Opinion Poll by Prorata for Η Εφημερίδα των Συντακτών, 2–5 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.7% 33.8–37.7% 33.3–38.3% 32.8–38.8% 31.9–39.7%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.8% 28.0–31.7% 27.5–32.2% 27.1–32.7% 26.2–33.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–154 141–156 140–157 90–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–87 76–89 74–91 72–140
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 36 32–40 31–41 31–42 29–44
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–20 14–20 13–21 12–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 9–14 9–15 8–15 0–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 8 0–10 0–11 0–11 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.1% 99.4%  
93 0% 99.3%  
94 0% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.3%  
96 0% 99.3%  
97 0% 99.3%  
98 0% 99.3%  
99 0% 99.3%  
100 0% 99.3%  
101 0% 99.3%  
102 0% 99.3%  
103 0% 99.3%  
104 0% 99.3%  
105 0% 99.3%  
106 0% 99.3%  
107 0% 99.3%  
108 0% 99.3%  
109 0% 99.3%  
110 0% 99.3%  
111 0% 99.3%  
112 0% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.3%  
114 0% 99.3%  
115 0% 99.3%  
116 0% 99.3%  
117 0% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.3%  
125 0% 99.3%  
126 0% 99.3%  
127 0% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.3%  
129 0% 99.3%  
130 0% 99.3%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0% 99.3%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0.1% 99.2%  
137 0.2% 99.2%  
138 0.4% 99.0%  
139 0.7% 98.6%  
140 1.4% 98%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 94%  
143 4% 92%  
144 5% 87%  
145 7% 82%  
146 7% 75%  
147 10% 68%  
148 8% 58% Median
149 10% 49%  
150 8% 39%  
151 7% 31% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 5% 17%  
154 4% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 6%  
157 1.3% 4%  
158 0.9% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 1.1% 99.0%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 6% 92%  
78 8% 86%  
79 9% 78%  
80 6% 70%  
81 7% 63%  
82 8% 56% Median
83 10% 48%  
84 9% 38%  
85 9% 29%  
86 7% 21% Last Result
87 5% 14%  
88 2% 9%  
89 2% 7%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.5% 3%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.2% 1.0%  
94 0% 0.8%  
95 0% 0.8%  
96 0% 0.8%  
97 0% 0.8%  
98 0% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0% 0.7%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.7%  
126 0% 0.7%  
127 0% 0.7%  
128 0% 0.7%  
129 0% 0.7%  
130 0% 0.7%  
131 0% 0.7%  
132 0% 0.7%  
133 0% 0.7%  
134 0% 0.7%  
135 0% 0.7%  
136 0% 0.7%  
137 0.1% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.6%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.7%  
30 1.4% 99.1%  
31 3% 98%  
32 5% 95%  
33 8% 90%  
34 11% 82%  
35 13% 70%  
36 13% 58% Median
37 12% 44%  
38 12% 32%  
39 7% 20%  
40 6% 13%  
41 3% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.1% 2%  
44 0.6% 0.9%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.8%  
13 3% 98.7%  
14 8% 95%  
15 13% 87% Last Result
16 19% 74%  
17 19% 55% Median
18 15% 36%  
19 10% 21%  
20 6% 11%  
21 3% 5%  
22 1.1% 2%  
23 0.4% 0.6%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.8% 98%  
9 8% 97%  
10 16% 90% Last Result
11 22% 74%  
12 22% 52% Median
13 16% 30%  
14 9% 15%  
15 4% 6%  
16 1.5% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52%  
5 0% 52%  
6 0% 52%  
7 0% 52%  
8 8% 52% Median
9 23% 43% Last Result
10 13% 20%  
11 5% 7%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 185 99.3% 178–191 177–193 175–194 127–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 31% 143–154 141–156 140–157 90–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 87 0.1% 80–93 79–95 78–97 74–145
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–87 76–89 74–91 72–140

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0.1% 99.9%  
122 0.1% 99.9%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.7%  
126 0.1% 99.6%  
127 0.1% 99.5%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.4%  
130 0% 99.4%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0% 99.3%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0% 99.3%  
137 0% 99.3%  
138 0% 99.3%  
139 0% 99.3%  
140 0% 99.3%  
141 0% 99.3%  
142 0% 99.3%  
143 0% 99.3%  
144 0% 99.3%  
145 0% 99.3%  
146 0% 99.3%  
147 0% 99.3%  
148 0% 99.3%  
149 0% 99.3%  
150 0% 99.3%  
151 0% 99.3% Majority
152 0% 99.3%  
153 0% 99.3%  
154 0% 99.3%  
155 0% 99.3%  
156 0% 99.3%  
157 0% 99.3%  
158 0% 99.3%  
159 0% 99.3%  
160 0% 99.3%  
161 0% 99.3%  
162 0% 99.3%  
163 0% 99.3%  
164 0% 99.3%  
165 0% 99.3%  
166 0% 99.3%  
167 0% 99.3%  
168 0% 99.3%  
169 0% 99.3%  
170 0% 99.2%  
171 0.1% 99.2%  
172 0.1% 99.2%  
173 0.4% 99.0%  
174 0.6% 98.6%  
175 1.1% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 3% 95%  
178 3% 93%  
179 4% 90%  
180 5% 86% Last Result
181 7% 80%  
182 7% 73%  
183 7% 66%  
184 8% 59% Median
185 9% 51%  
186 8% 42%  
187 7% 34%  
188 7% 27%  
189 6% 21%  
190 4% 15%  
191 3% 11%  
192 3% 8%  
193 2% 5%  
194 1.3% 3%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.5% 1.3%  
197 0.3% 0.7%  
198 0.2% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0.1% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.1% 99.4%  
93 0% 99.3%  
94 0% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.3%  
96 0% 99.3%  
97 0% 99.3%  
98 0% 99.3%  
99 0% 99.3%  
100 0% 99.3%  
101 0% 99.3%  
102 0% 99.3%  
103 0% 99.3%  
104 0% 99.3%  
105 0% 99.3%  
106 0% 99.3%  
107 0% 99.3%  
108 0% 99.3%  
109 0% 99.3%  
110 0% 99.3%  
111 0% 99.3%  
112 0% 99.3%  
113 0% 99.3%  
114 0% 99.3%  
115 0% 99.3%  
116 0% 99.3%  
117 0% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0% 99.3%  
120 0% 99.3%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.3%  
125 0% 99.3%  
126 0% 99.3%  
127 0% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.3%  
129 0% 99.3%  
130 0% 99.3%  
131 0% 99.3%  
132 0% 99.3%  
133 0% 99.3%  
134 0% 99.3%  
135 0% 99.3%  
136 0.1% 99.2%  
137 0.2% 99.2%  
138 0.4% 99.0%  
139 0.7% 98.6%  
140 1.4% 98%  
141 2% 96%  
142 2% 94%  
143 4% 92%  
144 5% 87%  
145 7% 82%  
146 7% 75%  
147 10% 68%  
148 8% 58% Median
149 10% 49%  
150 8% 39%  
151 7% 31% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 5% 17%  
154 4% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 6%  
157 1.3% 4%  
158 0.9% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.3% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0.1% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.3% 99.8%  
75 0.4% 99.5%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 1.4% 98%  
79 3% 96%  
80 4% 93%  
81 4% 89%  
82 3% 85%  
83 4% 81%  
84 6% 78%  
85 9% 72%  
86 10% 62%  
87 9% 52%  
88 7% 43%  
89 4% 36%  
90 5% 32% Median
91 6% 26%  
92 6% 20%  
93 5% 14%  
94 3% 9%  
95 2% 6% Last Result
96 1.2% 4%  
97 1.1% 3%  
98 0.7% 2%  
99 0.3% 1.3%  
100 0.2% 1.0%  
101 0.1% 0.8%  
102 0% 0.8%  
103 0% 0.8%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.7%  
126 0% 0.7%  
127 0% 0.7%  
128 0% 0.7%  
129 0% 0.7%  
130 0% 0.7%  
131 0% 0.7%  
132 0% 0.7%  
133 0% 0.7%  
134 0% 0.7%  
135 0% 0.7%  
136 0% 0.7%  
137 0% 0.7%  
138 0% 0.7%  
139 0% 0.7%  
140 0% 0.7%  
141 0% 0.7%  
142 0% 0.7%  
143 0% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.5%  
146 0.1% 0.4%  
147 0.1% 0.3%  
148 0.1% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.1% Majority
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 1.1% 99.0%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 3% 96%  
77 6% 92%  
78 8% 86%  
79 9% 78%  
80 6% 70%  
81 7% 63%  
82 8% 56% Median
83 10% 48%  
84 9% 38%  
85 9% 29%  
86 7% 21% Last Result
87 5% 14%  
88 2% 9%  
89 2% 7%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.5% 3%  
92 0.6% 2%  
93 0.2% 1.0%  
94 0% 0.8%  
95 0% 0.8%  
96 0% 0.8%  
97 0% 0.8%  
98 0% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.7%  
100 0% 0.7%  
101 0% 0.7%  
102 0% 0.7%  
103 0% 0.7%  
104 0% 0.7%  
105 0% 0.7%  
106 0% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.7%  
108 0% 0.7%  
109 0% 0.7%  
110 0% 0.7%  
111 0% 0.7%  
112 0% 0.7%  
113 0% 0.7%  
114 0% 0.7%  
115 0% 0.7%  
116 0% 0.7%  
117 0% 0.7%  
118 0% 0.7%  
119 0% 0.7%  
120 0% 0.7%  
121 0% 0.7%  
122 0% 0.7%  
123 0% 0.7%  
124 0% 0.7%  
125 0% 0.7%  
126 0% 0.7%  
127 0% 0.7%  
128 0% 0.7%  
129 0% 0.7%  
130 0% 0.7%  
131 0% 0.7%  
132 0% 0.7%  
133 0% 0.7%  
134 0% 0.7%  
135 0% 0.7%  
136 0% 0.7%  
137 0.1% 0.7%  
138 0.1% 0.6%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.3%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0.1% 0.2%  
146 0.1% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations