Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 22–27 September 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.3% 33.7–37.0% 33.3–37.4% 32.9–37.8% 32.2–38.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.2% 24.7–27.7% 24.3–28.1% 24.0–28.5% 23.3–29.2%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.6% 10.6–12.8% 10.3–13.1% 10.1–13.4% 9.6–13.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 5.9–7.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.1–8.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.5–6.9% 4.2–7.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 144–153 143–154 142–156 140–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 69–77 68–79 67–80 65–82
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 33 30–36 29–37 28–37 27–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.4% 99.7%  
141 0.9% 99.3%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 96%  
144 5% 94%  
145 6% 89%  
146 8% 83%  
147 11% 74%  
148 11% 63%  
149 12% 53% Median
150 11% 41%  
151 9% 30% Majority
152 7% 20%  
153 5% 13%  
154 3% 8%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.8% 1.4%  
158 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 5% 94%  
70 8% 88%  
71 10% 80%  
72 12% 70%  
73 12% 58% Median
74 13% 46%  
75 10% 33%  
76 8% 24%  
77 6% 15%  
78 4% 9%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 0.8% 1.4%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.9% 99.7%  
28 3% 98.8%  
29 5% 96%  
30 10% 91%  
31 14% 81%  
32 17% 67%  
33 16% 51% Median
34 14% 34%  
35 10% 20%  
36 6% 11%  
37 3% 5%  
38 1.4% 2%  
39 0.5% 0.8%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 3% 99.4% Last Result
16 7% 97%  
17 14% 90%  
18 20% 76%  
19 23% 56% Median
20 15% 33%  
21 10% 18%  
22 5% 8%  
23 2% 3%  
24 0.5% 0.7%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 7% 98%  
14 15% 91%  
15 22% 76%  
16 22% 54% Median
17 17% 32%  
18 9% 15%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.4% 98%  
9 10% 97% Last Result
10 22% 88%  
11 27% 65% Median
12 21% 38%  
13 11% 17%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.1% 1.3%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 177–186 176–187 174–188 172–191
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 30% 144–153 143–154 142–156 140–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 80–89 78–90 77–91 74–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 73 0% 69–77 68–79 67–80 65–82

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0.1% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.3% 99.7%  
173 0.7% 99.4%  
174 2% 98.7%  
175 2% 97%  
176 4% 95%  
177 6% 92%  
178 7% 86%  
179 9% 78%  
180 11% 70% Last Result
181 11% 58%  
182 11% 48% Median
183 10% 37%  
184 9% 27%  
185 6% 18%  
186 5% 12%  
187 3% 7%  
188 2% 4%  
189 1.2% 2%  
190 0.5% 1.3%  
191 0.4% 0.8%  
192 0.2% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.2%  
194 0.1% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.4% 99.7%  
141 0.9% 99.3%  
142 2% 98%  
143 3% 96%  
144 5% 94%  
145 6% 89%  
146 8% 83%  
147 11% 74%  
148 11% 63%  
149 12% 53% Median
150 11% 41%  
151 9% 30% Majority
152 7% 20%  
153 5% 13%  
154 3% 8%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.8% 1.4%  
158 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.3%  
76 0.7% 98.9%  
77 1.2% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 3% 95%  
80 5% 92%  
81 7% 86%  
82 9% 79%  
83 11% 70%  
84 12% 59% Median
85 12% 47%  
86 10% 35%  
87 8% 25%  
88 6% 16%  
89 4% 10%  
90 3% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.9% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.4% 99.8%  
66 0.9% 99.4%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 97%  
69 5% 94%  
70 8% 88%  
71 10% 80%  
72 12% 70%  
73 12% 58% Median
74 13% 46%  
75 10% 33%  
76 8% 24%  
77 6% 15%  
78 4% 9%  
79 2% 5%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 0.8% 1.4%  
82 0.3% 0.6%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations