Opinion Poll by Interview for Politic.gr, 15–19 December 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 39.8% 36.7% 35.2–38.2% 34.8–38.7% 34.4–39.0% 33.7–39.8%
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 31.5% 27.1% 25.8–28.6% 25.4–29.0% 25.0–29.3% 24.4–30.0%
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 8.1% 11.3% 10.3–12.4% 10.1–12.7% 9.9–12.9% 9.4–13.4%
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 5.3% 5.6% 5.0–6.4% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.8% 4.3–7.2%
Ελληνική Λύση 3.7% 5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 3.4% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 148–158 147–159 146–160 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 72–80 71–82 70–83 68–85
Κίνημα Αλλαγής 22 32 29–35 28–36 28–36 26–38
Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας 15 16 14–18 13–19 13–19 12–20
Ελληνική Λύση 10 15 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 9 10 0–11 0–12 0–12 0–13

Νέα Δημοκρατία

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Νέα Δημοκρατία page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.2% 99.9%  
144 0.4% 99.8%  
145 0.8% 99.4%  
146 2% 98.6%  
147 3% 97%  
148 5% 94%  
149 7% 89%  
150 9% 82%  
151 10% 73% Majority
152 10% 63%  
153 11% 52% Median
154 11% 42%  
155 9% 31%  
156 7% 22%  
157 5% 15%  
158 4% 10% Last Result
159 3% 6%  
160 2% 4%  
161 1.0% 2%  
162 0.5% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.6%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 1.0% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96%  
72 5% 93%  
73 8% 87%  
74 10% 79%  
75 13% 69%  
76 11% 56% Median
77 12% 45%  
78 10% 33%  
79 9% 23%  
80 6% 14%  
81 4% 9%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.8% 1.4%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Κίνημα Αλλαγής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Αλλαγής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100% Last Result
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.4%  
28 4% 98%  
29 9% 94%  
30 14% 85%  
31 18% 72%  
32 17% 54% Median
33 15% 37%  
34 10% 22%  
35 6% 11%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.3% 2%  
38 0.5% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κομμουνιστικό Κόμμα Ελλάδας page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.9%  
13 5% 98.7%  
14 12% 94%  
15 24% 82% Last Result
16 24% 58% Median
17 19% 34%  
18 10% 16%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Ελληνική Λύση

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ελληνική Λύση page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.6% 99.9%  
12 4% 99.3%  
13 12% 96%  
14 21% 84%  
15 26% 63% Median
16 19% 37%  
17 11% 18%  
18 5% 7%  
19 1.5% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 0% 83%  
5 0% 83%  
6 0% 83%  
7 0% 83%  
8 3% 83%  
9 29% 81% Last Result
10 29% 52% Median
11 16% 23%  
12 6% 7%  
13 1.3% 1.5%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής 180 184 100% 180–190 179–191 178–193 176–196
Νέα Δημοκρατία 158 153 73% 148–158 147–159 146–160 144–163
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής 95 85 0% 79–89 77–90 75–91 73–93
Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς 86 76 0% 72–80 71–82 70–83 68–85

Νέα Δημοκρατία – Κίνημα Αλλαγής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
173 0% 100%  
174 0.1% 99.9%  
175 0.3% 99.8%  
176 0.5% 99.5%  
177 1.4% 99.0%  
178 2% 98%  
179 4% 96%  
180 5% 92% Last Result
181 9% 87%  
182 8% 78%  
183 11% 70%  
184 10% 59%  
185 11% 49% Median
186 9% 38%  
187 8% 30%  
188 6% 22%  
189 5% 15%  
190 4% 11%  
191 2% 7%  
192 2% 5%  
193 1.3% 3%  
194 0.8% 2%  
195 0.5% 1.0%  
196 0.3% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.2%  
198 0.1% 0.1%  
199 0% 0%  

Νέα Δημοκρατία

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
142 0.1% 100%  
143 0.2% 99.9%  
144 0.4% 99.8%  
145 0.8% 99.4%  
146 2% 98.6%  
147 3% 97%  
148 5% 94%  
149 7% 89%  
150 9% 82%  
151 10% 73% Majority
152 10% 63%  
153 11% 52% Median
154 11% 42%  
155 9% 31%  
156 7% 22%  
157 5% 15%  
158 4% 10% Last Result
159 3% 6%  
160 2% 4%  
161 1.0% 2%  
162 0.5% 1.1%  
163 0.3% 0.6%  
164 0.2% 0.3%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς – Μέτωπο Ευρωπαϊκής Ρεαλιστικής Ανυπακοής

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 0.6% 99.3%  
75 1.4% 98.6%  
76 1.2% 97%  
77 2% 96%  
78 2% 94%  
79 4% 92%  
80 4% 88%  
81 5% 84%  
82 7% 79%  
83 8% 72%  
84 12% 64%  
85 7% 52%  
86 13% 45% Median
87 10% 32%  
88 8% 22%  
89 5% 14%  
90 4% 9%  
91 3% 5%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.7% 1.0%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Αριστεράς

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 1.0% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96%  
72 5% 93%  
73 8% 87%  
74 10% 79%  
75 13% 69%  
76 11% 56% Median
77 12% 45%  
78 10% 33%  
79 9% 23%  
80 6% 14%  
81 4% 9%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.8% 1.4%  
85 0.3% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations