Opinion Poll by RASS for Action 24, 28 November–2 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 39.8% | 35.5% | 33.6–37.5% | 33.1–38.1% | 32.6–38.5% | 31.7–39.5% |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 31.5% | 26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.6% | 23.3–30.5% |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 8.1% | 15.7% | 14.3–17.2% | 13.9–17.7% | 13.5–18.1% | 12.9–18.8% |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 146 | 140–151 | 139–152 | 138–154 | 135–157 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 67–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 63–82 |
| Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 22 | 42 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 36–49 | 35–51 |
| Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας | 15 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Ελληνική Λύση | 10 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 0–17 |
| Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 9 | 10 | 8–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 3% | 96% | |
| 140 | 4% | 93% | |
| 141 | 6% | 89% | |
| 142 | 7% | 83% | |
| 143 | 7% | 76% | |
| 144 | 8% | 69% | |
| 145 | 10% | 60% | |
| 146 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 40% | |
| 148 | 7% | 31% | |
| 149 | 6% | 23% | |
| 150 | 5% | 17% | |
| 151 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 152 | 3% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 7% | 89% | |
| 69 | 8% | 82% | |
| 70 | 10% | 74% | |
| 71 | 10% | 64% | |
| 72 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 45% | |
| 74 | 9% | 34% | |
| 75 | 8% | 25% | |
| 76 | 5% | 17% | |
| 77 | 4% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Αλλαγής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 3% | 97% | |
| 38 | 5% | 94% | |
| 39 | 8% | 89% | |
| 40 | 11% | 81% | |
| 41 | 12% | 70% | |
| 42 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 43 | 12% | 47% | |
| 44 | 12% | 35% | |
| 45 | 9% | 23% | |
| 46 | 5% | 15% | |
| 47 | 4% | 9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 16 | 8% | 96% | |
| 17 | 11% | 87% | |
| 18 | 19% | 76% | |
| 19 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 17% | 41% | |
| 21 | 11% | 24% | |
| 22 | 7% | 13% | |
| 23 | 4% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Ελληνική Λύση
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | |
| 10 | 15% | 91% | Last Result |
| 11 | 22% | 77% | |
| 12 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 33% | |
| 14 | 9% | 16% | |
| 15 | 4% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 91% | |
| 2 | 0% | 91% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0% | 91% | |
| 7 | 0% | 91% | |
| 8 | 5% | 91% | |
| 9 | 21% | 85% | Last Result |
| 10 | 26% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 38% | |
| 12 | 11% | 19% | |
| 13 | 6% | 8% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής | 180 | 188 | 100% | 182–194 | 181–195 | 179–197 | 177–200 |
| Νέα Δημοκρατία | 158 | 146 | 12% | 140–151 | 139–152 | 138–154 | 135–157 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής | 95 | 82 | 0% | 76–87 | 74–88 | 72–90 | 69–92 |
| Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς | 86 | 72 | 0% | 67–77 | 66–78 | 65–80 | 63–82 |
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174 | 0% | 100% | |
| 175 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 176 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 177 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 178 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 179 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 180 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 181 | 3% | 96% | |
| 182 | 4% | 93% | |
| 183 | 5% | 89% | |
| 184 | 6% | 84% | |
| 185 | 8% | 78% | |
| 186 | 9% | 70% | |
| 187 | 9% | 61% | |
| 188 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 189 | 8% | 42% | |
| 190 | 8% | 34% | |
| 191 | 6% | 26% | |
| 192 | 6% | 20% | |
| 193 | 4% | 14% | |
| 194 | 3% | 10% | |
| 195 | 2% | 7% | |
| 196 | 2% | 5% | |
| 197 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 198 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 199 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 200 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 201 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 202 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 203 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 204 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 205 | 0% | 0% |
Νέα Δημοκρατία
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 0% | 100% | |
| 133 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 134 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 135 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 136 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 137 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 138 | 2% | 98% | |
| 139 | 3% | 96% | |
| 140 | 4% | 93% | |
| 141 | 6% | 89% | |
| 142 | 7% | 83% | |
| 143 | 7% | 76% | |
| 144 | 8% | 69% | |
| 145 | 10% | 60% | |
| 146 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 147 | 9% | 40% | |
| 148 | 7% | 31% | |
| 149 | 6% | 23% | |
| 150 | 5% | 17% | |
| 151 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 152 | 3% | 8% | |
| 153 | 2% | 5% | |
| 154 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 155 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 156 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 157 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 158 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 159 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 160 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 161 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 91% | |
| 77 | 5% | 88% | |
| 78 | 6% | 83% | |
| 79 | 7% | 77% | |
| 80 | 10% | 70% | |
| 81 | 9% | 60% | |
| 82 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 83 | 10% | 42% | |
| 84 | 8% | 32% | |
| 85 | 7% | 24% | |
| 86 | 6% | 17% | |
| 87 | 4% | 11% | |
| 88 | 3% | 7% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 3% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 7% | 89% | |
| 69 | 8% | 82% | |
| 70 | 10% | 74% | |
| 71 | 10% | 64% | |
| 72 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 45% | |
| 74 | 9% | 34% | |
| 75 | 8% | 25% | |
| 76 | 5% | 17% | |
| 77 | 4% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 2% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: RASS
- Commissioner(s): Action 24
- Fieldwork period: 28 November–2 December 2022
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.50%