Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 17–21 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 35.7% 34.2–37.3% 33.8–37.7% 33.4–38.1% 32.7–38.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 28.0% 26.6–29.4% 26.2–29.9% 25.8–30.2% 25.2–30.9%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.3% 10.3–12.4% 10.0–12.7% 9.8–12.9% 9.4–13.5%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.1% 5.3–8.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.8–5.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 144–152 143–153 142–154 140–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 73–81 72–82 71–83 69–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 31 28–34 28–35 27–35 26–37
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 19 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–23
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 0–15

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.6% 99.6%  
141 1.1% 99.1%  
142 2% 98%  
143 4% 96%  
144 6% 92%  
145 8% 86%  
146 10% 78%  
147 11% 68%  
148 13% 56% Median
149 11% 43%  
150 10% 32%  
151 7% 21% Majority
152 6% 14%  
153 4% 8%  
154 2% 5%  
155 1.3% 2%  
156 0.6% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.6%  
158 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.8%  
70 1.0% 99.3%  
71 2% 98%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 93%  
74 9% 86%  
75 11% 78%  
76 13% 67%  
77 13% 54% Median
78 12% 41%  
79 11% 29%  
80 7% 19%  
81 5% 11%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.3% 99.9%  
26 1.1% 99.7%  
27 3% 98.6%  
28 7% 95%  
29 12% 89%  
30 17% 77%  
31 19% 60% Median
32 16% 41%  
33 11% 25%  
34 8% 13%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.8%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.9%  
15 2% 99.4% Last Result
16 7% 97%  
17 17% 90%  
18 22% 73%  
19 22% 51% Median
20 15% 29%  
21 9% 14%  
22 4% 5%  
23 1.1% 1.4%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 1.3% 99.9%  
12 6% 98.6%  
13 15% 92%  
14 25% 78%  
15 24% 53% Median
16 17% 29%  
17 8% 12%  
18 3% 4%  
19 0.7% 0.9%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 0% 98%  
2 0% 98%  
3 0% 98%  
4 0% 98%  
5 0% 98%  
6 0% 98%  
7 0% 98%  
8 1.1% 98%  
9 12% 97% Last Result
10 24% 86%  
11 30% 62% Median
12 20% 32%  
13 9% 12%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 179 100% 175–183 174–185 173–186 171–188
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 148 21% 144–152 143–153 142–154 140–157
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 88 0% 84–92 82–93 81–94 78–96
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 73–81 72–82 71–83 69–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0.1% 99.9%  
170 0.3% 99.8%  
171 0.6% 99.5%  
172 1.3% 98.9%  
173 2% 98%  
174 3% 95%  
175 6% 92%  
176 7% 86%  
177 10% 78%  
178 13% 69%  
179 11% 56% Median
180 12% 45% Last Result
181 10% 33%  
182 9% 23%  
183 6% 15%  
184 3% 9%  
185 3% 5%  
186 1.2% 3%  
187 0.9% 2%  
188 0.4% 0.8%  
189 0.2% 0.4%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0.1% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
138 0.1% 100%  
139 0.2% 99.9%  
140 0.6% 99.6%  
141 1.1% 99.1%  
142 2% 98%  
143 4% 96%  
144 6% 92%  
145 8% 86%  
146 10% 78%  
147 11% 68%  
148 13% 56% Median
149 11% 43%  
150 10% 32%  
151 7% 21% Majority
152 6% 14%  
153 4% 8%  
154 2% 5%  
155 1.3% 2%  
156 0.6% 1.2%  
157 0.3% 0.6%  
158 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
159 0.1% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.2% 99.7%  
79 0.4% 99.4%  
80 0.8% 99.0%  
81 2% 98%  
82 3% 97%  
83 4% 94%  
84 6% 91%  
85 10% 85%  
86 11% 75%  
87 11% 63%  
88 11% 52% Median
89 13% 42%  
90 12% 29%  
91 6% 17%  
92 4% 11%  
93 3% 7%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.8% 1.4% Last Result
96 0.3% 0.6%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.8%  
70 1.0% 99.3%  
71 2% 98%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 93%  
74 9% 86%  
75 11% 78%  
76 13% 67%  
77 13% 54% Median
78 12% 41%  
79 11% 29%  
80 7% 19%  
81 5% 11%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations