Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 23–28 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.5% 33.6–37.5% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.8% 24.1–27.6% 23.6–28.2% 23.2–28.6% 22.4–29.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.6–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 142–152 140–154 139–155 137–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 66–75 65–77 63–78 61–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 40 36–44 35–45 34–46 32–48
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–20 14–20 13–21 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 11–18 11–18 10–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–14 9–14 8–15 0–16

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.2% 99.8%  
137 0.4% 99.6%  
138 0.8% 99.1%  
139 1.3% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 3% 95%  
142 5% 92%  
143 6% 87%  
144 8% 81%  
145 8% 73%  
146 10% 65%  
147 9% 54% Median
148 9% 45%  
149 9% 36%  
150 7% 27%  
151 7% 20% Majority
152 4% 13%  
153 3% 9%  
154 2% 6%  
155 1.4% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.1%  
158 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.4%  
63 1.2% 98.6%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 5% 91%  
67 7% 86%  
68 9% 80%  
69 10% 71%  
70 10% 60%  
71 10% 50% Median
72 10% 40%  
73 8% 30%  
74 6% 22%  
75 6% 15%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.4% 99.8%  
33 1.0% 99.4%  
34 2% 98%  
35 4% 96%  
36 7% 93%  
37 9% 86%  
38 12% 77%  
39 13% 65%  
40 12% 52% Median
41 11% 40%  
42 10% 28%  
43 8% 19%  
44 5% 11%  
45 3% 6%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.8% 2%  
48 0.4% 0.8%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 3% 98.9%  
14 8% 96%  
15 14% 88% Last Result
16 18% 74%  
17 19% 56% Median
18 15% 37%  
19 11% 22%  
20 6% 11%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.2% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.8% Last Result
11 4% 98.7%  
12 10% 95%  
13 17% 85%  
14 21% 68% Median
15 19% 47%  
16 14% 29%  
17 8% 15%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 1.3% 98%  
9 9% 97% Last Result
10 17% 87%  
11 23% 70% Median
12 21% 47%  
13 14% 26%  
14 7% 12%  
15 3% 5%  
16 1.1% 2%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 182–192 180–194 179–195 176–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 147 20% 142–152 140–154 139–155 137–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 77–87 75–88 74–90 70–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 66–75 65–77 63–78 61–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.8%  
176 0.5% 99.7%  
177 0.5% 99.2%  
178 0.8% 98.7%  
179 3% 98%  
180 2% 95% Last Result
181 3% 94%  
182 7% 91%  
183 3% 83%  
184 10% 80%  
185 10% 70%  
186 5% 60%  
187 14% 55% Median
188 8% 42%  
189 5% 33%  
190 10% 28%  
191 4% 18%  
192 4% 13%  
193 4% 9%  
194 1.3% 5%  
195 2% 4%  
196 1.1% 2%  
197 0.4% 1.2%  
198 0.4% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.2%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0.1% 99.9%  
136 0.2% 99.8%  
137 0.4% 99.6%  
138 0.8% 99.1%  
139 1.3% 98%  
140 2% 97%  
141 3% 95%  
142 5% 92%  
143 6% 87%  
144 8% 81%  
145 8% 73%  
146 10% 65%  
147 9% 54% Median
148 9% 45%  
149 9% 36%  
150 7% 27%  
151 7% 20% Majority
152 4% 13%  
153 3% 9%  
154 2% 6%  
155 1.4% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.1%  
158 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 0.5% 99.1%  
73 0.9% 98.6%  
74 1.5% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 3% 94%  
77 4% 91%  
78 6% 87%  
79 7% 81%  
80 10% 73%  
81 10% 63%  
82 10% 54% Median
83 9% 43%  
84 8% 34%  
85 8% 26%  
86 6% 18%  
87 4% 12%  
88 3% 8%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.2% 3%  
91 0.8% 2%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.4%  
63 1.2% 98.6%  
64 2% 97%  
65 4% 95%  
66 5% 91%  
67 7% 86%  
68 9% 80%  
69 10% 71%  
70 10% 60%  
71 10% 50% Median
72 10% 40%  
73 8% 30%  
74 6% 22%  
75 6% 15%  
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.9% 2%  
80 0.5% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations