Opinion Poll by Palmos Analysis for The Caller, 20–23 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.5% 34.6–38.5% 34.1–39.0% 33.6–39.5% 32.7–40.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 25.4% 23.7–27.2% 23.2–27.7% 22.8–28.2% 22.1–29.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.8% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–153 142–155 140–156 138–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 64–73 62–74 61–75 59–78
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 38 34–42 33–43 33–44 31–46
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 16–23 15–23 14–25
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 13 11–16 11–17 10–17 9–19
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.4% 99.7%  
139 0.7% 99.3%  
140 1.3% 98.6%  
141 2% 97%  
142 3% 95%  
143 4% 92%  
144 6% 88%  
145 8% 81%  
146 9% 74%  
147 10% 65%  
148 10% 55% Median
149 10% 45%  
150 8% 35%  
151 8% 27% Majority
152 6% 19%  
153 4% 13%  
154 3% 8%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.7% 99.4%  
61 1.4% 98.6%  
62 2% 97%  
63 4% 95%  
64 5% 91%  
65 8% 86%  
66 9% 78%  
67 11% 69%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 11% 47%  
70 10% 37%  
71 8% 27%  
72 6% 19%  
73 5% 12%  
74 3% 7%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.2% 2%  
77 0.7% 1.3%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.6% 99.7%  
32 1.5% 99.1%  
33 3% 98%  
34 5% 95%  
35 8% 89%  
36 12% 81%  
37 13% 70%  
38 13% 57% Median
39 14% 44%  
40 10% 30%  
41 9% 20%  
42 5% 12%  
43 3% 7%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.9% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.7%  
47 0.2% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.9% 99.8%  
15 3% 98.9% Last Result
16 7% 96%  
17 13% 89%  
18 17% 76%  
19 19% 59% Median
20 16% 40%  
21 11% 24%  
22 7% 13%  
23 3% 6%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.6% 0.8%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.9% Last Result
10 3% 99.2%  
11 9% 96%  
12 17% 87%  
13 21% 71% Median
14 20% 49%  
15 14% 29%  
16 9% 15%  
17 4% 6%  
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 5% 98% Last Result
11 13% 93%  
12 20% 80%  
13 22% 60% Median
14 17% 38%  
15 12% 21%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 1.0%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–191 179–193 178–194 176–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 27% 143–153 142–155 140–156 138–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 77–87 76–88 75–89 72–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 68 0% 64–73 62–74 61–75 59–78

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.2% 99.8%  
176 0.4% 99.6%  
177 0.8% 99.1%  
178 1.4% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 95% Last Result
181 4% 92%  
182 6% 87%  
183 8% 82%  
184 9% 74%  
185 9% 65%  
186 11% 56% Median
187 9% 46%  
188 9% 36%  
189 8% 28%  
190 6% 20%  
191 5% 14%  
192 3% 9%  
193 2% 6%  
194 1.5% 3%  
195 0.9% 2%  
196 0.4% 0.9%  
197 0.3% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.4% 99.7%  
139 0.7% 99.3%  
140 1.3% 98.6%  
141 2% 97%  
142 3% 95%  
143 4% 92%  
144 6% 88%  
145 8% 81%  
146 9% 74%  
147 10% 65%  
148 10% 55% Median
149 10% 45%  
150 8% 35%  
151 8% 27% Majority
152 6% 19%  
153 4% 13%  
154 3% 8%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.8% 2%  
158 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.4%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.7% 99.4%  
74 1.1% 98.7%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 95%  
77 5% 92%  
78 6% 87%  
79 8% 82%  
80 10% 74%  
81 10% 64% Median
82 11% 53%  
83 9% 42%  
84 9% 33%  
85 7% 24%  
86 6% 17%  
87 4% 11%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.1% 2%  
91 0.7% 1.3%  
92 0.3% 0.6%  
93 0.2% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 0.7% 99.4%  
61 1.4% 98.6%  
62 2% 97%  
63 4% 95%  
64 5% 91%  
65 8% 86%  
66 9% 78%  
67 11% 69%  
68 11% 58% Median
69 11% 47%  
70 10% 37%  
71 8% 27%  
72 6% 19%  
73 5% 12%  
74 3% 7%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.2% 2%  
77 0.7% 1.3%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations