Opinion Poll by Alco for Alpha TV, 14–18 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 35.3% | 33.4–37.3% | 32.9–37.8% | 32.4–38.3% | 31.5–39.3% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.8% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.6% | 23.3–30.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 148 | 142–154 | 141–156 | 140–157 | 137–160 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–83 | 65–86 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 30–45 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 16 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 11–22 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 3% | 96% | |
| 142 | 3% | 93% | |
| 143 | 5% | 90% | |
| 144 | 5% | 85% | |
| 145 | 6% | 80% | |
| 146 | 9% | 74% | |
| 147 | 9% | 65% | |
| 148 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 149 | 9% | 47% | |
| 150 | 8% | 38% | |
| 151 | 7% | 30% | Majority |
| 152 | 6% | 23% | |
| 153 | 5% | 17% | |
| 154 | 4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 3% | 8% | |
| 156 | 2% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 90% | |
| 71 | 8% | 85% | |
| 72 | 7% | 77% | |
| 73 | 11% | 71% | |
| 74 | 9% | 60% | |
| 75 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 41% | |
| 77 | 7% | 31% | |
| 78 | 8% | 25% | |
| 79 | 6% | 17% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 5% | 94% | |
| 34 | 9% | 89% | |
| 35 | 9% | 80% | |
| 36 | 12% | 71% | |
| 37 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 45% | |
| 39 | 10% | 32% | |
| 40 | 8% | 22% | |
| 41 | 6% | 14% | |
| 42 | 4% | 8% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 14 | 6% | 97% | |
| 15 | 12% | 91% | Last Result |
| 16 | 17% | 79% | |
| 17 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 17% | 42% | |
| 19 | 12% | 26% | |
| 20 | 8% | 14% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 6% | 97% | |
| 14 | 13% | 90% | |
| 15 | 19% | 78% | |
| 16 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 17 | 16% | 41% | |
| 18 | 13% | 25% | |
| 19 | 6% | 12% | |
| 20 | 3% | 6% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 32% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 68% | |
| 2 | 0% | 68% | |
| 3 | 0% | 68% | |
| 4 | 0% | 68% | |
| 5 | 0% | 68% | |
| 6 | 0% | 68% | |
| 7 | 0% | 68% | |
| 8 | 6% | 68% | |
| 9 | 26% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 19% | 36% | |
| 11 | 11% | 18% | |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 185 | 100% | 179–192 | 178–194 | 176–195 | 174–198 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 148 | 30% | 142–154 | 141–156 | 140–157 | 137–160 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 82 | 0% | 75–88 | 73–89 | 71–90 | 68–93 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 0% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–83 | 65–86 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170 | 0% | 100% | |
| 171 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 172 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 173 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 174 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 175 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 176 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 177 | 2% | 97% | |
| 178 | 2% | 95% | |
| 179 | 4% | 93% | |
| 180 | 4% | 89% | Last Result |
| 181 | 6% | 85% | |
| 182 | 7% | 79% | |
| 183 | 7% | 72% | |
| 184 | 9% | 65% | |
| 185 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 186 | 8% | 48% | |
| 187 | 8% | 41% | |
| 188 | 7% | 33% | |
| 189 | 6% | 26% | |
| 190 | 5% | 19% | |
| 191 | 4% | 15% | |
| 192 | 3% | 11% | |
| 193 | 2% | 8% | |
| 194 | 2% | 6% | |
| 195 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 196 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 0% | 100% | |
| 134 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 136 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 137 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 138 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 139 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 140 | 2% | 98% | |
| 141 | 3% | 96% | |
| 142 | 3% | 93% | |
| 143 | 5% | 90% | |
| 144 | 5% | 85% | |
| 145 | 6% | 80% | |
| 146 | 9% | 74% | |
| 147 | 9% | 65% | |
| 148 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 149 | 9% | 47% | |
| 150 | 8% | 38% | |
| 151 | 7% | 30% | Majority |
| 152 | 6% | 23% | |
| 153 | 5% | 17% | |
| 154 | 4% | 12% | |
| 155 | 3% | 8% | |
| 156 | 2% | 5% | |
| 157 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 158 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 160 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 161 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 162 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 163 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 164 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 2% | 93% | |
| 75 | 5% | 90% | |
| 76 | 4% | 86% | |
| 77 | 4% | 82% | |
| 78 | 6% | 78% | |
| 79 | 6% | 71% | |
| 80 | 7% | 66% | |
| 81 | 7% | 58% | |
| 82 | 8% | 51% | |
| 83 | 9% | 43% | |
| 84 | 6% | 34% | Median |
| 85 | 7% | 28% | |
| 86 | 5% | 21% | |
| 87 | 5% | 15% | |
| 88 | 4% | 10% | |
| 89 | 3% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 90% | |
| 71 | 8% | 85% | |
| 72 | 7% | 77% | |
| 73 | 11% | 71% | |
| 74 | 9% | 60% | |
| 75 | 9% | 50% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 41% | |
| 77 | 7% | 31% | |
| 78 | 8% | 25% | |
| 79 | 6% | 17% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Alco
- Commissioner(s): Alpha TV
- Fieldwork period: 14–18 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%