Opinion Poll by Metron Analysis for Mega TV, 16–22 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.5% 34.6–38.5% 34.0–39.0% 33.6–39.5% 32.7–40.5%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 26.4% 24.7–28.2% 24.2–28.8% 23.8–29.2% 22.9–30.1%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 144–154 142–155 141–157 138–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 67–76 66–78 64–79 62–81
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 39 35–43 34–44 33–45 32–47
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 14–19 13–20 13–21 12–22
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 12 10–15 10–16 9–16 8–17
Ελληνική Λύση 10 12 10–14 9–15 9–16 0–17

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.7%  
139 0.5% 99.4%  
140 0.9% 98.9%  
141 1.5% 98%  
142 2% 97%  
143 3% 94%  
144 5% 91%  
145 6% 86%  
146 8% 80%  
147 8% 72%  
148 9% 64%  
149 10% 55% Median
150 9% 44%  
151 9% 35% Majority
152 7% 27%  
153 6% 19%  
154 5% 13%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.3% 3%  
158 0.8% 2% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.7%  
63 0.8% 99.3%  
64 1.3% 98.6%  
65 2% 97%  
66 4% 95%  
67 5% 91%  
68 7% 86%  
69 8% 79%  
70 11% 71%  
71 11% 60% Median
72 11% 49%  
73 10% 39%  
74 8% 29%  
75 7% 21%  
76 5% 14%  
77 3% 9%  
78 2% 6%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.9%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.4% 99.9%  
32 0.8% 99.5%  
33 2% 98.7%  
34 4% 97%  
35 6% 93%  
36 9% 87%  
37 11% 78%  
38 13% 67%  
39 13% 54% Median
40 12% 40%  
41 10% 29%  
42 8% 19%  
43 5% 11%  
44 3% 6%  
45 2% 3%  
46 0.9% 2%  
47 0.4% 0.7%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.8%  
13 4% 98.6%  
14 8% 95%  
15 15% 87% Last Result
16 20% 72%  
17 17% 51% Median
18 16% 35%  
19 9% 18%  
20 5% 9%  
21 3% 4%  
22 1.0% 1.5%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0.3% 99.7%  
9 3% 99.4% Last Result
10 11% 96%  
11 22% 85%  
12 22% 63% Median
13 16% 41%  
14 11% 25%  
15 8% 14%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 0% 99.0%  
5 0% 99.0%  
6 0% 99.0%  
7 0% 99.0%  
8 0.8% 99.0%  
9 6% 98%  
10 15% 92% Last Result
11 22% 77%  
12 22% 54% Median
13 16% 32%  
14 9% 16%  
15 5% 7%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 0.8%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 188 100% 182–193 181–194 179–196 177–199
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 149 35% 144–154 142–155 141–157 138–159
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 84 0% 79–89 77–90 76–92 74–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 71 0% 67–76 66–78 64–79 62–81

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0.1% 99.9%  
176 0.2% 99.8%  
177 0.4% 99.6%  
178 0.7% 99.3%  
179 1.1% 98.6%  
180 2% 97% Last Result
181 3% 96%  
182 4% 93%  
183 5% 90%  
184 6% 85%  
185 8% 79%  
186 9% 71%  
187 10% 62%  
188 9% 52% Median
189 8% 43%  
190 9% 34%  
191 8% 26%  
192 5% 18%  
193 5% 13%  
194 3% 8%  
195 2% 5%  
196 1.4% 3%  
197 0.8% 2%  
198 0.4% 0.9%  
199 0.2% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0.1% 100%  
137 0.1% 99.9%  
138 0.3% 99.7%  
139 0.5% 99.4%  
140 0.9% 98.9%  
141 1.5% 98%  
142 2% 97%  
143 3% 94%  
144 5% 91%  
145 6% 86%  
146 8% 80%  
147 8% 72%  
148 9% 64%  
149 10% 55% Median
150 9% 44%  
151 9% 35% Majority
152 7% 27%  
153 6% 19%  
154 5% 13%  
155 3% 8%  
156 2% 5%  
157 1.3% 3%  
158 0.8% 2% Last Result
159 0.4% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.2%  
162 0.1% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.7% 99.2%  
76 1.4% 98%  
77 2% 97%  
78 3% 95%  
79 5% 91%  
80 6% 86%  
81 7% 80%  
82 9% 72%  
83 11% 63% Median
84 10% 53%  
85 10% 43%  
86 9% 33%  
87 7% 24%  
88 6% 17%  
89 4% 12%  
90 3% 7%  
91 2% 5%  
92 1.3% 3%  
93 0.6% 1.4%  
94 0.4% 0.8%  
95 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.4% 99.7%  
63 0.8% 99.3%  
64 1.3% 98.6%  
65 2% 97%  
66 4% 95%  
67 5% 91%  
68 7% 86%  
69 8% 79%  
70 11% 71%  
71 11% 60% Median
72 11% 49%  
73 10% 39%  
74 8% 29%  
75 7% 21%  
76 5% 14%  
77 3% 9%  
78 2% 6%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.9% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.9%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations