Opinion Poll by MRB, 1–9 December 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 33.5% 32.2–34.9% 31.8–35.3% 31.5–35.6% 30.8–36.3%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.2% 25.9–28.5% 25.6–28.9% 25.3–29.2% 24.7–29.8%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 13.3% 12.4–14.3% 12.1–14.6% 11.9–14.9% 11.4–15.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.5%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.7%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.8–4.1% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 141–149 140–150 139–152 137–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 73–81 72–82 71–83 70–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 38 35–41 34–42 34–42 32–44
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–21
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 13–18 12–18 12–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.5% 99.7%  
138 1.2% 99.2%  
139 3% 98%  
140 4% 95%  
141 7% 91%  
142 9% 84%  
143 12% 75%  
144 13% 63% Median
145 13% 50%  
146 11% 37%  
147 9% 26%  
148 6% 18%  
149 4% 12%  
150 3% 8%  
151 2% 5% Majority
152 1.4% 3%  
153 0.8% 1.4%  
154 0.4% 0.7%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 0.9% 99.5%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 4% 97%  
73 6% 93%  
74 9% 87%  
75 11% 77%  
76 13% 66%  
77 14% 53% Median
78 12% 40%  
79 10% 28%  
80 7% 18%  
81 5% 11%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.7% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.6% 99.8%  
33 2% 99.3%  
34 4% 98%  
35 9% 93%  
36 13% 85%  
37 17% 72%  
38 18% 55% Median
39 15% 37%  
40 11% 22%  
41 6% 11%  
42 3% 5%  
43 1.5% 2%  
44 0.5% 0.7%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.7% 99.9%  
14 4% 99.3%  
15 12% 95% Last Result
16 22% 84%  
17 25% 62% Median
18 20% 36%  
19 11% 17%  
20 4% 6%  
21 1.3% 2%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100% Last Result
11 0.4% 100%  
12 3% 99.6%  
13 10% 96%  
14 18% 86%  
15 23% 68% Median
16 23% 45%  
17 15% 22%  
18 5% 7%  
19 1.3% 2%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 0% 86%  
2 0% 86%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0% 86%  
7 0% 86%  
8 1.1% 86%  
9 34% 85% Last Result
10 28% 51% Median
11 15% 22%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 182 100% 178–187 177–189 176–191 174–193
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 144 5% 141–149 140–150 139–152 137–154
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 86 0% 80–90 78–91 77–92 74–94
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 77 0% 73–81 72–82 71–83 70–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
172 0.1% 100%  
173 0.2% 99.9%  
174 0.5% 99.7%  
175 0.9% 99.2%  
176 2% 98%  
177 4% 96%  
178 6% 93%  
179 7% 87%  
180 10% 80% Last Result
181 12% 70%  
182 12% 58% Median
183 11% 46%  
184 9% 35%  
185 8% 26%  
186 5% 19%  
187 4% 13%  
188 3% 9%  
189 2% 6%  
190 1.3% 4%  
191 1.4% 3%  
192 0.7% 1.3%  
193 0.3% 0.6%  
194 0.2% 0.3%  
195 0.1% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0.1% 100%  
136 0.2% 99.9%  
137 0.5% 99.7%  
138 1.2% 99.2%  
139 3% 98%  
140 4% 95%  
141 7% 91%  
142 9% 84%  
143 12% 75%  
144 13% 63% Median
145 13% 50%  
146 11% 37%  
147 9% 26%  
148 6% 18%  
149 4% 12%  
150 3% 8%  
151 2% 5% Majority
152 1.4% 3%  
153 0.8% 1.4%  
154 0.4% 0.7%  
155 0.2% 0.3%  
156 0.1% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0% Last Result

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.8%  
75 0.7% 99.4%  
76 1.1% 98.6%  
77 2% 98%  
78 2% 96%  
79 3% 94%  
80 3% 91%  
81 4% 88%  
82 5% 85%  
83 7% 80%  
84 10% 73%  
85 10% 63%  
86 12% 52%  
87 11% 40% Median
88 9% 29%  
89 8% 20%  
90 5% 12%  
91 4% 7%  
92 2% 3%  
93 1.0% 2%  
94 0.4% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 0.9% 99.5%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 4% 97%  
73 6% 93%  
74 9% 87%  
75 11% 77%  
76 13% 66%  
77 14% 53% Median
78 12% 40%  
79 10% 28%  
80 7% 18%  
81 5% 11%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.7% 1.4%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations