Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 16–23 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.1% 34.4–37.8% 33.9–38.3% 33.5–38.7% 32.7–39.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.7% 24.2–27.3% 23.7–27.8% 23.4–28.2% 22.7–28.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.0% 13.8–16.3% 13.4–16.7% 13.2–17.1% 12.6–17.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.5% 5.1–7.8% 4.8–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–153 142–154 141–155 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–74 64–75 63–76 62–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 41 37–44 37–45 36–46 34–48
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–20 14–21 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 12–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 8–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.6%  
140 1.0% 99.1%  
141 2% 98%  
142 3% 96%  
143 4% 93%  
144 6% 89%  
145 8% 83%  
146 9% 74%  
147 11% 65%  
148 11% 55% Median
149 10% 44%  
150 10% 34%  
151 7% 24% Majority
152 5% 16%  
153 4% 11%  
154 3% 7%  
155 2% 4%  
156 1.0% 2%  
157 0.7% 1.4%  
158 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 1.4% 98.9%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 6% 91%  
67 8% 84%  
68 10% 76%  
69 12% 66%  
70 12% 53% Median
71 11% 41%  
72 9% 30%  
73 7% 21%  
74 6% 14%  
75 3% 8%  
76 3% 5%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.7% 1.3%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.8%  
35 1.3% 99.3%  
36 3% 98%  
37 6% 95%  
38 9% 90%  
39 12% 80%  
40 14% 68%  
41 14% 54% Median
42 13% 40%  
43 11% 27%  
44 7% 16%  
45 4% 9%  
46 3% 5%  
47 1.3% 2%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.3% 99.8%  
14 4% 98.5%  
15 11% 94% Last Result
16 18% 84%  
17 21% 66% Median
18 19% 45%  
19 14% 26%  
20 7% 12%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.1% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
11 3% 99.4%  
12 10% 96%  
13 18% 87%  
14 22% 69% Median
15 22% 47%  
16 14% 25%  
17 7% 11%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.2%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 0% 93%  
5 0% 93%  
6 0% 93%  
7 0% 93%  
8 4% 93%  
9 21% 88% Last Result
10 27% 67% Median
11 22% 40%  
12 12% 18%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.2% 2%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 184–194 183–196 181–197 179–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 24% 143–153 142–154 141–155 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 75–84 73–85 71–86 68–89
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–74 64–75 63–76 62–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0.2% 99.9%  
179 0.3% 99.7%  
180 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
181 1.3% 98.7%  
182 2% 97%  
183 3% 95%  
184 5% 92%  
185 6% 87%  
186 9% 81%  
187 9% 72%  
188 10% 63%  
189 11% 52% Median
190 10% 41%  
191 8% 32%  
192 7% 24%  
193 5% 17%  
194 4% 12%  
195 3% 8%  
196 2% 5%  
197 1.4% 3%  
198 0.8% 2%  
199 0.5% 1.1%  
200 0.3% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.2% 99.8%  
139 0.5% 99.6%  
140 1.0% 99.1%  
141 2% 98%  
142 3% 96%  
143 4% 93%  
144 6% 89%  
145 8% 83%  
146 9% 74%  
147 11% 65%  
148 11% 55% Median
149 10% 44%  
150 10% 34%  
151 7% 24% Majority
152 5% 16%  
153 4% 11%  
154 3% 7%  
155 2% 4%  
156 1.0% 2%  
157 0.7% 1.4%  
158 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 99.1%  
70 0.6% 98%  
71 1.1% 98%  
72 1.2% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 3% 94%  
75 4% 90%  
76 7% 86%  
77 8% 80%  
78 10% 72%  
79 10% 62%  
80 11% 52% Median
81 12% 41%  
82 9% 30%  
83 7% 21%  
84 5% 14%  
85 4% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.7% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.7% 99.5%  
63 1.4% 98.9%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 6% 91%  
67 8% 84%  
68 10% 76%  
69 12% 66%  
70 12% 53% Median
71 11% 41%  
72 9% 30%  
73 7% 21%  
74 6% 14%  
75 3% 8%  
76 3% 5%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.7% 1.3%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations