Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 4–6 July 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.0% 34.3–37.8% 33.9–38.2% 33.5–38.7% 32.6–39.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.8% 25.3–28.4% 24.9–28.9% 24.5–29.3% 23.8–30.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.6% 12.4–14.9% 12.1–15.2% 11.8–15.5% 11.3–16.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.5–7.0% 4.1–7.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.5% 4.8–6.4% 4.6–6.7% 4.4–6.9% 4.1–7.4%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.5% 2.3–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 145–154 143–156 142–157 140–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 70–79 69–80 67–81 66–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 38 34–41 33–42 32–43 31–45
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 13–18 13–19 12–19 11–21
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.4% 99.6%  
141 0.9% 99.2%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 97%  
144 4% 94%  
145 6% 90%  
146 7% 85%  
147 10% 78%  
148 10% 68%  
149 10% 59% Median
150 11% 48%  
151 9% 38% Majority
152 8% 29%  
153 6% 21%  
154 5% 14%  
155 3% 10%  
156 3% 7%  
157 1.3% 4%  
158 1.2% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.4% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.5%  
67 1.4% 98.7%  
68 2% 97%  
69 4% 95%  
70 6% 91%  
71 8% 84%  
72 10% 77%  
73 12% 67%  
74 11% 55% Median
75 9% 44%  
76 11% 35%  
77 8% 23%  
78 5% 16%  
79 4% 11%  
80 3% 7%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.2%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.7%  
32 2% 99.1%  
33 3% 97%  
34 7% 94%  
35 9% 87%  
36 12% 78%  
37 15% 66%  
38 16% 51% Median
39 13% 35%  
40 10% 23%  
41 7% 13%  
42 3% 7%  
43 2% 3%  
44 0.8% 1.5%  
45 0.4% 0.7%  
46 0.2% 0.3%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 8% 96%  
14 15% 89%  
15 23% 73%  
16 22% 51% Median
17 14% 29%  
18 8% 14%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 3% 99.2%  
13 9% 96%  
14 18% 87%  
15 24% 69% Last Result, Median
16 20% 44%  
17 12% 25%  
18 7% 12%  
19 3% 5%  
20 1.0% 1.4%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 0% 81%  
2 0% 81%  
3 0% 81%  
4 0% 81%  
5 0% 81%  
6 0% 81%  
7 0% 81%  
8 7% 81%  
9 27% 74% Last Result, Median
10 25% 47%  
11 15% 22%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 187 100% 182–193 181–194 179–196 177–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 38% 145–154 143–156 142–157 140–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 76–87 74–88 73–90 70–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 70–79 69–80 67–81 66–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.4% 99.6%  
178 0.8% 99.2%  
179 2% 98%  
180 2% 97% Last Result
181 4% 95%  
182 5% 91%  
183 7% 86%  
184 7% 79%  
185 10% 72%  
186 9% 62%  
187 7% 53% Median
188 11% 45%  
189 7% 34%  
190 7% 27%  
191 6% 20%  
192 4% 14%  
193 3% 10%  
194 2% 7%  
195 2% 4%  
196 1.0% 3%  
197 0.9% 2%  
198 0.3% 0.9%  
199 0.3% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.4% 99.6%  
141 0.9% 99.2%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 97%  
144 4% 94%  
145 6% 90%  
146 7% 85%  
147 10% 78%  
148 10% 68%  
149 10% 59% Median
150 11% 48%  
151 9% 38% Majority
152 8% 29%  
153 6% 21%  
154 5% 14%  
155 3% 10%  
156 3% 7%  
157 1.3% 4%  
158 1.2% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.4% 0.8%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.6%  
71 0.5% 99.2%  
72 0.8% 98.7%  
73 2% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 94%  
76 4% 92%  
77 3% 88%  
78 4% 85%  
79 8% 81%  
80 5% 73%  
81 10% 68%  
82 13% 58%  
83 7% 46% Median
84 8% 39%  
85 10% 31%  
86 7% 21%  
87 4% 13%  
88 5% 10%  
89 2% 5%  
90 0.8% 3%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.8%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.5%  
67 1.4% 98.7%  
68 2% 97%  
69 4% 95%  
70 6% 91%  
71 8% 84%  
72 10% 77%  
73 12% 67%  
74 11% 55% Median
75 9% 44%  
76 11% 35%  
77 8% 23%  
78 5% 16%  
79 4% 11%  
80 3% 7%  
81 1.4% 4%  
82 1.1% 2%  
83 0.7% 1.2%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations