Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 29–31 August 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 34.0% 32.1–36.0% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–37.9%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.8–27.3% 22.3–27.7% 21.6–28.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 15.7% 14.3–17.2% 13.9–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.9–18.8%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 138–148 136–150 135–151 133–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 64–73 62–75 61–75 59–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 43 39–47 38–48 37–49 35–51
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 21 18–24 17–25 16–25 15–27
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 14 11–16 11–17 10–17 9–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–17

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.8%  
133 0.4% 99.6%  
134 0.9% 99.2%  
135 1.3% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 4% 95%  
138 4% 91%  
139 7% 87%  
140 6% 80%  
141 10% 74%  
142 10% 64%  
143 9% 54% Median
144 9% 44%  
145 8% 35%  
146 8% 27%  
147 5% 19%  
148 5% 13%  
149 3% 8%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.3% 3% Majority
152 0.8% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.0%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 0.5% 99.2%  
61 2% 98.7%  
62 3% 97%  
63 2% 93%  
64 5% 91%  
65 11% 86%  
66 8% 75%  
67 6% 67%  
68 15% 61% Median
69 12% 46%  
70 5% 34%  
71 9% 29%  
72 9% 20%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 8%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.3%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0.2% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.8%  
36 1.0% 99.4%  
37 2% 98%  
38 4% 96%  
39 6% 93%  
40 8% 87%  
41 11% 79%  
42 13% 68%  
43 13% 55% Median
44 12% 42%  
45 10% 30%  
46 8% 21%  
47 5% 13%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.1% 2%  
51 0.6% 1.0%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.2%  
17 4% 97%  
18 9% 93%  
19 16% 83%  
20 16% 67%  
21 16% 51% Median
22 15% 36%  
23 11% 21%  
24 5% 10%  
25 3% 5%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.6% 0.8%  
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
10 3% 99.2%  
11 9% 96%  
12 16% 87%  
13 21% 71%  
14 21% 51% Median
15 15% 30%  
16 9% 15%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.8%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 1.0% 98%  
9 7% 98%  
10 16% 90% Last Result
11 22% 74%  
12 22% 53% Median
13 16% 31%  
14 9% 15%  
15 4% 6%  
16 1.4% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–191 179–193 178–194 175–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 143 3% 138–148 136–150 135–151 133–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 77–87 75–88 74–90 72–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 64–73 62–75 61–75 59–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0% 100%  
173 0.1% 99.9%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.7%  
176 0.6% 99.4%  
177 1.0% 98.9%  
178 2% 98%  
179 2% 96%  
180 3% 94% Last Result
181 5% 91%  
182 6% 86%  
183 8% 80%  
184 9% 72%  
185 10% 63%  
186 9% 53% Median
187 9% 44%  
188 9% 36%  
189 7% 27%  
190 6% 20%  
191 4% 14%  
192 3% 9%  
193 2% 6%  
194 1.4% 4%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.3%  
197 0.3% 0.7%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0.1% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
130 0% 100%  
131 0.1% 99.9%  
132 0.2% 99.8%  
133 0.4% 99.6%  
134 0.9% 99.2%  
135 1.3% 98%  
136 2% 97%  
137 4% 95%  
138 4% 91%  
139 7% 87%  
140 6% 80%  
141 10% 74%  
142 10% 64%  
143 9% 54% Median
144 9% 44%  
145 8% 35%  
146 8% 27%  
147 5% 19%  
148 5% 13%  
149 3% 8%  
150 2% 5%  
151 1.3% 3% Majority
152 0.8% 2%  
153 0.5% 1.0%  
154 0.3% 0.6%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 0.7% 99.3%  
74 1.4% 98.5%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 5% 92%  
78 7% 87%  
79 7% 80%  
80 9% 72%  
81 11% 64%  
82 11% 53% Median
83 9% 43%  
84 8% 33%  
85 8% 25%  
86 6% 17%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.2% 3%  
91 0.6% 1.4%  
92 0.4% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.6%  
60 0.5% 99.2%  
61 2% 98.7%  
62 3% 97%  
63 2% 93%  
64 5% 91%  
65 11% 86%  
66 8% 75%  
67 6% 67%  
68 15% 61% Median
69 12% 46%  
70 5% 34%  
71 9% 29%  
72 9% 20%  
73 3% 11%  
74 3% 8%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.3%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations