Opinion Poll by Alco for Open TV, 27 June–4 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.2% 33.6–36.9% 33.1–37.4% 32.8–37.8% 32.0–38.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.3% 23.8–26.8% 23.4–27.3% 23.1–27.6% 22.4–28.4%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.4% 13.3–15.7% 13.0–16.1% 12.7–16.4% 12.1–17.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.5–7.8%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.9% 5.2–6.8% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.3% 4.5–7.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.5% 2.9–4.2% 2.8–4.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.4–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–152 142–154 141–155 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 66–74 65–76 64–77 62–79
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 40 37–43 36–44 35–45 34–47
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 14–20 13–20 12–21
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.6% 99.5%  
140 1.1% 98.9%  
141 2% 98%  
142 4% 96%  
143 5% 92%  
144 7% 87%  
145 9% 80%  
146 10% 70%  
147 10% 60%  
148 10% 50% Median
149 11% 40%  
150 8% 29%  
151 6% 21% Majority
152 5% 14%  
153 4% 9%  
154 2% 5%  
155 1.2% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.1%  
158 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.7%  
63 1.1% 99.2%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 96%  
66 6% 92%  
67 8% 86%  
68 10% 78%  
69 12% 69%  
70 12% 56% Median
71 12% 45%  
72 10% 33%  
73 8% 23%  
74 6% 15%  
75 4% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.3% 3%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 0.9% 99.5%  
35 2% 98.6%  
36 5% 96%  
37 8% 92%  
38 10% 84%  
39 15% 73%  
40 16% 58% Median
41 13% 42%  
42 11% 29%  
43 8% 18%  
44 5% 10%  
45 2% 5%  
46 1.4% 2%  
47 0.7% 1.1%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 2% 99.5%  
14 7% 98%  
15 14% 91% Last Result
16 22% 77%  
17 22% 55% Median
18 17% 33%  
19 10% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.4%  
14 8% 97%  
15 16% 89%  
16 23% 73% Median
17 21% 50%  
18 15% 29%  
19 9% 14%  
20 3% 5%  
21 1.4% 2%  
22 0.4% 0.5%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 4% 88%  
9 26% 84% Last Result
10 27% 58% Median
11 20% 31%  
12 8% 11%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 183–193 181–194 180–196 178–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 21% 143–152 142–154 141–155 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 79 0% 74–84 72–85 70–86 67–88
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 70 0% 66–74 65–76 64–77 62–79

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0.1% 100%  
177 0.2% 99.9%  
178 0.4% 99.7%  
179 0.7% 99.4%  
180 1.3% 98.6% Last Result
181 2% 97%  
182 4% 95%  
183 6% 91%  
184 7% 86%  
185 9% 79%  
186 10% 70%  
187 11% 60%  
188 10% 50% Median
189 9% 40%  
190 9% 31%  
191 6% 22%  
192 5% 16%  
193 3% 11%  
194 2% 7%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.1% 3%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.5% 1.2%  
199 0.3% 0.7%  
200 0.2% 0.4%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.8%  
139 0.6% 99.5%  
140 1.1% 98.9%  
141 2% 98%  
142 4% 96%  
143 5% 92%  
144 7% 87%  
145 9% 80%  
146 10% 70%  
147 10% 60%  
148 10% 50% Median
149 11% 40%  
150 8% 29%  
151 6% 21% Majority
152 5% 14%  
153 4% 9%  
154 2% 5%  
155 1.2% 3%  
156 0.9% 2%  
157 0.5% 1.1%  
158 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.4% 99.6%  
68 0.6% 99.3%  
69 0.7% 98.7%  
70 1.3% 98%  
71 2% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 3% 93%  
74 4% 91%  
75 4% 87%  
76 6% 83%  
77 8% 76%  
78 10% 68%  
79 10% 59%  
80 11% 48% Median
81 10% 37%  
82 10% 27%  
83 6% 18%  
84 5% 12%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.0% 2%  
88 0.5% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.2%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.5% 99.7%  
63 1.1% 99.2%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 96%  
66 6% 92%  
67 8% 86%  
68 10% 78%  
69 12% 69%  
70 12% 56% Median
71 12% 45%  
72 10% 33%  
73 8% 23%  
74 6% 15%  
75 4% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 1.3% 3%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.4% 0.8%  
80 0.2% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations