Opinion Poll by GPO for Powergame.gr, 28 June–1 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 37.8% | 36.1–39.7% | 35.6–40.2% | 35.1–40.6% | 34.3–41.5% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 27.6% | 26.0–29.3% | 25.5–29.8% | 25.1–30.2% | 24.4–31.0% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 12.7% | 11.5–14.0% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.9–14.7% | 10.4–15.3% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.5–7.9% | 5.3–8.1% | 4.9–8.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.2–6.8% | 3.9–7.2% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 154 | 149–159 | 147–160 | 146–162 | 143–164 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 76 | 71–81 | 70–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–42 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 3% | 95% | |
| 149 | 5% | 92% | |
| 150 | 6% | 87% | |
| 151 | 8% | 81% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 73% | |
| 153 | 10% | 64% | |
| 154 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 155 | 10% | 46% | |
| 156 | 8% | 36% | |
| 157 | 8% | 28% | |
| 158 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 159 | 5% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 89% | |
| 73 | 8% | 82% | |
| 74 | 9% | 74% | |
| 75 | 11% | 65% | |
| 76 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 43% | |
| 78 | 9% | 33% | |
| 79 | 8% | 24% | |
| 80 | 6% | 16% | |
| 81 | 4% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 5% | 96% | |
| 32 | 8% | 90% | |
| 33 | 12% | 82% | |
| 34 | 14% | 70% | |
| 35 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 41% | |
| 37 | 10% | 28% | |
| 38 | 8% | 17% | |
| 39 | 5% | 9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 16 | 11% | 93% | |
| 17 | 17% | 82% | |
| 18 | 19% | 64% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 45% | |
| 20 | 13% | 27% | |
| 21 | 8% | 14% | |
| 22 | 4% | 6% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 7% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 91% | |
| 14 | 21% | 77% | |
| 15 | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 36% | |
| 17 | 10% | 18% | |
| 18 | 5% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 22% | |
| 2 | 0% | 22% | |
| 3 | 0% | 22% | |
| 4 | 0% | 22% | |
| 5 | 0% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0% | 22% | |
| 7 | 0% | 22% | |
| 8 | 7% | 22% | |
| 9 | 11% | 15% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 189 | 100% | 183–194 | 182–196 | 180–197 | 178–199 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 154 | 81% | 149–159 | 147–160 | 146–162 | 143–164 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 78 | 0% | 72–84 | 71–85 | 70–87 | 68–90 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 76 | 0% | 71–81 | 70–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 178 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 179 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 180 | 1.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 181 | 2% | 97% | |
| 182 | 2% | 95% | |
| 183 | 4% | 93% | |
| 184 | 4% | 90% | |
| 185 | 6% | 85% | |
| 186 | 7% | 79% | |
| 187 | 7% | 73% | |
| 188 | 10% | 65% | |
| 189 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 190 | 9% | 45% | |
| 191 | 8% | 37% | |
| 192 | 8% | 29% | |
| 193 | 6% | 21% | |
| 194 | 5% | 15% | |
| 195 | 4% | 10% | |
| 196 | 2% | 6% | |
| 197 | 2% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 144 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 145 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 146 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 3% | 95% | |
| 149 | 5% | 92% | |
| 150 | 6% | 87% | |
| 151 | 8% | 81% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 73% | |
| 153 | 10% | 64% | |
| 154 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 155 | 10% | 46% | |
| 156 | 8% | 36% | |
| 157 | 8% | 28% | |
| 158 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 159 | 5% | 13% | |
| 160 | 3% | 8% | |
| 161 | 2% | 5% | |
| 162 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 163 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 165 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 167 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 4% | 94% | |
| 73 | 5% | 90% | |
| 74 | 7% | 85% | |
| 75 | 8% | 78% | |
| 76 | 10% | 69% | Median |
| 77 | 9% | 59% | |
| 78 | 9% | 50% | |
| 79 | 9% | 42% | |
| 80 | 7% | 33% | |
| 81 | 6% | 26% | |
| 82 | 5% | 20% | |
| 83 | 4% | 15% | |
| 84 | 3% | 11% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 89% | |
| 73 | 8% | 82% | |
| 74 | 9% | 74% | |
| 75 | 11% | 65% | |
| 76 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 77 | 10% | 43% | |
| 78 | 9% | 33% | |
| 79 | 8% | 24% | |
| 80 | 6% | 16% | |
| 81 | 4% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GPO
- Commissioner(s): Powergame.gr
- Fieldwork period: 28 June–1 July 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1200
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.96%