Opinion Poll by MRB, 22–30 June 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.1% 32.8–35.5% 32.4–35.9% 32.1–36.2% 31.4–36.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.7% 24.5–27.0% 24.1–27.4% 23.8–27.7% 23.2–28.3%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.2% 13.2–15.3% 13.0–15.5% 12.7–15.8% 12.3–16.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.9–6.2% 4.7–6.4% 4.6–6.6% 4.3–7.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.2% 4.6–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.1–4.2% 3.0–4.4% 2.9–4.5% 2.7–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 143–150 142–152 141–153 139–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 69–76 68–77 67–78 66–80
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 40 37–43 37–44 36–45 35–46
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 9–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.2% 99.9%  
139 0.5% 99.7%  
140 1.2% 99.2%  
141 2% 98%  
142 4% 95%  
143 7% 91%  
144 11% 85%  
145 10% 74%  
146 14% 64% Median
147 15% 50%  
148 10% 35%  
149 9% 26%  
150 7% 17%  
151 4% 10% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.5% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.4% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.7% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.0%  
68 3% 97%  
69 6% 94%  
70 8% 88%  
71 13% 80%  
72 13% 67%  
73 14% 54% Median
74 13% 40%  
75 9% 26%  
76 8% 17%  
77 4% 9%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 1.0% 99.7%  
36 3% 98.7%  
37 6% 96%  
38 11% 90%  
39 15% 78%  
40 17% 63% Median
41 16% 46%  
42 14% 29%  
43 8% 16%  
44 4% 7%  
45 2% 3%  
46 1.0% 1.3%  
47 0.3% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 5% 99.0%  
14 14% 94%  
15 25% 80% Last Result
16 27% 55% Median
17 17% 28%  
18 8% 11%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.5% 100%  
12 4% 99.5%  
13 13% 96%  
14 25% 83%  
15 27% 58% Median
16 19% 31%  
17 8% 12%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.6% 0.8%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 0% 94%  
5 0% 94%  
6 0% 94%  
7 0% 94%  
8 0.5% 94%  
9 19% 94% Last Result
10 33% 75% Median
11 26% 41%  
12 11% 15%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.5% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–191 182–192 181–194 179–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 146 10% 143–150 142–152 141–153 139–155
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 79–86 77–88 75–89 72–90
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 69–76 68–77 67–78 66–80

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
177 0.1% 100%  
178 0.2% 99.9%  
179 0.5% 99.7%  
180 2% 99.2% Last Result
181 2% 98%  
182 3% 96%  
183 7% 92%  
184 8% 85%  
185 10% 77%  
186 14% 66% Median
187 12% 52%  
188 12% 40%  
189 9% 28%  
190 6% 19%  
191 6% 13%  
192 3% 7%  
193 2% 5%  
194 1.1% 3%  
195 0.8% 2%  
196 0.4% 0.9%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.2% 99.9%  
139 0.5% 99.7%  
140 1.2% 99.2%  
141 2% 98%  
142 4% 95%  
143 7% 91%  
144 11% 85%  
145 10% 74%  
146 14% 64% Median
147 15% 50%  
148 10% 35%  
149 9% 26%  
150 7% 17%  
151 4% 10% Majority
152 2% 5%  
153 1.5% 3%  
154 0.7% 1.5%  
155 0.4% 0.7%  
156 0.2% 0.4%  
157 0.1% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.1% Last Result
159 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.6%  
73 0.4% 99.3%  
74 0.8% 98.8%  
75 0.8% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 3% 94%  
79 6% 91%  
80 7% 85%  
81 10% 78%  
82 13% 67%  
83 14% 55% Median
84 12% 40%  
85 10% 29%  
86 8% 18%  
87 5% 10%  
88 3% 5%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.6% 1.0%  
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.7% 99.7%  
67 2% 99.0%  
68 3% 97%  
69 6% 94%  
70 8% 88%  
71 13% 80%  
72 13% 67%  
73 14% 54% Median
74 13% 40%  
75 9% 26%  
76 8% 17%  
77 4% 9%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.6% 1.1%  
81 0.3% 0.5%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations