Opinion Poll by Opinion Poll for Lykavitos, 29 November–2 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 38.1% | 36.4–39.9% | 35.9–40.4% | 35.5–40.9% | 34.6–41.7% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 28.7% | 27.1–30.4% | 26.6–30.9% | 26.2–31.3% | 25.5–32.1% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 13.3% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.5–15.3% | 11.0–15.9% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.2–6.7% | 3.8–7.1% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.3–6.4% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.7–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 155 | 149–160 | 148–161 | 146–162 | 144–165 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 79 | 74–84 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 69–88 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 36 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 3% | 96% | |
| 149 | 5% | 93% | |
| 150 | 5% | 88% | |
| 151 | 7% | 83% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 76% | |
| 153 | 8% | 68% | |
| 154 | 8% | 60% | |
| 155 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 156 | 9% | 42% | |
| 157 | 9% | 33% | |
| 158 | 7% | 24% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 17% | |
| 160 | 4% | 11% | |
| 161 | 3% | 7% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 88% | |
| 76 | 8% | 81% | |
| 77 | 10% | 73% | |
| 78 | 11% | 63% | |
| 79 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 40% | |
| 81 | 8% | 31% | |
| 82 | 7% | 22% | |
| 83 | 5% | 15% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 6% | |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 94% | |
| 34 | 10% | 88% | |
| 35 | 14% | 78% | |
| 36 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 15% | 49% | |
| 38 | 13% | 34% | |
| 39 | 9% | 21% | |
| 40 | 5% | 12% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 8% | 97% | |
| 13 | 15% | 89% | |
| 14 | 21% | 75% | |
| 15 | 22% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 16 | 17% | 31% | |
| 17 | 9% | 14% | |
| 18 | 3% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 11 | 13% | 94% | |
| 12 | 22% | 80% | |
| 13 | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 18% | 35% | |
| 15 | 10% | 16% | |
| 16 | 4% | 6% | |
| 17 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 30% | |
| 2 | 0% | 30% | |
| 3 | 0% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 30% | |
| 5 | 0% | 30% | |
| 6 | 0% | 30% | |
| 7 | 0% | 30% | |
| 8 | 10% | 30% | |
| 9 | 14% | 21% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 191 | 100% | 185–196 | 184–198 | 183–199 | 180–202 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 155 | 83% | 149–160 | 148–161 | 146–162 | 144–165 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 81 | 0% | 76–87 | 74–89 | 73–90 | 71–93 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 79 | 0% | 74–84 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 69–88 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 0% | 100% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 179 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 180 | 0.4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 181 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 182 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 183 | 2% | 98% | |
| 184 | 2% | 96% | |
| 185 | 4% | 93% | |
| 186 | 6% | 90% | |
| 187 | 5% | 84% | |
| 188 | 7% | 79% | |
| 189 | 9% | 72% | |
| 190 | 9% | 63% | |
| 191 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 192 | 10% | 47% | |
| 193 | 7% | 37% | |
| 194 | 8% | 30% | |
| 195 | 7% | 22% | |
| 196 | 6% | 15% | |
| 197 | 3% | 10% | |
| 198 | 3% | 7% | |
| 199 | 2% | 4% | |
| 200 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 201 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 202 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 204 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 0% | 100% | |
| 142 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 143 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 144 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 145 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 146 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 147 | 2% | 97% | |
| 148 | 3% | 96% | |
| 149 | 5% | 93% | |
| 150 | 5% | 88% | |
| 151 | 7% | 83% | Majority |
| 152 | 8% | 76% | |
| 153 | 8% | 68% | |
| 154 | 8% | 60% | |
| 155 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 156 | 9% | 42% | |
| 157 | 9% | 33% | |
| 158 | 7% | 24% | Last Result |
| 159 | 6% | 17% | |
| 160 | 4% | 11% | |
| 161 | 3% | 7% | |
| 162 | 2% | 4% | |
| 163 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 164 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 165 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 166 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 167 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 168 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 169 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 95% | |
| 76 | 5% | 91% | |
| 77 | 6% | 86% | |
| 78 | 8% | 80% | |
| 79 | 8% | 72% | Median |
| 80 | 8% | 64% | |
| 81 | 8% | 56% | |
| 82 | 8% | 48% | |
| 83 | 7% | 39% | |
| 84 | 7% | 32% | |
| 85 | 6% | 26% | |
| 86 | 5% | 20% | |
| 87 | 4% | 14% | |
| 88 | 3% | 10% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 93% | |
| 75 | 7% | 88% | |
| 76 | 8% | 81% | |
| 77 | 10% | 73% | |
| 78 | 11% | 63% | |
| 79 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 40% | |
| 81 | 8% | 31% | |
| 82 | 7% | 22% | |
| 83 | 5% | 15% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 6% | |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Poll
- Commissioner(s): Lykavitos
- Fieldwork period: 29 November–2 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1251
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.90%