Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 9–11 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.4% 33.7–37.2% 33.2–37.7% 32.8–38.1% 31.9–39.0%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.4% 24.8–28.0% 24.3–28.5% 24.0–28.9% 23.2–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.7% 14.4–17.1% 14.0–17.5% 13.7–17.8% 13.1–18.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 4.9–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.5–7.1% 4.1–7.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.6% 3.4–5.8% 3.1–6.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 143–153 141–154 140–156 138–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–77 67–79 66–80 64–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 43 40–47 39–48 38–49 36–51
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 13–18 13–19 12–20 11–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 11–15 10–15 9–16 9–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.6%  
139 0.9% 99.1%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 97%  
142 4% 94%  
143 5% 91%  
144 7% 85%  
145 9% 78%  
146 9% 69%  
147 11% 60% Median
148 11% 49%  
149 9% 38%  
150 8% 29%  
151 6% 22% Majority
152 5% 15%  
153 4% 11%  
154 2% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.1% 3%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 1.1% 99.1%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 5% 93%  
69 7% 88%  
70 9% 82%  
71 10% 73%  
72 11% 63%  
73 11% 53% Median
74 10% 41%  
75 9% 31%  
76 7% 22%  
77 5% 15%  
78 3% 10%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.5% 3%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.5% 99.7%  
37 1.2% 99.2%  
38 2% 98%  
39 5% 96%  
40 8% 91%  
41 11% 83%  
42 13% 72%  
43 14% 59% Median
44 12% 45%  
45 11% 33%  
46 8% 22%  
47 6% 15%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.5% 1.0%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 8% 97%  
14 15% 89%  
15 20% 75% Last Result
16 22% 54% Median
17 16% 33%  
18 10% 17%  
19 5% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.6% 0.8%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 0% 99.8%  
8 0.2% 99.8%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 7% 97% Last Result
11 16% 90%  
12 25% 74% Median
13 22% 49%  
14 15% 27%  
15 7% 12%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.1% 1.4%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0% 82%  
4 0% 82%  
5 0% 82%  
6 0% 82%  
7 0% 82%  
8 6% 82%  
9 27% 76% Last Result, Median
10 24% 49%  
11 15% 24%  
12 6% 9%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 191 100% 186–196 184–199 183–200 180–203
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 22% 143–153 141–154 140–156 138–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 81 0% 75–86 73–88 71–89 68–91
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–77 67–79 66–80 64–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
178 0.1% 100%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
181 0.5% 99.5%  
182 1.0% 98.9%  
183 2% 98%  
184 3% 96%  
185 4% 94%  
186 5% 90%  
187 6% 85%  
188 8% 78%  
189 10% 70%  
190 9% 60% Median
191 10% 51%  
192 9% 41%  
193 7% 32%  
194 6% 25%  
195 5% 19%  
196 4% 14%  
197 3% 10%  
198 2% 7%  
199 2% 5%  
200 0.9% 3%  
201 0.8% 2%  
202 0.6% 1.3%  
203 0.3% 0.7%  
204 0.2% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.2%  
206 0.1% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.6%  
139 0.9% 99.1%  
140 2% 98%  
141 3% 97%  
142 4% 94%  
143 5% 91%  
144 7% 85%  
145 9% 78%  
146 9% 69%  
147 11% 60% Median
148 11% 49%  
149 9% 38%  
150 8% 29%  
151 6% 22% Majority
152 5% 15%  
153 4% 11%  
154 2% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.1% 3%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.0% Last Result
159 0.3% 0.5%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.4% 99.4%  
70 0.9% 99.0%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 1.3% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 3% 91%  
76 4% 88%  
77 5% 84%  
78 6% 79%  
79 7% 73%  
80 9% 66%  
81 8% 57%  
82 11% 49% Median
83 9% 38%  
84 8% 29%  
85 7% 21%  
86 5% 14%  
87 3% 9%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.5% 3%  
90 0.8% 2%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.6%  
65 1.1% 99.1%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 5% 93%  
69 7% 88%  
70 9% 82%  
71 10% 73%  
72 11% 63%  
73 11% 53% Median
74 10% 41%  
75 9% 31%  
76 7% 22%  
77 5% 15%  
78 3% 10%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.5% 3%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.1%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations