Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 12–14 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.2% 35.3–39.2% 34.7–39.8% 34.2–40.3% 33.3–41.2%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.3% 26.5–30.2% 26.0–30.7% 25.6–31.2% 24.8–32.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 148–159 146–160 145–161 142–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 73–84 72–85 71–86 68–89
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 36 32–40 31–41 31–42 29–44
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–21 15–22 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–8 0–9 0–10 0–11

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.3% 99.6%  
143 0.6% 99.3%  
144 1.1% 98.7%  
145 1.4% 98%  
146 2% 96%  
147 4% 94%  
148 4% 90%  
149 6% 86%  
150 7% 80%  
151 9% 73% Majority
152 9% 64%  
153 9% 55% Median
154 10% 46%  
155 7% 36%  
156 7% 29%  
157 6% 21%  
158 4% 15% Last Result
159 4% 11%  
160 2% 7%  
161 2% 4%  
162 1.0% 2%  
163 0.7% 1.4%  
164 0.4% 0.8%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 93%  
74 6% 89%  
75 7% 84%  
76 8% 77%  
77 10% 69%  
78 11% 59% Median
79 9% 49%  
80 10% 40%  
81 9% 30%  
82 6% 22%  
83 5% 16%  
84 4% 11%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.7%  
30 1.4% 99.1%  
31 3% 98%  
32 5% 95%  
33 8% 90%  
34 11% 82%  
35 12% 71%  
36 14% 59% Median
37 12% 45%  
38 12% 33%  
39 7% 21%  
40 6% 14%  
41 3% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 0.8% 2%  
44 0.6% 1.0%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.7%  
14 3% 98.7%  
15 8% 95% Last Result
16 13% 88%  
17 18% 75%  
18 19% 57% Median
19 15% 38%  
20 11% 23%  
21 6% 12%  
22 4% 6%  
23 1.5% 2%  
24 0.6% 0.8%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.1% 99.7%  
9 2% 99.6%  
10 6% 98% Last Result
11 13% 92%  
12 19% 78%  
13 23% 60% Median
14 17% 37%  
15 11% 21%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 4%  
18 0.9% 1.3%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0% 15%  
4 0% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 0% 15%  
8 5% 15%  
9 7% 10% Last Result
10 2% 3%  
11 0.5% 0.6%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 189 100% 184–195 182–197 180–198 177–201
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 73% 148–159 146–160 145–161 142–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 80 0% 74–86 73–87 72–89 69–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 78 0% 73–84 72–85 71–86 68–89

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.3% 99.7%  
178 0.5% 99.4%  
179 0.6% 98.9%  
180 1.0% 98% Last Result
181 2% 97%  
182 2% 96%  
183 3% 94%  
184 4% 90%  
185 6% 86%  
186 7% 80%  
187 7% 73%  
188 9% 66%  
189 8% 57% Median
190 9% 48%  
191 9% 39%  
192 7% 30%  
193 7% 24%  
194 5% 17%  
195 4% 12%  
196 3% 8%  
197 2% 5%  
198 1.4% 3%  
199 0.8% 2%  
200 0.5% 1.0%  
201 0.3% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.8%  
142 0.3% 99.6%  
143 0.6% 99.3%  
144 1.1% 98.7%  
145 1.4% 98%  
146 2% 96%  
147 4% 94%  
148 4% 90%  
149 6% 86%  
150 7% 80%  
151 9% 73% Majority
152 9% 64%  
153 9% 55% Median
154 10% 46%  
155 7% 36%  
156 7% 29%  
157 6% 21%  
158 4% 15% Last Result
159 4% 11%  
160 2% 7%  
161 2% 4%  
162 1.0% 2%  
163 0.7% 1.4%  
164 0.4% 0.8%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 0.6% 99.4%  
71 1.3% 98.8%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 4% 93%  
75 5% 89%  
76 6% 84%  
77 8% 77%  
78 9% 69% Median
79 8% 60%  
80 9% 52%  
81 9% 42%  
82 7% 33%  
83 6% 26%  
84 6% 20%  
85 4% 14%  
86 3% 10%  
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.2% 3%  
90 0.7% 2%  
91 0.5% 1.1%  
92 0.3% 0.7%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 93%  
74 6% 89%  
75 7% 84%  
76 8% 77%  
77 10% 69%  
78 11% 59% Median
79 9% 49%  
80 10% 40%  
81 9% 30%  
82 6% 22%  
83 5% 16%  
84 4% 11%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4% Last Result
87 1.2% 2%  
88 0.6% 1.3%  
89 0.3% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations