Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 24–31 May 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.3% 33.7–36.9% 33.3–37.4% 32.9–37.8% 32.1–38.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.5% 23.1–26.0% 22.7–26.4% 22.4–26.8% 21.7–27.5%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.5% 13.4–15.7% 13.0–16.1% 12.8–16.4% 12.3–17.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 4.9–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 144–153 143–155 142–156 139–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 64–73 63–74 62–75 60–77
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 41 37–44 36–45 36–46 34–48
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 17 14–19 14–20 13–20 13–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.4% 99.8%  
140 0.4% 99.4%  
141 1.2% 99.0%  
142 2% 98%  
143 4% 95%  
144 4% 91%  
145 7% 87%  
146 9% 80%  
147 11% 71%  
148 10% 60% Median
149 10% 49%  
150 8% 40%  
151 10% 32% Majority
152 7% 22%  
153 4% 14%  
154 3% 10%  
155 3% 7%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.6%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.5%  
62 1.3% 98.8%  
63 3% 97%  
64 6% 95%  
65 8% 89%  
66 9% 81%  
67 10% 73%  
68 12% 63%  
69 13% 51% Median
70 12% 38%  
71 8% 26%  
72 6% 18%  
73 4% 12%  
74 4% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.9% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.9%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.6% 99.8%  
35 1.3% 99.2%  
36 4% 98%  
37 7% 94%  
38 8% 87%  
39 13% 79%  
40 16% 66%  
41 14% 50% Median
42 13% 36%  
43 10% 23%  
44 6% 13%  
45 4% 7%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.8% 1.3%  
48 0.3% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 2% 99.7%  
15 5% 98% Last Result
16 13% 93%  
17 19% 80%  
18 22% 61% Median
19 19% 39%  
20 12% 20%  
21 5% 8%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.0%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0% 100%  
12 0.4% 100%  
13 2% 99.6%  
14 8% 97%  
15 15% 90%  
16 22% 75%  
17 22% 53% Median
18 16% 31%  
19 9% 15%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.3% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100%  
1 0% 76%  
2 0% 76%  
3 0% 76%  
4 0% 76%  
5 0% 76%  
6 0% 76%  
7 0% 76%  
8 4% 76%  
9 30% 72% Last Result, Median
10 25% 43%  
11 13% 18%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.9% 1.1%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 184–195 183–196 182–198 179–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 32% 144–153 143–155 142–156 139–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 77 0% 70–81 68–82 67–84 65–86
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 69 0% 64–73 63–74 62–75 60–77

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0.3% 99.8%  
180 0.6% 99.5% Last Result
181 1.2% 98.9%  
182 2% 98%  
183 3% 96%  
184 5% 93%  
185 6% 87%  
186 9% 81%  
187 9% 73%  
188 9% 64%  
189 10% 55% Median
190 9% 45%  
191 7% 36%  
192 7% 29%  
193 6% 21%  
194 5% 16%  
195 3% 10%  
196 3% 7%  
197 2% 4%  
198 1.2% 3%  
199 0.7% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.0%  
201 0.2% 0.5%  
202 0.2% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.4% 99.8%  
140 0.4% 99.4%  
141 1.2% 99.0%  
142 2% 98%  
143 4% 95%  
144 4% 91%  
145 7% 87%  
146 9% 80%  
147 11% 71%  
148 10% 60% Median
149 10% 49%  
150 8% 40%  
151 10% 32% Majority
152 7% 22%  
153 4% 14%  
154 3% 10%  
155 3% 7%  
156 2% 4%  
157 0.7% 2%  
158 0.5% 1.2% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.6%  
160 0.2% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.7% 99.5%  
66 1.0% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 3% 95%  
70 4% 92%  
71 4% 88%  
72 4% 84%  
73 5% 80%  
74 7% 75%  
75 8% 67%  
76 9% 59%  
77 9% 50%  
78 10% 41% Median
79 10% 31%  
80 7% 21%  
81 5% 14%  
82 3% 8%  
83 2% 5%  
84 1.4% 3%  
85 0.7% 1.2%  
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.5%  
62 1.3% 98.8%  
63 3% 97%  
64 6% 95%  
65 8% 89%  
66 9% 81%  
67 10% 73%  
68 12% 63%  
69 13% 51% Median
70 12% 38%  
71 8% 26%  
72 6% 18%  
73 4% 12%  
74 4% 8%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.9% 2%  
77 0.5% 0.9%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations