Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 18–22 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.4% 35.5–39.4% 35.0–39.9% 34.5–40.4% 33.7–41.4%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.3% 25.6–29.2% 25.1–29.7% 24.7–30.1% 23.9–31.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.0–15.0% 10.4–15.7%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.1% 4.4–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 146–157 145–158 143–160 141–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 69–79 68–80 67–82 64–84
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 35 31–39 30–40 30–41 28–43
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–19 13–20 13–21 12–22
Ελληνική Λύση 10 14 12–17 11–17 11–18 10–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–12 0–13 0–13 0–14

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.2% 99.8%  
141 0.4% 99.6%  
142 0.7% 99.2%  
143 1.3% 98%  
144 2% 97%  
145 3% 95%  
146 4% 92%  
147 6% 88%  
148 8% 82%  
149 8% 74%  
150 10% 66%  
151 10% 56% Median, Majority
152 9% 46%  
153 9% 37%  
154 7% 28%  
155 6% 21%  
156 5% 16%  
157 3% 11%  
158 3% 8% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.1% 3%  
161 0.9% 2%  
162 0.4% 0.8%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.5%  
66 0.9% 99.0%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 4% 93%  
70 8% 89%  
71 11% 81%  
72 7% 70%  
73 6% 63%  
74 9% 57% Median
75 12% 47%  
76 9% 36%  
77 9% 27%  
78 7% 18%  
79 4% 11%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.6% 1.3%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 0.6% 99.7%  
29 2% 99.1%  
30 3% 98%  
31 5% 94%  
32 7% 89%  
33 11% 82%  
34 12% 71%  
35 14% 59% Median
36 13% 45%  
37 11% 32%  
38 9% 20%  
39 6% 11%  
40 3% 6%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.6% 1.1%  
43 0.3% 0.5%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.7%  
13 4% 98.6%  
14 11% 94%  
15 18% 84% Last Result
16 19% 66% Median
17 16% 47%  
18 14% 31%  
19 9% 17%  
20 5% 8%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.7% 0.9%  
23 0.2% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.7% Last Result
11 5% 98%  
12 12% 93%  
13 19% 81%  
14 21% 61% Median
15 18% 40%  
16 12% 22%  
17 6% 10%  
18 3% 4%  
19 1.0% 1.4%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 5% 88%  
9 21% 82% Last Result
10 26% 61% Median
11 19% 35%  
12 10% 16%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.5% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 186 100% 181–192 179–194 178–195 176–198
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 56% 146–157 145–158 143–160 141–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 83 0% 77–88 75–90 74–92 71–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 74 0% 69–79 68–80 67–82 64–84

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0.1% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.8%  
176 0.6% 99.5%  
177 1.1% 98.9%  
178 1.2% 98%  
179 2% 97%  
180 3% 95% Last Result
181 4% 92%  
182 7% 88%  
183 8% 81%  
184 10% 73%  
185 9% 63%  
186 6% 54% Median
187 9% 48%  
188 7% 39%  
189 6% 31%  
190 8% 25%  
191 5% 17%  
192 4% 12%  
193 3% 8%  
194 2% 6%  
195 1.3% 4%  
196 0.9% 2%  
197 0.6% 1.4%  
198 0.3% 0.7%  
199 0.2% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0% 100%  
139 0.1% 99.9%  
140 0.2% 99.8%  
141 0.4% 99.6%  
142 0.7% 99.2%  
143 1.3% 98%  
144 2% 97%  
145 3% 95%  
146 4% 92%  
147 6% 88%  
148 8% 82%  
149 8% 74%  
150 10% 66%  
151 10% 56% Median, Majority
152 9% 46%  
153 9% 37%  
154 7% 28%  
155 6% 21%  
156 5% 16%  
157 3% 11%  
158 3% 8% Last Result
159 2% 5%  
160 1.1% 3%  
161 0.9% 2%  
162 0.4% 0.8%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.6%  
71 0.2% 99.5%  
72 0.2% 99.3%  
73 0.4% 99.1%  
74 1.4% 98.6%  
75 3% 97%  
76 3% 94%  
77 2% 92%  
78 4% 89%  
79 7% 86%  
80 7% 79%  
81 9% 72%  
82 8% 62%  
83 6% 55%  
84 6% 49% Median
85 9% 43%  
86 11% 34%  
87 9% 23%  
88 6% 13%  
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 5%  
91 1.3% 4%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.8% 1.3%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.8%  
65 0.5% 99.5%  
66 0.9% 99.0%  
67 2% 98%  
68 3% 96%  
69 4% 93%  
70 8% 89%  
71 11% 81%  
72 7% 70%  
73 6% 63%  
74 9% 57% Median
75 12% 47%  
76 9% 36%  
77 9% 27%  
78 7% 18%  
79 4% 11%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.6% 1.3%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.5%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations