Opinion Poll by Pulse RC for ΣΚΑΪ, 23–25 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 37.2% 35.4–39.0% 34.9–39.5% 34.5–40.0% 33.7–40.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.1% 27.4–30.8% 27.0–31.3% 26.6–31.7% 25.8–32.6%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.6% 11.4–13.9% 11.1–14.3% 10.8–14.6% 10.3–15.2%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–6.9% 4.5–7.2% 4.2–7.7%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.0% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.2% 2.7–5.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.4%
Χρυσή Αυγή 2.9% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 148–158 146–160 145–161 142–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 76–86 74–87 73–89 71–91
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 35 32–38 31–40 30–40 28–42
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 11 9–13 9–14 0–15 0–16
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–10 0–10 0–11 0–12
Χρυσή Αυγή 0 0 0 0 0 0

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.3% 99.8%  
143 0.5% 99.5%  
144 0.9% 99.0%  
145 2% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 4% 94%  
148 6% 90%  
149 7% 85%  
150 7% 78%  
151 9% 71% Majority
152 8% 62%  
153 9% 54% Median
154 10% 45%  
155 8% 35%  
156 8% 27%  
157 5% 19%  
158 4% 14% Last Result
159 3% 9%  
160 3% 6%  
161 1.4% 4%  
162 0.9% 2%  
163 0.7% 1.4%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 99.3%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 94%  
76 6% 91%  
77 6% 85%  
78 8% 79%  
79 11% 71%  
80 9% 60%  
81 9% 51% Median
82 10% 42%  
83 8% 32%  
84 6% 23%  
85 7% 18%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.3% 3%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 1.1% 99.5%  
30 2% 98%  
31 4% 96%  
32 8% 92%  
33 9% 84%  
34 14% 75%  
35 14% 62% Median
36 18% 48%  
37 10% 30%  
38 11% 20%  
39 4% 10%  
40 4% 6%  
41 0.9% 2%  
42 0.7% 1.1%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 2% 99.7%  
13 7% 98%  
14 13% 91%  
15 19% 79% Last Result
16 24% 59% Median
17 16% 36%  
18 11% 20%  
19 6% 9%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.7% 1.1%  
22 0.3% 0.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 0% 97%  
5 0% 97%  
6 0% 97%  
7 0% 97%  
8 1.0% 97%  
9 8% 96%  
10 21% 88% Last Result
11 28% 67% Median
12 20% 39%  
13 10% 19%  
14 6% 9%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Median
1 0% 46%  
2 0% 46%  
3 0% 46%  
4 0% 46%  
5 0% 46%  
6 0% 46%  
7 0% 46%  
8 8% 46%  
9 21% 37% Last Result
10 11% 16%  
11 4% 5%  
12 0.8% 1.0%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Χρυσή Αυγή

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Χρυσή Αυγή page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–194 180–196 179–197 177–200
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 71% 148–158 146–160 145–161 142–164
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–91 77–93 76–94 74–97
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 81 0% 76–86 74–87 73–89 71–91

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.5% 99.5%  
178 0.7% 99.1%  
179 1.2% 98%  
180 2% 97% Last Result
181 3% 95%  
182 3% 92%  
183 6% 89%  
184 6% 83%  
185 6% 77%  
186 8% 71%  
187 8% 64%  
188 9% 56% Median
189 8% 47%  
190 8% 39%  
191 7% 31%  
192 7% 24%  
193 5% 18%  
194 4% 13%  
195 3% 9%  
196 2% 6%  
197 1.5% 4%  
198 0.9% 2%  
199 0.7% 1.4%  
200 0.3% 0.8%  
201 0.2% 0.4%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0.1% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0.1% 99.9%  
141 0.1% 99.9%  
142 0.3% 99.8%  
143 0.5% 99.5%  
144 0.9% 99.0%  
145 2% 98%  
146 2% 97%  
147 4% 94%  
148 6% 90%  
149 7% 85%  
150 7% 78%  
151 9% 71% Majority
152 8% 62%  
153 9% 54% Median
154 10% 45%  
155 8% 35%  
156 8% 27%  
157 5% 19%  
158 4% 14% Last Result
159 3% 9%  
160 3% 6%  
161 1.4% 4%  
162 0.9% 2%  
163 0.7% 1.4%  
164 0.3% 0.7%  
165 0.2% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.2%  
167 0.1% 0.1%  
168 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.6%  
75 0.6% 98.9%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 97%  
78 3% 94%  
79 4% 91%  
80 6% 87%  
81 5% 81% Median
82 8% 76%  
83 8% 68%  
84 6% 60%  
85 10% 54%  
86 8% 44%  
87 6% 36%  
88 8% 31%  
89 5% 23%  
90 5% 18%  
91 5% 13%  
92 2% 8%  
93 3% 6%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.6% 2% Last Result
96 0.6% 1.2%  
97 0.3% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 99.3%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 2% 97%  
75 3% 94%  
76 6% 91%  
77 6% 85%  
78 8% 79%  
79 11% 71%  
80 9% 60%  
81 9% 51% Median
82 10% 42%  
83 8% 32%  
84 6% 23%  
85 7% 18%  
86 4% 10% Last Result
87 2% 6%  
88 2% 5%  
89 1.3% 3%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.4% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations