Opinion Poll by Marc for ANT1, 22–27 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 36.8% | 34.9–38.8% | 34.4–39.3% | 33.9–39.8% | 33.0–40.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 27.6% | 25.8–29.4% | 25.3–29.9% | 24.9–30.4% | 24.1–31.3% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 13.0% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–15.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.1% | 4.7–8.6% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.3–5.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 145–156 | 143–157 | 142–159 | 140–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 70–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 65–86 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–43 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 17 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 4% | 95% | |
| 145 | 5% | 91% | |
| 146 | 5% | 86% | |
| 147 | 7% | 81% | |
| 148 | 8% | 74% | |
| 149 | 10% | 66% | |
| 150 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 8% | 46% | Majority |
| 152 | 9% | 38% | |
| 153 | 7% | 29% | |
| 154 | 6% | 22% | |
| 155 | 5% | 16% | |
| 156 | 4% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 8% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 7% | 89% | |
| 72 | 7% | 83% | |
| 73 | 9% | 75% | |
| 74 | 10% | 66% | |
| 75 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 46% | |
| 77 | 9% | 36% | |
| 78 | 9% | 27% | |
| 79 | 6% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 6% | 93% | |
| 33 | 10% | 86% | |
| 34 | 13% | 76% | |
| 35 | 13% | 64% | |
| 36 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 38% | |
| 38 | 9% | 25% | |
| 39 | 7% | 16% | |
| 40 | 4% | 9% | |
| 41 | 2% | 5% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 3% | 98% | |
| 15 | 7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 16 | 18% | 88% | |
| 17 | 24% | 70% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 46% | |
| 19 | 10% | 30% | |
| 20 | 10% | 20% | |
| 21 | 6% | 10% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 11 | 13% | 92% | |
| 12 | 20% | 78% | |
| 13 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 17% | 35% | |
| 15 | 10% | 18% | |
| 16 | 5% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 0% | 84% | |
| 4 | 0% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0% | 84% | |
| 7 | 0% | 84% | |
| 8 | 6% | 84% | |
| 9 | 25% | 77% | Last Result |
| 10 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 16% | 29% | |
| 12 | 8% | 13% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 186 | 100% | 180–192 | 179–193 | 177–195 | 175–198 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 150 | 46% | 145–156 | 143–157 | 142–159 | 140–162 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 84 | 0% | 78–89 | 76–91 | 74–92 | 71–94 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 75 | 0% | 70–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 65–86 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 172 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 173 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 174 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 175 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 176 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 177 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 178 | 2% | 97% | |
| 179 | 3% | 95% | |
| 180 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 181 | 5% | 88% | |
| 182 | 7% | 83% | |
| 183 | 8% | 77% | |
| 184 | 8% | 69% | |
| 185 | 9% | 61% | |
| 186 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 187 | 8% | 43% | |
| 188 | 8% | 35% | |
| 189 | 6% | 28% | |
| 190 | 6% | 21% | |
| 191 | 5% | 16% | |
| 192 | 4% | 11% | |
| 193 | 2% | 7% | |
| 194 | 2% | 5% | |
| 195 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 196 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 197 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 198 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 199 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 200 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 201 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 202 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 203 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137 | 0% | 100% | |
| 138 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 139 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 140 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 141 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 142 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 143 | 2% | 97% | |
| 144 | 4% | 95% | |
| 145 | 5% | 91% | |
| 146 | 5% | 86% | |
| 147 | 7% | 81% | |
| 148 | 8% | 74% | |
| 149 | 10% | 66% | |
| 150 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 151 | 8% | 46% | Majority |
| 152 | 9% | 38% | |
| 153 | 7% | 29% | |
| 154 | 6% | 22% | |
| 155 | 5% | 16% | |
| 156 | 4% | 11% | |
| 157 | 3% | 8% | |
| 158 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 159 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 160 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 161 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 162 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 163 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 164 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 165 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 166 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 4% | 90% | |
| 79 | 4% | 86% | |
| 80 | 6% | 82% | |
| 81 | 6% | 76% | |
| 82 | 8% | 70% | |
| 83 | 9% | 62% | |
| 84 | 9% | 54% | |
| 85 | 9% | 45% | Median |
| 86 | 8% | 35% | |
| 87 | 8% | 27% | |
| 88 | 6% | 20% | |
| 89 | 5% | 14% | |
| 90 | 3% | 9% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 7% | 89% | |
| 72 | 7% | 83% | |
| 73 | 9% | 75% | |
| 74 | 10% | 66% | |
| 75 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 76 | 9% | 46% | |
| 77 | 9% | 36% | |
| 78 | 9% | 27% | |
| 79 | 6% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 13% | |
| 81 | 3% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Marc
- Commissioner(s): ANT1
- Fieldwork period: 22–27 November 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1030
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.52%