Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 20–24 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.6% 35.8–39.4% 35.3–39.9% 34.8–40.4% 34.0–41.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.6% 26.0–29.3% 25.5–29.8% 25.1–30.3% 24.4–31.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.6–14.9% 11.3–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.2% 5.3–7.2% 5.1–7.5% 4.9–7.7% 4.6–8.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.7% 4.0–5.6% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.1% 3.3–6.6%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.4–4.2% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 147–158 146–159 144–161 142–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 71–80 69–82 68–83 66–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 36 32–39 31–41 31–41 29–43
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–20 14–20 13–21 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 13 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–18
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.4% 99.7%  
143 0.7% 99.3%  
144 1.4% 98.6%  
145 2% 97%  
146 3% 95%  
147 4% 92%  
148 6% 88%  
149 7% 82%  
150 9% 75%  
151 8% 66% Majority
152 9% 57% Median
153 9% 48%  
154 9% 39%  
155 7% 31%  
156 7% 23%  
157 5% 17%  
158 4% 12% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.8% 2%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.9% 99.3%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 94%  
71 5% 90%  
72 7% 85%  
73 9% 77%  
74 10% 69%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 11% 48%  
77 10% 37%  
78 8% 27%  
79 6% 19%  
80 5% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 3% 6%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.8%  
30 1.4% 99.3%  
31 3% 98%  
32 6% 95%  
33 8% 89%  
34 13% 81%  
35 14% 69%  
36 14% 54% Median
37 14% 41%  
38 8% 27%  
39 9% 18%  
40 4% 10%  
41 3% 5%  
42 1.3% 2%  
43 0.7% 1.1%  
44 0.2% 0.4%  
45 0.1% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 6% 97%  
15 13% 91% Last Result
16 18% 78%  
17 20% 60% Median
18 18% 40%  
19 12% 22%  
20 6% 11%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.0% 2%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.1% 99.9%  
10 5% 98.7% Last Result
11 12% 94%  
12 19% 81%  
13 24% 62% Median
14 18% 38%  
15 12% 20%  
16 5% 8%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100%  
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 0% 66%  
5 0% 66%  
6 0% 66%  
7 0% 66%  
8 11% 66%  
9 26% 55% Last Result, Median
10 18% 30%  
11 8% 11%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.7% 0.8%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–194 181–196 180–198 177–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 152 66% 147–158 146–159 144–161 142–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 75–88 74–89 72–90 70–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 75 0% 71–80 69–82 68–83 66–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0.1% 100%  
176 0.1% 99.9%  
177 0.3% 99.8%  
178 0.6% 99.5%  
179 1.1% 98.9%  
180 2% 98% Last Result
181 3% 96%  
182 4% 93%  
183 5% 90%  
184 6% 85%  
185 7% 79%  
186 8% 72%  
187 9% 64%  
188 8% 55% Median
189 8% 46%  
190 7% 38%  
191 6% 31%  
192 6% 25%  
193 5% 19%  
194 4% 14%  
195 4% 10%  
196 2% 6%  
197 2% 4%  
198 1.1% 3%  
199 0.7% 1.5%  
200 0.4% 0.8%  
201 0.2% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.2% 99.9%  
142 0.4% 99.7%  
143 0.7% 99.3%  
144 1.4% 98.6%  
145 2% 97%  
146 3% 95%  
147 4% 92%  
148 6% 88%  
149 7% 82%  
150 9% 75%  
151 8% 66% Majority
152 9% 57% Median
153 9% 48%  
154 9% 39%  
155 7% 31%  
156 7% 23%  
157 5% 17%  
158 4% 12% Last Result
159 3% 7%  
160 2% 5%  
161 1.2% 3%  
162 0.8% 2%  
163 0.4% 0.9%  
164 0.2% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0.1% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 0.8% 99.2%  
72 1.5% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 3% 95%  
75 4% 92%  
76 4% 88%  
77 5% 84%  
78 5% 79%  
79 6% 74%  
80 7% 68%  
81 7% 61%  
82 8% 54%  
83 8% 46%  
84 9% 38% Median
85 7% 29%  
86 7% 22%  
87 5% 15%  
88 4% 10%  
89 3% 6%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.1% 2%  
92 0.5% 1.0%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 0.4% 99.7%  
67 0.9% 99.3%  
68 2% 98%  
69 2% 97%  
70 4% 94%  
71 5% 90%  
72 7% 85%  
73 9% 77%  
74 10% 69%  
75 11% 58% Median
76 11% 48%  
77 10% 37%  
78 8% 27%  
79 6% 19%  
80 5% 13%  
81 3% 8%  
82 3% 6%  
83 1.4% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9%  
86 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations