 16% 95% Last Result
10 27% 79%  
11 26% 52% Median
12 17% 26%  
13 7% 10%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 182–191 180–192 179–193 177–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 15% 143–151 141–153 140–154 138–156
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–84 74–85 72–86 69–88
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 0% 65–73 64–75 63–76 62–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0.1% 100%  
176 0.2% 99.9%  
177 0.4% 99.7%  
178 0.8% 99.3%  
179 2% 98.6%  
180 3% 97% Last Result
181 4% 94%  
182 6% 90%  
183 8% 84%  
184 10% 76%  
185 10% 66%  
186 12% 56% Median
187 11% 44%  
188 9% 34%  
189 8% 25%  
190 6% 17%  
191 4% 11%  
192 3% 7%  
193 2% 4%  
194 1.0% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.4%  
196 0.4% 0.9%  
197 0.3% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.8% 99.4%  
140 2% 98.6%  
141 2% 97%  
142 4% 95%  
143 6% 90%  
144 8% 84%  
145 10% 76%  
146 12% 66%  
147 12% 54% Median
148 10% 42%  
149 9% 32%  
150 8% 23%  
151 5% 15% Majority
152 4% 9%  
153 3% 5%  
154 1.5% 3%  
155 0.7% 1.5%  
156 0.4% 0.8%  
157 0.2% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.8%  
69 0.3% 99.6%  
70 0.5% 99.3%  
71 0.8% 98.8%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 4% 93%  
76 6% 89%  
77 7% 84%  
78 11% 76%  
79 10% 66%  
80 12% 55% Median
81 12% 43%  
82 10% 31%  
83 8% 21%  
84 6% 13%  
85 4% 8%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.1%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 1.4% 98.8%  
64 3% 97%  
65 5% 94%  
66 7% 90%  
67 9% 83%  
68 11% 73%  
69 12% 62% Median
70 13% 50%  
71 11% 36%  
72 9% 25%  
73 7% 16%  
74 4% 10%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.4% 3%  
77 0.8% 1.5%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations