Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 10–14 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.6% 33.7–37.6% 33.2–38.2% 32.7–38.7% 31.8–39.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.1% 24.4–28.0% 23.9–28.5% 23.5–29.0% 22.7–29.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.4–15.9%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.8% 4.9–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–8.0%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–154 142–156 140–157 138–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 67–77 66–79 65–80 63–83
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 36 32–40 31–41 30–42 29–44
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 18 15–21 14–22 14–22 13–24
Ελληνική Λύση 10 16 14–19 13–20 12–20 11–22
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.6%  
139 0.7% 99.1%  
140 1.4% 98%  
141 2% 97%  
142 3% 95%  
143 5% 92%  
144 6% 87%  
145 8% 81%  
146 8% 73%  
147 10% 65%  
148 9% 55% Median
149 8% 46%  
150 9% 39%  
151 6% 29% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 5% 16%  
154 4% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.3% 3%  
158 0.8% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.4% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 1.0% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 3% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 6% 89%  
69 7% 84%  
70 8% 77%  
71 9% 69%  
72 10% 60% Median
73 10% 50%  
74 10% 40%  
75 8% 30%  
76 7% 22%  
77 5% 15%  
78 4% 10%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.7% 99.7%  
30 2% 99.0%  
31 3% 97%  
32 6% 94%  
33 7% 88%  
34 11% 81%  
35 13% 70%  
36 14% 57% Median
37 12% 43%  
38 11% 31%  
39 8% 20%  
40 5% 12%  
41 4% 7%  
42 2% 4%  
43 1.0% 2%  
44 0.5% 0.8%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.7%  
14 4% 98.5%  
15 9% 95% Last Result
16 14% 86%  
17 18% 72%  
18 17% 54% Median
19 15% 37%  
20 11% 22%  
21 6% 11%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.3% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.7%  
25 0.2% 0.3%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.4%  
13 6% 97%  
14 12% 91%  
15 18% 79%  
16 20% 62% Median
17 17% 42%  
18 12% 25%  
19 7% 13%  
20 4% 6%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.6% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 0% 87%  
2 0% 87%  
3 0% 87%  
4 0% 87%  
5 0% 87%  
6 0% 87%  
7 0% 87%  
8 3% 87%  
9 20% 84% Last Result
10 24% 64% Median
11 20% 40%  
12 12% 20%  
13 5% 8%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 0.8%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 179–190 177–192 176–194 173–197
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 29% 143–154 142–156 140–157 138–160
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 82 0% 76–87 73–89 71–90 68–92
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 72 0% 67–77 66–79 65–80 63–83

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
170 0% 100%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.2% 99.7%  
174 0.5% 99.4%  
175 1.1% 99.0%  
176 2% 98%  
177 2% 96%  
178 3% 94%  
179 3% 91%  
180 6% 87% Last Result
181 9% 81%  
182 9% 72%  
183 8% 63%  
184 7% 55% Median
185 7% 48%  
186 10% 41%  
187 9% 31%  
188 6% 23%  
189 4% 17%  
190 3% 13%  
191 3% 10%  
192 2% 7%  
193 2% 4%  
194 0.8% 3%  
195 0.6% 2%  
196 0.6% 1.4%  
197 0.4% 0.8%  
198 0.2% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0.1% 99.9%  
137 0.2% 99.8%  
138 0.5% 99.6%  
139 0.7% 99.1%  
140 1.4% 98%  
141 2% 97%  
142 3% 95%  
143 5% 92%  
144 6% 87%  
145 8% 81%  
146 8% 73%  
147 10% 65%  
148 9% 55% Median
149 8% 46%  
150 9% 39%  
151 6% 29% Majority
152 7% 24%  
153 5% 16%  
154 4% 12%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.3% 3%  
158 0.8% 2% Last Result
159 0.6% 1.3%  
160 0.4% 0.7%  
161 0.2% 0.4%  
162 0.1% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.3% 99.7%  
69 0.4% 99.4%  
70 0.7% 99.0%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 1.1% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 95%  
75 3% 93%  
76 4% 90%  
77 4% 87%  
78 6% 82%  
79 7% 77%  
80 6% 69%  
81 10% 63%  
82 7% 53% Median
83 10% 46%  
84 9% 36%  
85 7% 27%  
86 6% 20%  
87 5% 14%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 5%  
90 1.4% 3%  
91 0.7% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 1.0% 98.9%  
65 2% 98%  
66 3% 96%  
67 4% 93%  
68 6% 89%  
69 7% 84%  
70 8% 77%  
71 9% 69%  
72 10% 60% Median
73 10% 50%  
74 10% 40%  
75 8% 30%  
76 7% 22%  
77 5% 15%  
78 4% 10%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.4% 3%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.5% 1.2%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1% Last Result
87 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations