Opinion Poll by MRB for Newsbomb, 16–18 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.0% 33.1–36.9% 32.5–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–38.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.1% 24.4–27.9% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–28.9% 22.7–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.2% 12.2–16.6% 11.6–17.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 141–152 140–154 139–156 136–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 68–78 66–79 65–80 63–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 40 35–44 34–45 34–46 32–48
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 12–21 11–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–18 12–19 12–20 11–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.3% 99.8%  
137 0.6% 99.4%  
138 1.0% 98.9%  
139 2% 98%  
140 3% 96%  
141 4% 93%  
142 5% 90%  
143 7% 85%  
144 8% 78%  
145 9% 70%  
146 9% 61%  
147 9% 51% Median
148 9% 42%  
149 8% 34%  
150 7% 25%  
151 5% 18% Majority
152 4% 13%  
153 3% 9%  
154 2% 6%  
155 2% 4%  
156 1.2% 3%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.0%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 4% 97%  
67 2% 93%  
68 7% 91%  
69 7% 84%  
70 6% 77%  
71 14% 71%  
72 6% 58%  
73 13% 52% Median
74 10% 39%  
75 6% 29%  
76 8% 23%  
77 4% 14%  
78 4% 10%  
79 3% 7%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.2% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.6% 99.8%  
33 2% 99.2%  
34 3% 98%  
35 6% 95%  
36 6% 89%  
37 6% 83%  
38 7% 77%  
39 13% 70%  
40 12% 57% Median
41 13% 45%  
42 14% 32%  
43 8% 19%  
44 5% 10%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.3% 3%  
47 0.7% 1.4%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 6% 97%  
14 13% 91%  
15 18% 78% Last Result
16 19% 60% Median
17 16% 41%  
18 11% 25%  
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 1.0%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 1.4% 99.7%  
12 5% 98%  
13 9% 94%  
14 16% 84%  
15 19% 68% Median
16 20% 49%  
17 13% 29%  
18 9% 16%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.7% 1.0%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 3% 88%  
9 20% 85% Last Result
10 26% 65% Median
11 19% 39%  
12 12% 20%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–193 179–195 178–196 176–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 18% 141–152 140–154 139–156 136–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 76–87 73–89 72–90 68–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 68–78 66–79 65–80 63–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.4% 99.5%  
177 0.8% 99.1%  
178 1.3% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 95% Last Result
181 4% 92%  
182 5% 88%  
183 7% 82%  
184 8% 75%  
185 8% 67%  
186 9% 59%  
187 9% 50% Median
188 7% 40%  
189 8% 33%  
190 6% 25%  
191 5% 19%  
192 4% 14%  
193 3% 10%  
194 2% 7%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.0% 3%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.6% 1.5%  
199 0.4% 0.9%  
200 0.2% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100%  
134 0.1% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.3% 99.8%  
137 0.6% 99.4%  
138 1.0% 98.9%  
139 2% 98%  
140 3% 96%  
141 4% 93%  
142 5% 90%  
143 7% 85%  
144 8% 78%  
145 9% 70%  
146 9% 61%  
147 9% 51% Median
148 9% 42%  
149 8% 34%  
150 7% 25%  
151 5% 18% Majority
152 4% 13%  
153 3% 9%  
154 2% 6%  
155 2% 4%  
156 1.2% 3%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.5%  
160 0.1% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.3% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 99.2%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 2% 98%  
73 1.3% 96%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 93%  
76 2% 90%  
77 5% 88%  
78 5% 83%  
79 7% 78%  
80 8% 71%  
81 9% 63%  
82 9% 55%  
83 10% 46% Median
84 8% 36%  
85 7% 28%  
86 7% 20%  
87 5% 14%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.7%  
64 0.8% 99.0%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 4% 97%  
67 2% 93%  
68 7% 91%  
69 7% 84%  
70 6% 77%  
71 14% 71%  
72 6% 58%  
73 13% 52% Median
74 10% 39%  
75 6% 29%  
76 8% 23%  
77 4% 14%  
78 4% 10%  
79 3% 7%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.2%  
83 0.2% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations