Opinion Poll by GPO for Παραπολιτικά, 8–10 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.6% 34.7–38.6% 34.1–39.2% 33.7–39.6% 32.8–40.6%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 29.9% 28.1–31.8% 27.6–32.3% 27.1–32.8% 26.3–33.7%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 145–156 143–158 142–159 137–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 77–88 76–89 74–91 72–96
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 34 30–37 29–39 28–40 27–42
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–22 15–23 15–23 14–25
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 0–17
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 0 0–9 0–10 0–11 0–12

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.5%  
96 0% 99.5%  
97 0% 99.5%  
98 0% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.5%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0% 99.5%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0% 99.5%  
104 0% 99.5%  
105 0% 99.5%  
106 0% 99.5%  
107 0% 99.5%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.5%  
125 0% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.5%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0.1% 99.5%  
139 0.2% 99.4%  
140 0.4% 99.1%  
141 0.8% 98.7%  
142 1.4% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 4% 92%  
146 5% 88%  
147 6% 82%  
148 8% 76%  
149 8% 68%  
150 10% 60%  
151 9% 50% Median, Majority
152 8% 41%  
153 7% 33%  
154 8% 26%  
155 5% 19%  
156 4% 14%  
157 3% 9%  
158 2% 6% Last Result
159 2% 4%  
160 0.9% 2%  
161 0.6% 1.3%  
162 0.3% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.1%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 4% 92%  
78 6% 88%  
79 8% 82%  
80 9% 74%  
81 10% 65%  
82 9% 55% Median
83 9% 45%  
84 8% 36%  
85 7% 28%  
86 5% 21% Last Result
87 5% 16%  
88 3% 11%  
89 3% 7%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.1% 3%  
92 0.5% 1.5%  
93 0.3% 0.9%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.6%  
96 0% 0.5%  
97 0% 0.5%  
98 0% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.4%  
140 0% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.6%  
28 2% 98.8%  
29 4% 97%  
30 7% 93%  
31 10% 86%  
32 11% 77%  
33 13% 66%  
34 14% 53% Median
35 13% 39%  
36 10% 26%  
37 6% 16%  
38 4% 10%  
39 3% 5%  
40 1.5% 3%  
41 0.7% 1.2%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9%  
14 1.3% 99.6%  
15 4% 98% Last Result
16 8% 95%  
17 13% 86%  
18 17% 73%  
19 18% 56% Median
20 16% 38%  
21 10% 22%  
22 6% 12%  
23 4% 6%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.6% 0.9%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 0.8% 98%  
9 7% 98%  
10 14% 91% Last Result
11 22% 77%  
12 23% 55% Median
13 15% 32%  
14 10% 17%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.7%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 68% 100% Median
1 0% 32%  
2 0% 32%  
3 0% 32%  
4 0% 32%  
5 0% 32%  
6 0% 32%  
7 0% 32%  
8 8% 32%  
9 15% 24% Last Result
10 6% 9%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.4% 0.6%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 99.5% 178–190 176–192 175–194 169–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 151 50% 145–156 143–158 142–159 137–162
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–91 77–93 76–95 74–101
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 82 0% 77–88 76–89 74–91 72–96

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0.1% 99.7%  
128 0% 99.6%  
129 0% 99.6%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0% 99.5%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.5%  
143 0% 99.5%  
144 0% 99.5%  
145 0% 99.5%  
146 0% 99.5%  
147 0% 99.5%  
148 0% 99.5%  
149 0% 99.5%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5% Majority
152 0% 99.5%  
153 0% 99.5%  
154 0% 99.5%  
155 0% 99.5%  
156 0% 99.5%  
157 0% 99.5%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0% 99.5%  
161 0% 99.5%  
162 0% 99.5%  
163 0% 99.5%  
164 0% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.5%  
166 0% 99.5%  
167 0% 99.5%  
168 0% 99.5%  
169 0% 99.5%  
170 0.1% 99.5%  
171 0.1% 99.4%  
172 0.2% 99.3%  
173 0.5% 99.1%  
174 0.8% 98.5%  
175 1.2% 98%  
176 2% 97%  
177 2% 95%  
178 4% 93%  
179 5% 88%  
180 5% 83% Last Result
181 6% 78%  
182 7% 72%  
183 8% 65%  
184 9% 57%  
185 7% 48% Median
186 7% 41%  
187 7% 33%  
188 6% 26%  
189 6% 20%  
190 4% 13%  
191 3% 9%  
192 2% 6%  
193 1.5% 4%  
194 1.2% 3%  
195 0.7% 2%  
196 0.4% 0.8%  
197 0.2% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0.1% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0% 99.5%  
96 0% 99.5%  
97 0% 99.5%  
98 0% 99.5%  
99 0% 99.5%  
100 0% 99.5%  
101 0% 99.5%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0% 99.5%  
104 0% 99.5%  
105 0% 99.5%  
106 0% 99.5%  
107 0% 99.5%  
108 0% 99.5%  
109 0% 99.5%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.5%  
113 0% 99.5%  
114 0% 99.5%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.5%  
125 0% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.5%  
129 0% 99.5%  
130 0% 99.5%  
131 0% 99.5%  
132 0% 99.5%  
133 0% 99.5%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0.1% 99.5%  
139 0.2% 99.4%  
140 0.4% 99.1%  
141 0.8% 98.7%  
142 1.4% 98%  
143 2% 97%  
144 3% 95%  
145 4% 92%  
146 5% 88%  
147 6% 82%  
148 8% 76%  
149 8% 68%  
150 10% 60%  
151 9% 50% Median, Majority
152 8% 41%  
153 7% 33%  
154 8% 26%  
155 5% 19%  
156 4% 14%  
157 3% 9%  
158 2% 6% Last Result
159 2% 4%  
160 0.9% 2%  
161 0.6% 1.3%  
162 0.3% 0.7%  
163 0.2% 0.4%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.7% 99.2%  
76 1.4% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 4% 92%  
80 6% 87%  
81 7% 82%  
82 7% 75% Median
83 7% 68%  
84 7% 61%  
85 7% 54%  
86 7% 47%  
87 8% 40%  
88 7% 32%  
89 7% 26%  
90 6% 19%  
91 4% 13%  
92 3% 9%  
93 2% 6%  
94 1.2% 4%  
95 1.0% 3% Last Result
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.4% 1.5%  
98 0.3% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.6%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0% 0.4%  
142 0% 0.4%  
143 0.1% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.2%  
146 0% 0.2%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.1%  
149 0% 0.1%  
150 0% 0.1%  
151 0% 0% Majority

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.8% 99.1%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 2% 97%  
76 3% 95%  
77 4% 92%  
78 6% 88%  
79 8% 82%  
80 9% 74%  
81 10% 65%  
82 9% 55% Median
83 9% 45%  
84 8% 36%  
85 7% 28%  
86 5% 21% Last Result
87 5% 16%  
88 3% 11%  
89 3% 7%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.1% 3%  
92 0.5% 1.5%  
93 0.3% 0.9%  
94 0.1% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.6%  
96 0% 0.5%  
97 0% 0.5%  
98 0% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.5%  
100 0% 0.5%  
101 0% 0.5%  
102 0% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.5%  
104 0% 0.5%  
105 0% 0.5%  
106 0% 0.5%  
107 0% 0.5%  
108 0% 0.5%  
109 0% 0.5%  
110 0% 0.5%  
111 0% 0.5%  
112 0% 0.5%  
113 0% 0.5%  
114 0% 0.5%  
115 0% 0.5%  
116 0% 0.5%  
117 0% 0.5%  
118 0% 0.5%  
119 0% 0.5%  
120 0% 0.5%  
121 0% 0.5%  
122 0% 0.5%  
123 0% 0.5%  
124 0% 0.5%  
125 0% 0.5%  
126 0% 0.5%  
127 0% 0.5%  
128 0% 0.5%  
129 0% 0.5%  
130 0% 0.5%  
131 0% 0.5%  
132 0% 0.5%  
133 0% 0.5%  
134 0% 0.5%  
135 0% 0.5%  
136 0% 0.5%  
137 0% 0.5%  
138 0% 0.5%  
139 0% 0.4%  
140 0% 0.4%  
141 0.1% 0.4%  
142 0.1% 0.3%  
143 0.1% 0.2%  
144 0.1% 0.2%  
145 0% 0.1%  
146 0% 0.1%  
147 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations