Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 13–19 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.6% 34.1–37.2% 33.7–37.6% 33.3–38.0% 32.6–38.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.6% 26.2–29.1% 25.8–29.5% 25.5–29.9% 24.8–30.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.0% 11.0–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.0–14.3%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.3% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.9%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.6% 4.5–6.8% 4.2–7.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.3% 2.8–4.0% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 143–153 142–154 141–156 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 72–80 71–82 70–83 68–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 33 30–36 29–37 29–38 28–39
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 20 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 12–20
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 9 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.8% 99.4%  
141 1.4% 98.6%  
142 2% 97%  
143 5% 95%  
144 6% 90%  
145 8% 84%  
146 10% 76%  
147 11% 66%  
148 11% 55% Median
149 10% 44%  
150 9% 34%  
151 8% 25% Majority
152 6% 18%  
153 4% 12%  
154 3% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.7% 1.5%  
158 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.7%  
69 1.1% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96%  
72 5% 92%  
73 8% 87%  
74 10% 79%  
75 13% 68%  
76 12% 56% Median
77 10% 44%  
78 10% 34%  
79 8% 24%  
80 7% 16%  
81 4% 9%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 1.3% 99.5%  
29 3% 98%  
30 7% 95%  
31 11% 88%  
32 16% 77%  
33 16% 61% Median
34 17% 45%  
35 12% 28%  
36 8% 16%  
37 4% 8%  
38 2% 4%  
39 0.8% 1.3%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.4%  
17 8% 97%  
18 15% 89%  
19 21% 74%  
20 21% 53% Median
21 16% 33%  
22 10% 17%  
23 4% 7%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.5% 0.6%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.4% 100%  
12 3% 99.5%  
13 9% 97%  
14 19% 88%  
15 24% 69% Median
16 22% 45%  
17 13% 23%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 0% 77%  
5 0% 77%  
6 0% 77%  
7 0% 77%  
8 7% 77%  
9 31% 70% Last Result, Median
10 24% 39%  
11 11% 15%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 181 100% 176–187 175–188 174–190 172–192
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 25% 143–153 142–154 141–156 139–158
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 78–89 76–90 75–91 72–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 72–80 71–82 70–83 68–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0.1% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0.5% 99.7%  
173 1.1% 99.2%  
174 1.0% 98%  
175 4% 97%  
176 5% 93%  
177 4% 89%  
178 11% 85%  
179 9% 74%  
180 5% 65% Last Result
181 15% 59% Median
182 9% 44%  
183 5% 35%  
184 10% 30%  
185 7% 20%  
186 2% 14%  
187 4% 11%  
188 3% 8%  
189 1.0% 4%  
190 1.4% 3%  
191 1.1% 2%  
192 0.2% 0.6%  
193 0.2% 0.4%  
194 0.1% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
137 0.1% 100%  
138 0.1% 99.9%  
139 0.3% 99.8%  
140 0.8% 99.4%  
141 1.4% 98.6%  
142 2% 97%  
143 5% 95%  
144 6% 90%  
145 8% 84%  
146 10% 76%  
147 11% 66%  
148 11% 55% Median
149 10% 44%  
150 9% 34%  
151 8% 25% Majority
152 6% 18%  
153 4% 12%  
154 3% 7%  
155 2% 5%  
156 1.3% 3%  
157 0.7% 1.5%  
158 0.5% 0.8% Last Result
159 0.2% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 0.6% 99.4%  
74 1.0% 98.8%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 3% 94%  
78 4% 91%  
79 4% 87%  
80 6% 83%  
81 6% 78%  
82 8% 72%  
83 9% 64%  
84 10% 55%  
85 10% 45% Median
86 8% 35%  
87 9% 26%  
88 6% 17%  
89 5% 11%  
90 3% 6%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.7%  
69 1.1% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96%  
72 5% 92%  
73 8% 87%  
74 10% 79%  
75 13% 68%  
76 12% 56% Median
77 10% 44%  
78 10% 34%  
79 8% 24%  
80 7% 16%  
81 4% 9%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations